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To: Judith Anne
I'm not sure what conversations you refer to on this forum, but here is the CDC breakdown for your edification.
 

5/23/03 MMWR Weekly | Update: SARS --- United States, May 21, 2003

Updates numbers of reported cases in United States as of May 21, 2003. A total of 7,956 SARS cases reported to the World Health Organization from 28 countries ;666 deaths (case-fatality proportion: 8.4%). United States reports 355 cases from 40 states, no deaths. Laboratory testing to evaluate infection completed for 122 cases; six cases confirmed. Case reports for United States continue decrease; most cases associated with international travel. New interim surveillance case definition provides criteria to exclude reported cases subsequently found to have other causes of SARS-like symptoms. Clinical judgment should be used to guide management of patients.
 

5/14/03 MMWR Weekly | Update: SARS --- U.S., 2003

Provides update on reported SARS cases worldwide. As of May 14, 2003, a total of 7,628 cases reported to the World Health Organization from 28 countries; 587 deaths (case-fatality proportion 7.7%). Total cases account for 345 reported from 38 states in United States; 281 (81%)classified as suspect and 64 (19%) classified as probable. No deaths reported in United States. Most cases continue to be associated with international travel to areas affected by SARS. Provides CDC recommendations to prevent and control transmission for inbound travelers from areas with community transmission of SARS. CDC not recommending
quarantine for persons traveling from such areas.

5/9/03 MMWR Weekly | Update: SARS --- Singapore, 2003

Summarizes epidemiologic features of SARS in Singapore; discusses super spreaders and national prevention and control programs. As of April 30, 201 probable cases and 722 suspect cases reported; 25 patients died (case-fatality proportion: 12.5%). Surveillance indicates 76% of infections acquired in a health-care facility. Five patients categorized as super spreaders who were associated with transmissions to > 10 health-care workers, family and social contacts, or visitors to health care facilities. Infection-control measures include designating one hospital for SARS cases, expanding environmental practices to protect health-care workers, stopping general hospital visitation, and providing dedicated ambulance service. Infectious Disease Act amended, requiring more stringent quarantine measures and providing penalties for violations.
 

Morality rates of 8.4, 7.7 and 12.5% are reported here.  I included the worst report, which was from Singapore, but the figures seem to be somewhat sketchy, since 722 suspect cases are not computed in the mortality rate.  Therefore I'm more comfortable sticking with the 8.4 and 7.7% figures reported globally on the 14th and the 23rd of May.

15% is obviously an inflated figure.  It's about double the actual mortality rate.  Around 92% of people who contract SARS will recover.  Obviously some age groups and other compromised patients profiles may experience elevated mortality, but I doubt mortality approaches 50% in any but the most compromised groupings, people who would be very weak to begin with.

20 posted on 05/29/2003 1:39:10 AM PDT by DoughtyOne
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To: DoughtyOne; aristeides; blam; riri; flutters; per loin; Prince Charles; TaxRelief; harpseal; All
So, what about the unresolved cases? Are they all going to recover, or will a percentage die? I told you before, these numbers and percentages have been extensively discussed on this forum. I'm not going to argue about it, I think you are badly informed. Perhaps others would care to waste their time giving you information you can get on your own.

This is my last post to you.
24 posted on 05/29/2003 1:46:32 AM PDT by Judith Anne
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To: DoughtyOne
as of May 21, 2003. A total of 7,956 SARS cases reported to the World Health Organization from 28 countries ;666 deaths

Just scrutinize the very same statistics you are posting...

On May 21st...   3,205 of those cases were still sick; not yet dead, and not yet recovered, so subtract those out.

That leaves 666 deaths (oooh, hadn't noticed that earlier)
divided by 4751 cases resolved on May 21.

By your very own numbers, that makes it 14.0% mortality (one out of seven)

25 posted on 05/29/2003 1:51:33 AM PDT by Future Useless Eater (Freedom_Loving_Engineer)
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