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The United States is in the grip of a certainty crisis
The Times ^ | March 7, 2003 | David Brooks

Posted on 03/06/2003 2:51:53 PM PST by MadIvan

Bush's waffle-free directness alarms the fashionably doubtful commentariat

The American commentariat is gravely concerned. Over the past week, George W. Bush has shown a disturbing tendency not to waffle when it comes to Iraq. There has been an appalling clarity and coherence to his position. There has been a reckless tendency not to be murky, hesitant or evasive. Naturally, questions are being raised about President Bush’s leadership skills. The United States is in the midst of the certainty crisis. Time magazine is disturbed by “The blinding glare of his certainty”, as one headline referred to Bush’s unwillingness to go wobbly on Iraq. “A questionable certainty” was the headline in the Los Angeles Times. “This kind of certainty worries Bush’s critics,” noted US News and World Report. “Moral certainty, for the most part, is a luxury of a closed mind,” observed William Lesher, a Lutheran school of theology professor, who presumably preserves a subtle open-mindedness about the Holocaust and other such matters.

Meanwhile, among the smart set, Hamlet-like indecision has become the intellectual fashion. The liberal columnist E. J. Dionne wrote in The Washington Post that he is uncomfortable with the pro and anti-war camps. He praised the doubters and raised his colours on behalf of “heroic ambivalence”. The New York Times, venturing deep into the territory of self-parody, ran a full-page editorial calling for “still more discussion” on whether or not to go to war.

The leading Democratic presidential contender, John Kerry, has become the political standard-bearer of the high-toned, agnostic and incomprehensible. He begins his speeches on sunny days and under crisp skies and proceeds to lay down such a miasma of equivocation and on-theother-hands that the sun is blotted out and you can’t see the question marks as they fly by in front of your face. The fog of peace is thick indeed.

In certain circles, it is not only important what opinion you hold, but how you hold it. It is important to be seen dancing with complexity, sliding among shades of grey. Any poor rube can come to a simple conclusion — that President Saddam Hussein is a menace who must be disarmed — but the refined ratiocinators want to be seen luxuriating amid the difficulties, donning the jewels of nuance, even to the point of self-paralysis. And they want to see their leaders paying homage to this style. Accordingly, many Bush critics seem less disturbed by his position than by his inability to adhere to the rules of genteel intellectual manners. They want him to show a little anguish. They want baggy eyes, evidence of sleepless nights, a few photo-ops — Kennedy-style — of the President staring gloomily through the Oval Office windows into the distance.

And this prompts a question in their minds. Why does George Bush breach educated class etiquette so grievously? Why does he seem so certain, decisive and sure of himself, when everybody — tout le monde! — knows that anxiety and anguish are the proper poses to adopt in such times.

The US press is filled with psychologising. And two explanations have re-emerged. First, Bush is stupid. Intellectually incurious, he is unable to adapt to events. Secondly, he is a religious nut. He sees the world as a simple battle of good versus evil. His faith cannot admit shades of grey.

The problem with the explanations is that they have nothing to do with reality. The charge that Bush is too simple to change course flies in the face of his whole career. As Governor of Texas, he proposed one version of tax reform. When it faltered in the legislature, he pivoted and embraced an entirely different plan. He entered the White House with one sort of minimalist foreign policy. After September 11, he adapted to the new era more quickly and comprehensively than any other figure in the world, proposing an entirely new and expansive national security strategy.

As for those who claim Bush’s faith gives him a Manichean worldview, have any of them actually read the Bible? The holy texts that Bush cites do not divide humanity between good and evil, but emphasise the sin, temptations and goodness entwined in each soul. And when Bush calls a regime evil, surely only the most simple-minded secularist believes he is saying a simple thing. If they think evil is simple, haven’t they at least read Dostoevsky?

Now it is true that Bush values what Shirley Robin Letwin called the vigorous virtues: “upright, self-sufficient, energetic, adventurous, independent-minded, loyal to friends, robust against foes”. But the main difference between Bush and his critics is that he is in a position of responsibility and they are not. On the colloquium couch, everyone can show off their full appreciation of the strategic ambiguities. In the parlour of intellect, timing is never a problem, because battle plans never have to be made, actions never have to be put in train.

But those who actually have to lead and protect, and actually have to build one step on another, have to bring some questions to a close. Bush gave Saddam time to disarm. Saddam did not. Hence, the issue of whether to disarm him forcibly is settled. The French and the Germans and the domestic critics may keep debating, which is their luxury, but the people who actually make the decisions have moved on to more practical concerns.

Bush has decided that Saddam is a menace to the world. All of the difficulties that now arise — a negative vote in Turkey, for example — complicate the issue of how to achieve the goal. They do not change the goal. You can call that dangerous certainty. Those of us who agree that Saddam is a menace may choose to call Bush resolute, which is a much finer word.

The author is a senior editor of The Weekly Standard.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; US: District of Columbia; US: Texas; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: bush; iraq; saddam; usa
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To: MadIvan
I have to disagree with the otherwise excellent article on one point: Evil is a pretty simple thing, at least when you consider Saddam's case.

Does he order the gassing of his own people?

Does he kill anyone who dares to disagree with him?

Does he engage in horrible tortures, without mercy?

Well, yes.

Therefore, he is evil.

That's not so complex, is it?

D
21 posted on 03/06/2003 3:23:05 PM PST by daviddennis (Visit amazing.com for protest accounts, video & more!)
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To: Dog
"I want to tell you something I just heard on CNN Headline News.....they just said they have unconfirmed reports of a firefight in Quetta, Pakistan."

What do you think, OBL?

22 posted on 03/06/2003 3:24:19 PM PST by blam
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To: blam
I'm not sure.. but if not him....Zawarhri.
23 posted on 03/06/2003 3:26:16 PM PST by Dog (Courage is being scared to death... and saddling up anyway. ~John Wayne)
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To: Miss Marple
How odd that we see this piece in a British newspaper, while we have posters at Free Republic, of all places, posting vanities about how uncertain and cautious Bush is.

It would be funny, except that they need a good punch in the nose before I laugh.

24 posted on 03/06/2003 3:28:10 PM PST by Dog Gone
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To: Lando Lincoln
Bookmarked!! This eloquently captures the "sophisticated" snobbery of the intellectual elite.

Clarity, purpose, vision, perseverance, patience, decisive - all qualities that, save for a few, are lacking in most leaders. Thank God GWB and Blair have them.

25 posted on 03/06/2003 3:29:21 PM PST by Lando Lincoln (God Bless the arsenal of liberty.)
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To: Dog Gone
Heh heh heh!
26 posted on 03/06/2003 3:43:27 PM PST by wimpycat (Mr. President, we must not allow a mine-shaft gap!)
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To: daviddennis
I think the author means (rightly) that to appreciate the implications, nature and depth of evil isn't easy to do or simple to understand.
27 posted on 03/06/2003 3:45:42 PM PST by wimpycat (Mr. President, we must not allow a mine-shaft gap!)
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To: MadIvan
Thanks Ivan. BUMP 4 L8r
28 posted on 03/06/2003 3:49:51 PM PST by AFreeBird
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To: MadIvan; wimpycat
The holy texts that Bush cites do not divide humanity between good and evil, but emphasise the sin, temptations and goodness entwined in each soul...If they think evil is simple, haven’t they at least read Dostoevsky?

Or seen that Star Trek episode where Captain Kirk gets split into a Good Kirk and an Evil Kirk? We aren't, as a group, as literate as the Brits, but we learn the lessons in our own way.

29 posted on 03/06/2003 4:02:51 PM PST by jiggyboy
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To: MadIvan
bump
30 posted on 03/06/2003 4:18:01 PM PST by Chi-townChief
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To: MadIvan
The leading Democratic presidential contender, John Kerry, has become the political standard-bearer of the high-toned, agnostic and incomprehensible. He begins his speeches on sunny days and under crisp skies and proceeds to lay down such a miasma of equivocation and on-the-other-hands that the sun is blotted out and you can’t see the question marks as they fly by in front of your face. The fog of peace is thick indeed.

