Skip to comments.
Hurricane Isabel - Confirmed Category 5 by Aircraft
NWS ^
Posted on 09/12/2003 1:51:51 PM PDT by nwctwx
|
Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 27
Statement as of 5:00 PM AST on September 12, 2003
...Air Force reserve and NOAA hurricane hunters confirm that Isabel
is a category five hurricane...
at 5 PM AST...2100z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located
near latitude 21.8 north...longitude 58.6 west or about 350
miles...565 km...northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.
Isabel is moving toward the west near 9 mph...15 km/hr...and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.
Report from Air Force reserve and NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph...260
km/hr...with higher gusts. This makes Isabel a category five
hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale. Fluctuations in
intensity are common in major hurricanes...and are likely during
the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 85 miles...140 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 185 miles...295 km.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by the hurricane
hunters is 920 mb...27.17 inches.
Large ocean swells and dangerous surf conditions are likely over
portions of the Leeward Islands...the Virgin Islands...and Puerto
Rico over the next several days.
Repeating the 5 PM AST position...21.8 N... 58.6 W. Movement
toward...west near 9 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...160 mph. Minimum central pressure... 920 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 11 PM AST.
Forecaster Beven
|
TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: hurricaneisabel; isabelhurricane
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 161-180, 181-200, 201-220 ... 461-469 next last
To: Lion in Winter
To: kayak
Just watched the latest update. With the blocking high in the North East moving north, I see this thing hitting around Cape Hatteras.
This succer is beautifuly formed and on track.
182
posted on
09/12/2003 7:25:02 PM PDT
by
AGreatPer
(he’s bin Laden to rest)
To: oceanview
Yes! That caught me a bit off-guard...just watching Dave on his dab of coke right now.
183
posted on
09/12/2003 7:25:07 PM PDT
by
My Favorite Headache
(Which one will lose? Depends on what I choose or maybe which voice...I ignore.)
To: oceanview
Dave could barely vocally keep it together there...it sounded like he was trying not to laugh before the commercial break.
184
posted on
09/12/2003 7:26:06 PM PDT
by
My Favorite Headache
(Which one will lose? Depends on what I choose or maybe which voice...I ignore.)
To: NautiNurse
Is that black object the dreaded Senator from NY on its broomstick?
To: Donna Lee Nardo
LOL--in my dreams! It's a battered palm tree.
To: Moose4
The evacuation was hell from Savannah....
I was with 200+ severly disabled elderly...Most had to be carried onto the buses because they were wheelchair/bed bound.
On friggin SCHOOL buses no less.
We had 1 die before we even left the property, 3 die in transit, others had at least one, if not more die from the stress. And then you have all the home health-home bound that were dumped at the hospitals with out even a note so the (few) medical staff could tell what to do. Oh, yeah...the homeless and prisoners left town on AC'd transit buses. It was so barbaric....the most helpless, sick and fragile where the ones put under the greatest stress.
Yeah, we started loading at 10 am, left town at 5pm, got to our destination at 3am the next morning. Going 3 miles an with 100 thousand other folks trapped on the same highway. I had a friend calling me from Houston every hour on my cell phone to keep me sane. Being trapped in traffic, in the dark with strangers has become my greatest nightmare.
I don't work there anymore. I refuse to ever, EVER evacuate again. There can be a catagory 12 hurricane coming, I am sitting here in my home to die thankyouverymuch..... If I don't die, I have a gas, a well and grannies homemade wine in the closet.
187
posted on
09/12/2003 7:33:52 PM PDT
by
najida
(What handbasket? And where did you say we were going?)
To: My Favorite Headache
Hmmmm. Dave's eyes do look downright demonish tonight. Reddish and more squinty than usual. Cantore's eyes looked a bit wild also. Perhaps they had a toast together. Or a snoot.
To: najida
What an experience! God bless you!
189
posted on
09/12/2003 7:37:48 PM PDT
by
kayak
(I support Billybob - www.ArmorforCongress.com)
To: Think free or die
I had never heard about the landslides and flooding in Virginia until I moved there. They still have 'historical' markers in spots along rivers that indicate how high the rivers were ...
190
posted on
09/12/2003 7:38:34 PM PDT
by
11th_VA
(Ross was right !!!)
