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Observation on TPS damage on Orbiter
NASA photos | 2-3-03 | BoneMccoy

Posted on 02/04/2003 1:34:19 AM PST by bonesmccoy

In recent days the popular media has been focusing their attention on an impact event during the launch of STS-107. The impact of External Tank insulation and/or ice with the Orbiter during ascent was initially judged by NASA to be unlikely to cause loss of the vehicle. Obviously, loss of the integrity of the orbiter Thermal Protection System occured in some manner. When Freepers posted the reports of these impacts on the site, I initially discounted the hypothesis. Orbiters had sustained multiple impacts in the past. However, the size of the plume in the last photo gives me pause.

I'd like to offer to FR a few observations on the photos.

1. In this image an object approximately 2-3 feet appears to be between the orbiter and the ET.

2. In this image the object appears to have rotated relative to both the camera and the orbiter. The change in image luminosity could also be due to a change in reflected light from the object. Nevertheless, it suggests that the object is tumbling and nearing the orbiter's leading edge.

It occurs to me that one may be able to estimate the size of the object and make an educated guess regarding the possible mass of the object. Using the data in the video, one can calculate the relative velocity of the object to the orbiter wing. Creating a test scenario is then possible. One can manufacture a test article and fire ET insulation at the right velocity to evaluate impact damage on the test article.

OV-101's port wing could be used as a test stand with RCC and tile attached to mimic the OV-102 design.

The color of the object seems inconsistent with ET insulation. One can judge the ET color by looking at the ET in the still frame. The color of the object seems more consistent with ice or ice covered ET insulation. Even when accounting for variant color hue/saturation in the video, the object clearly has a different color characteristic from ET insulation. If it is ice laden insulation, the mass of the object would be significantly different from ET insulation alone. Since the velocity of the object is constant in a comparison equation, estimating the mass of the object becomes paramount to understanding the kinetic energy involved in the impact with the TPS.

3. In this image the debris impact creates a plume. My observation is that if the plume was composed primarily of ET insulation, the plume should have the color characteristics of ET insulation. This plume has a white color.

Unfortunately, ET insulation is orange/brown in color.

In addition, if the relative density of the ET insulation is known, one can quantify the colorimetric properties of the plume to disintegrating ET insulation upon impact.

Using the test article experiment model, engineers should fire at the same velocity an estimated mass of ET insulation (similar to the object seen in the still frame) at the test article. The plume should be measured colorimetrically. By comparing this experimental plume to the photographic evidence from the launch, one may be able to quantify the amount of ET insulation in the photograph above.

4. In this photo, the plume spreads from the aft of the orbiter's port wing. This plume does not appear to be the color of ET insulation. It appears to be white.

This white color could be the color of ice particles at high altitude.

On the other hand, the composition of TPS tiles under the orbiter wings is primarily a low-density silica.

In the photo above, you can see a cross section of orbiter TPS tile. The black color of the tile is merely a coating. The interior of the tile is a white, low-density, silica ceramic.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Editorial; Extended News; Front Page News; Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: columbiaaccident; nasa; shuttle; sts; sts107
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To: snooker
The foam was the largest piece to ever be seen coming off and it struck the wing in the same area as all other evidence says the problem began.

Previously, the largest foam debris was only about three inches square and caused serious damage to the tiles as a result of hitting the underside of the wing.

NASA engineers screwed up when they calculated the expected damage. They did not take into account the orientation and spinning of the foam as it stuck. The resulting angle of attack and energy released was much higher than they figured.

2,921 posted on 03/10/2003 9:20:08 AM PST by Cold Heat
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To: wirestripper; XBob; bonesmccoy; John Jamieson; Thud; All
I have been going over a lot of the older posts on this thread, and in my addled mind I keep going back to my post 35. I keep going back to the slo-mo pictures on Florida Today's site. I noticed that in about frame 10 and 11 (if I am counting correctly) that there is a small plume that appears under the wing immediately before the large plume in appears in frames 12 & 13.

Am I seeing correctly? Is that an additional small plume or perhaps something in the background?

Then in post 967 I asked, 7:54:22 Mid fuselage left body line temp at x1215 - off nominal rise 6 degrees/min - not connected to wheel well wiring - Have we all been ignoring this sensor?"

Later on - 1198 - xBob posted the following: could the big flash have been the engine protection cover in the rear center? As there is no fuel, and the main engines are off line, what would the sensors detect there at this point in the return?

the insulation fragments did leave the ship toward the mid-section, if I remember correctly.

In 1551 Thud posted, "A double foam hit would explain a fair amount. I've been concerned all along that we're looking at two different, overlapping, event chains."

In 1570 labowski posted, "Does anyone have any idea what those three or four LARGE round objects they've been showing of the recovered materials are?

Something from the cargo bay? Engine parts?

Labowski's question about 'those three or four LARGE round objects' was answered, but the part about the 'something from the cargo bay/engine parts' was never addressed - as was xBob's "could the big flash have been the engine protection cover in the rear center?"

I have since been trying to find out the exact location of "x1215" with no luck. As near as I can tell it is near the aft shuttle bay area just ahead of the main engine compartment.

My question(s) - How many, if any sensors are there in the cargo bay area?
The engine covering area?

Could the initial "big flash" have been something from the left side/aft cargo bay/engine covering area before the wing burn-through?

I'm not expressing myself very well here, I hope y'all see the track I'm attempting that hasn't really been discussed by us or NASA.

IOW, perhaps the "big flash" was a section of the port fusalage/engine covering that isn't well protected from the heat, yet at that point in time didn't have much (if any) effect on the "flight" characteristics of the shuttle.

2,922 posted on 03/10/2003 10:06:38 AM PST by Budge (God Bless FReepers!)
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To: wirestripper
I viewed the Reno video in both dial up and broadband speeds. The broadband version is of greater detail. Ergo, the shedding debris event is better seen in broadband. FWIW The dislodged debris isn't a shuttle's length away from the rear of Columbia, so it hasn't had time to decelerate.

"Explosion" may not be the right word to use in describing what we are seeing. A puff, flash or flare seems apt. The thicker portion of the contrail is due to this event. The contrail remains constant throughout the video, except for the additional gaseous matter appearing after the puff, flare or flash.
2,923 posted on 03/10/2003 12:46:58 PM PST by freepersup (And this expectation will not disappoint us.)
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To: freepersup
viewed the Reno video in both dial up and broadband speeds. The broadband version is of greater detail. Ergo, the shedding debris event is better seen in broadband. FWIW The dislodged debris isn't a shuttle's length away from the rear of Columbia, so it hasn't had time to decelerate.

I do not have a highspeed connection, so I cannot comment on the differences.

However, I can see no debris. Only contrail.

It is not out of the question that this film and the Utah film is the same event, from different angles.

The angle and distance on the nevada film is not showing much detail. The Utah film was very shaky and had focus issues.

The pic from the telescope in NM was fuzzy and full of overloaded pixels, and to make matters worse, the film of the foam strike was also out of focus.

It seems the gremlins are responsible.

2,924 posted on 03/10/2003 5:57:23 PM PST by Cold Heat
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To: snooker
So, propose a theory, with something to back it up.

If you had read this thread, you would find that many of our and NASA engineers have proven that the foam alone (2 1/2 lbs of 3 year old urethane foam hitting a few ounces of silicon foam tiles, at 500 mph) was the cause of enough damage to make it happen. And we we have photos of this happening.

You don't think the foam did it, (because it is in front of your eyes) so what did do it? Did the Vulcans shoot it down with their phaser?

Give us a realistic proposal. The ice is unnecessary to do the damage. We discussed ice at length, and decided that ice or no ice, it wasn't necessry, except perhaps to loosen the foam to begin with.
2,925 posted on 03/10/2003 11:12:34 PM PST by XBob
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To: XBob
Just out of curiosity, where is 500MPH coming from? Is that the calculated relative speed of the impact, or is that just a number that's popped up? And forgive me for not reading all 3000 posts (I've read about 1000 of them tonight, will try to finish tomorrow) but has ice been eliminated? I've seen some pretty compelling arguments that lean toward ice over foam (coloration of object and plume being the biggest.)
2,926 posted on 03/11/2003 3:48:36 AM PST by vwspeedracer
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To: XBob
Any pictures of RCC No. 1, with "the bite out of it"? I am curious what that "bite" looked like. Is it like a tear (where it was ripped from RCC No. 2), or was a rounded "burn-out" (where a small hole - perhaps space debris - was made bigger through plasma entering it)?

I propose if is wasn't foam, a meteor or other small piercing object would support the current theory of a thin plasma stream burning the wing from inside out, slicing wires, etc. without raising the thermocouple readings too much.

NASA did studies on meteor damage, no?

BTW the STS pictures in orbit seem to show *no* significant damage to RCC panels on the left wing, although it is not RCC No. 1 is obscured by the cargo bay.
2,927 posted on 03/11/2003 3:49:34 AM PST by analyst2
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To: vwspeedracer
Hehe... after reading a thousand posts, I'd forgotten that the coloration bit was the starting point of this thread. :)
2,928 posted on 03/11/2003 3:50:19 AM PST by vwspeedracer
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To: XBob
>>>So, propose a theory, with something to back it up.

I read the thread. You have got all the answers.

snooker
2,929 posted on 03/11/2003 6:21:45 AM PST by snooker
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To: Budge
Could the initial "big flash" have been something from the left side/aft cargo bay/engine covering area before the wing burn-through?

On the Friday prior to reentry cBS radio news reported a concern over a overheating dehumidifier in the Lab. I heard this twice that day. Perhaps someone astute with Google could do a news search on that day.

2,930 posted on 03/11/2003 10:48:36 AM PST by tubebender (?)
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To: bonesmccoy; XBob; wirestripper; Thud; tubebender; All
New pictures from CAIB.

More pictures are available at CAIB

2,931 posted on 03/11/2003 2:26:56 PM PST by Budge (God Bless FReepers!)
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To: Budge
Thanks for the pix...I saw the press conference today with these photos but this is a better format. That is a very convoluted structure as far as securing the foam to the attachment. This tank (93?) was mounted and unmounted once before and than mounted on STS107.

Did you hear them say the foam strike was in the number 6 7 or 8 RCC. They have several teams and contractors enhancing all the photos.

2,932 posted on 03/11/2003 2:37:54 PM PST by tubebender (?)
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To: tubebender
"Did you hear them say the foam strike was in the number 6 7 or 8 RCC."

I missed the press conference, will catch it later, but that really fits.


2,933 posted on 03/11/2003 2:43:30 PM PST by John Jamieson
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To: John Jamieson; XBob; wirestripper; bonesmccoy
Press conference replay on now on NASA TV...
2,934 posted on 03/11/2003 4:09:02 PM PST by tubebender (?)
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To: vwspeedracer
2926 - "Just out of curiosity, where is 500MPH coming from?"

there have been many numbers generated, and several on this thread, however, the 500mph is the last number I have seen and it was a NASA generated number, based on relative impact. I think another comparison was dropping a 500 pound safe on it from 3 feet. If you check on some of the other, more recent threads, pertaining to foam impact. NASA completely discounted it for a while.
2,935 posted on 03/11/2003 5:15:14 PM PST by XBob
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To: vwspeedracer
2925 - read my post, please: "The ice is unnecessary to do the damage. We discussed ice at length, and decided that ice or no ice, it wasn't necessry, except perhaps to loosen the foam to begin with."

2,936 posted on 03/11/2003 5:20:57 PM PST by XBob
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To: analyst2
there is a principle in scientific and normal investigation, if somthing seems easy and obvious, it most likely is the answer. Then attempt to disprove this before attempting to find other causes. So, have you disproved the foam impact idea?
2,937 posted on 03/11/2003 5:26:12 PM PST by XBob
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To: snooker
I don't have all the answers. We have a lot of information still missing. However, we do have a theory which fits pretty well with facts which have been released at this time.
2,938 posted on 03/11/2003 5:30:18 PM PST by XBob
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To: XBob
I just wasted 41 minutes of video tape by recording the latest CAIB press conference with the two AF Generals and the Harvard "aerodynamicist" ("Gee, maybe the shuttle spun out of control because the Commander accidentally bumped the stick").

That was 41 minutes of the most unmitigated BS I have heard in a long time.

...and I really wish NASA would hire a sound man for their press conferences. The constant feedback howls were a real embarassment, as usual.

2,939 posted on 03/11/2003 5:32:41 PM PST by snopercod
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To: tubebender
Caught it.

Yaw moment equal to about 4 missing RCC panels.

Possible cryo pumping of liquid nitrogen blew foam off as lox level came down past joint. (Timing doesn't seem to fit to me.)

Some of the debris we need bad is under snow.

Some thought about Columbia's history of hotter reenties. Not hotter in the sense of max temp but in prolonged heat soak. (Good aircraft AL is usually treated to "T6". Columbia could have lost it's heat treat on critical components?)
2,940 posted on 03/11/2003 5:33:49 PM PST by John Jamieson
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