This is such a perfect discription of Kerry! He is the king of "on the other hand." God, he's nauseating to watch.

31 posted on 03/06/2003 4:22:57 PM PST by Wphile (I'M SO SICK OF THE IRAQ DEBATE!)
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To: MadIvan
Ivan, thank you so very much for bringing the thinking Brits to our attention.

Real Americans are not risk adverse. That is not the same as being reckless. And real Britons appear to be the same.
32 posted on 03/06/2003 4:30:42 PM PST by reformedliberal
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To: reformedliberal
And this prompts a question in their minds. Why does George Bush breach educated class etiquette so grievously? Why does he seem so certain, decisive and sure of himself, when everybody — tout le monde! — knows that anxiety and anguish are the proper poses to adopt in such times.

Its a good think President Lincoln wasn't as sophisticated as the modern day media. Can you imagine him asking "what the definition of seccession is"?

33 posted on 03/06/2003 5:49:31 PM PST by Democratshavenobrains
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To: All
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34 posted on 03/06/2003 5:50:21 PM PST by Bob J (Join the FR Network! Educate, Motivate, Activate!)
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To: Dog
BUSH could really have some fun here with the UN and that would be a simple YES or NO vote by the UN Security Council.

No resolution needed, simply, IS SADDAM in COMPLIANCE with UN Resolution 1441? (or has Saddam DISARMED) Show of Hands YES, Show of Hands NO.

No ifs, ands, or buts, allowed.

No vote on a deadline, we chose the time and place to use Force.

35 posted on 03/06/2003 7:17:09 PM PST by agincourt1415 (Lets Roll! The Spirit of Henry V lives!)
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To: daviddennis
Does he order the gassing of his own people? ""

He considers the Kurds 'his own people' the way we considered the american indians 'our own people' while expelling them from almost all of the US east of the Mississippi, and quite a bit of it to the west as well. The 'his own people' thing is a soundbite which doesn't address underlying social and ethnic reality. He thinks of the kurds as 'his own people' the way the turks do, though to their credit the turks haven't gassed them.

Does anyone think the Kurds think of themselves as 'iraqis,' or 'saddam's own people?'
36 posted on 03/06/2003 8:08:40 PM PST by WoofDog123
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To: RonDog; MeeknMing; Mudboy Slim; floriduh voter; PhiKapMom; JulieRNR21; Howlin; ...

Now it is true that Bush values what Shirley Robin Letwin called the vigorous virtues: “upright, self-sufficient, energetic, adventurous, independent-minded, loyal to friends, robust against foes”. But the main difference between Bush and his critics is that he is in a position of responsibility and they are not. On the colloquium couch, everyone can show off their full appreciation of the strategic ambiguities. In the parlour of intellect, timing is never a problem, because battle plans never have to be made, actions never have to be put in train.

Ahhhh....that's better. (^;

37 posted on 03/12/2003 11:36:31 AM PST by Ragtime Cowgirl ("I call 'em FRENCH fries" - Alan Colmes, Mar. 11.)
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
"In the parlour of intellect, timing is never a problem, because battle plans never have to be made, actions never have to be put in train."

The EffeteElite in its IvoryTowers is being displayed fer all to see as feckless and ineffectual and IRRELEVANT to the Debate...ain't it GREAT?!

FReegards...MUD

38 posted on 03/12/2003 11:43:16 AM PST by Mudboy Slim ("Garde la Foi, mes amis! Jamais reculez รก tyrannie un pouce!")
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl; MadIvan; All
Thanks !!


39 posted on 03/12/2003 2:49:22 PM PST by MeekOneGOP (Bu-bye Saddam! / Check out my Freeper site !: http://home.attbi.com/~freeper/wsb/index.html)
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