To: AGreatPer
LOL at your tag line!
191
posted on
09/12/2003 7:38:39 PM PDT
by
kayak
(I support Billybob - www.ArmorforCongress.com)
To: najida
There can be a catagory 12 hurricane coming, I am sitting here in my home to die thankyouverymuch..... If I don't die, I have a gas, a well and grannies homemade wine in the closet.That's a pretty good description for the Key West crowd. It's way too much trouble to evacuate. Folks made their decision when they moved there.
To: najida
I think America doesn't "do" evacuations al that well as as rule.
Sorry about the recent unpleasantness.
To: Donna Lee Nardo
I just had TWC on. Perhaps I'm dense, but they don't seem drunk to me. *g*
194
posted on
09/12/2003 7:43:03 PM PDT
by
Hobsonphile
(Art should celebrate God's creation. Writers should love humanity in all its forms.)
To: NautiNurse
That IS the monster!!
Thank you for posting its picture.
We were in Greenville, S.C. visiting my brother and it was a disaster there as well. Cold!! Oh, my goodness.
To: Gunslingr3
If you mean ethnicity, no. It is a spanish name, as in Queen Isabel
196
posted on
09/12/2003 7:47:54 PM PDT
by
dixie sass
(GOD bless America)
To: Lion in Winter
|
Hurricane Isabel Discussion Number 28
Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 12, 2003
radar images transmitted from a NOAA/hurricane research division
flight into Isabel late this afternoon showed the development of a
second concentric eyewall about 20 nm outside of the inner eyewall.
The aircraft crew also reported a stepped frequency microwave
radiometer measurement of a 140 kt surface wind late in the
afternoon. Concurrent with this re-development of an outer
eyewall...the core convection is currently weakening as it did last
night at this time. In addition...microwave imagery indicates that
some dry air has been infiltrating the circulation. Subjective
Dvorak T-numbers are down to 6.0...and the latest CIMSS advanced
objective Dvorak 3-hr average T number is also 6.0...well below
category five intensity. I very much doubt that Isabel still has
winds of 140 kt...but since another aircraft will be in the
hurricane in just three hours...we will wait for confirmation of
this apparent weakening trend. It is virtually unheard of for a
hurricane to remain at category five strength for more than 30
hours. However...Isabel is expected to remain a major hurricane
throughout the forecast period.
The initial motion is 275/8. Isabel remains south of a deep-layer
anticyclone that is providing the westward steering current. This
anticyclone continues westward in step with the hurricane...and
model guidance is in excellent agreement on a west to
west-northwest track for the next 72 hours. By 72 hours...the
evolution of a mid- to upper-level low currently over the Carolinas
could play a key role in what portion of the U.S. East coast would
eventually be affected by Isabel. The GFS and NOGAPS models are
very similar in holding this feature in place almost a day longer
than the UKMET...with the result that the former two models turn
Isabel much more sharply northward than the UKMET. The GFDL turns
Isabel even more sharply than the GFS and NOGAPS models...and the
european model also seems to favor an earlier turn north. The
official forecast has been been shifted to the right of the
previous advisory track...but is still closer to the UKMET than the
other guidance. In part this is to maintain continuity with
previous forecasts...but also because the UKMET has been presenting
a more consistent solution over the past couple of days than have
the other models.
Forecaster Franklin |
To: Donna Lee Nardo
11 O'Clock positions due in 1 minute...wanna bet that it is goin west north west now?
198
posted on
09/12/2003 7:49:22 PM PDT
by
My Favorite Headache
(Which one will lose? Depends on what I choose or maybe which voice...I ignore.)
To: Hobsonphile
Dave is on early tonight...late night's he is loaded.
199
posted on
09/12/2003 7:50:02 PM PDT
by
My Favorite Headache
(Which one will lose? Depends on what I choose or maybe which voice...I ignore.)
To: My Favorite Headache
I take that bet back!
200
posted on
09/12/2003 7:51:12 PM PDT
by
My Favorite Headache
(Which one will lose? Depends on what I choose or maybe which voice...I ignore.)
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 161-180, 181-200, 201-220 ... 461-469 next last
Disclaimer:
Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual
posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its
management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the
exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson