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Evangelical Voters Favor McCain by Wide Margins
Christian Newswire ^ | Nov. 5, 2008 | Jeff Walton

Posted on 11/06/2008 7:06:20 AM PST by Alex Murphy

WASHINGTON, Nov. 5 /Christian Newswire/ -- Evangelicals and other Protestant voters appear to have continued their party voting preferences in the Presidential election from recent years, according to exit polls released following Tuesday's voting.

Exit polling released through CNN appears to have confirmed pre-election polls, with significant gaps between the candidates' support among voters categorized by both frequency of church attendance and religious affiliation. In the exit polling, White Protestant voters went 65 percent for McCain as did 52 percent of White Catholics. Overall, those Christians who attended any church on a weekly basis went for McCain by 55 percent, while Protestants who attended church on a weekly basis went for McCain by 65 percent.

The most decisive gap was amongst those voters who described themselves as White Evangelical/Born-Again. This group went 74 percent for McCain while 24 percent went for Obama, roughly mirroring their preferences from the 2004 Presidential Election.

IRD President James Tonkowich commented:

"Aside from race, the so-called 'pew gap' continues to be the largest difference between the different candidates' supporters.

"The Obama campaign made a strong effort to reach Evangelical voters this year, and those voters no doubt appreciated the attention and respect they received. That being said, their final decision at the top of the ticket was strikingly similar to the 2000 and 2004 presidential campaigns.

"Frequency of church attendance seems to trump religious affiliation in many instances. White Protestant Christians voted by strong margins for Senator McCain, regardless of if they described themselves as 'Born Again.'

"Among Evangelicals, exit polls show little improvement in support for Obama over John Kerry, and Obama did less well than Bill Clinton, who attracted over one-third of Evangelicals in his campaigns.

"Despite some Evangelical leaders' attempts to shift attention from traditional social issues to what they term a 'broadening agenda', there has been no significant difference in Evangelical support between the 2004 election and the 2008 election."


TOPICS: Catholic; Evangelical Christian; Mainline Protestant; Religion & Politics
KEYWORDS:
In the exit polling, White Protestant voters went 65 percent for McCain as did 52 percent of White Catholics. Overall, those Christians who attended any church on a weekly basis went for McCain by 55 percent, while Protestants who attended church on a weekly basis went for McCain by 65 percent.

I've assembled the following chart from the above numbers, and from earlier threads I've posted. While some of these numbers have fluctuated from source to source, so far they haven't swung by more than 2%.

75% McCain, 25% Obama - [White Born Again ***] Evangelicals*
65% McCain, xx% Obama - White Protestants**
62% McCain, 35% Obama - State of Utah
54% McCain, 44% Obama - Weekly church-goers
51% McCain, 49% Obama - White Catholics*
xx% McCain, 53% Obama - Monthly church-goers
45% McCain, 54% Obama - Catholics
xx% McCain, 59% Obama - Semi-annual church-goers
38% McCain, 61% Obama - Occasional churchgoers
xx% McCain, 68% Obama - Don't attend church 21% McCain, 78% Obama - American Jews

* Note that Fox News' demographic breakdown lists White Catholics as 52% McCain, 47% Obama, agrees with Evangelicals as 75% McCain but does not provide a percentage of Evangelicals supporting Obama, and does not give numbers for any other groups.
** Christian Nedwswire did not provide voting numbers for Obama.
*** Christian Newswire further defines this category as "White Born Again Evangelicals." Other news sources reported roughly the same percentage as just "Evangelicals".

Sources:
The Awesome Blue God -- How Obama Forged A New Faith Coalition
Exit polls: 78% of Jews voted for Obama
Utah's red loses some of its luster
With the Help of Catholics…Obama’s Victory
Obama's Religious Appeal: Still Missing Evangelicals - which TIME renamed as Obama: Bringing (Some) Evangelicals In
Results! Evangelicals
The Evangelical Electoral Map




1 posted on 11/06/2008 7:06:22 AM PST by Alex Murphy
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To: Alex Murphy

That doesn’t explain why my heavily Baptist precinct went Obama. We are only 18K Catholics here.

Just about everyone here is Baptist.


2 posted on 11/06/2008 7:42:28 AM PST by OpusatFR (Neither Republican or Democrat. Monarchist with allegience to The Only One.)
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To: Gamecock; HarleyD; Frumanchu; Dr. Eckleburg; Marysecretary; Forest Keeper; topcat54; suzyjaruki
Ping to the demographic numbers and resources in post #1
3 posted on 11/06/2008 7:45:11 AM PST by Alex Murphy ( "Every country has the government it deserves" - Joseph Marie de Maistre)
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To: OpusatFR
That doesn’t explain why my heavily Baptist precinct went Obama. We are only 18K Catholics here.

I don't want you to divulge any personal info, but check out the state-by-state interactive map in this thread. An earlier thread reported demographics which showed self-identified-but-nominal Catholics clustering in regions that vote Democrat. I have no trouble believing that there might be clusters of nominal Protestants who vote Democrat as well, and the state map should show it (when the county-by-county maps come out, they should be even more illustrative).

4 posted on 11/06/2008 7:54:04 AM PST by Alex Murphy ( "Every country has the government it deserves" - Joseph Marie de Maistre)
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To: Alex Murphy; OpusatFR
That doesn’t explain why my heavily Baptist precinct went Obama. We are only 18K Catholics here.

Is it predominantly Black?

5 posted on 11/06/2008 8:48:09 AM PST by wmfights (Believe - THE GOSPEL - and be saved)
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To: Alex Murphy

You should say Palin instead of McCain. That was my vote. Now I am mad as an old wet hen at the McCain staffers stabbing her in the back.


6 posted on 11/06/2008 9:24:31 AM PST by outinyellowdogcountry
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To: wmfights

“Is it predominantly Black?”

Oh? Is there a difference between Black Baptists and White Baptists?


7 posted on 11/06/2008 9:52:16 AM PST by OpusatFR (Neither Republican or Democrat. Monarchist with allegience to The Only One.)
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To: OpusatFR
Oh? Is there a difference between Black Baptists and White Baptists?

Nevermind.

8 posted on 11/06/2008 10:16:06 AM PST by wmfights (Believe - THE GOSPEL - and be saved)
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To: OpusatFR; wmfights

I believe Jimmy Carter quit one Baptist church and is attending another that is more “tolerant”. Enough said.


9 posted on 11/06/2008 3:52:51 PM PST by HarleyD
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To: OpusatFR
Oh? Is there a difference between Black Baptists and White Baptists?

Did you forget the sarcasm tag, or are you a troll?

10 posted on 11/06/2008 5:55:55 PM PST by PAR35
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To: PAR35

LOL!

Is there a term “PINO?”


11 posted on 11/06/2008 5:58:36 PM PST by OpusatFR (Neither Republican or Democrat. Monarchist with allegience to The Only One.)
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To: OpusatFR
What it does show fairly clearly is that there are not enough traditional conservatives to win a national election. Facts are a stubborn things. It also shows that the GOP will have to reform as a “center right” party as voiced my Newt, concentrating on fiscal conservatism and good governance to compete on the national level. Very conservative issues well well on the local level (States Rights) but do not transfer at all well to national elections.
12 posted on 11/06/2008 6:04:08 PM PST by WellyP
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To: OpusatFR
Is there a term “PINO?”

It's spelled 'apostate'.

13 posted on 11/06/2008 6:11:02 PM PST by PAR35
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To: OpusatFR

there is in voting for a black man for president.


14 posted on 11/06/2008 9:24:07 PM PST by Marysecretary (.GOD IS STILL IN CONTROL)
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To: Alex Murphy

So Evangelicals in Name Only voted for Obama too, correct?


15 posted on 11/06/2008 9:27:29 PM PST by Salvation ( †With God all things are possible.†)
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To: Salvation

Heh.


16 posted on 11/07/2008 5:17:57 AM PST by OpusatFR (Neither Republican or Democrat. Monarchist with allegience to The Only One.)
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