Posted on 02/04/2003 1:34:19 AM PST by bonesmccoy
In recent days the popular media has been focusing their attention on an impact event during the launch of STS-107. The impact of External Tank insulation and/or ice with the Orbiter during ascent was initially judged by NASA to be unlikely to cause loss of the vehicle. Obviously, loss of the integrity of the orbiter Thermal Protection System occured in some manner. When Freepers posted the reports of these impacts on the site, I initially discounted the hypothesis. Orbiters had sustained multiple impacts in the past. However, the size of the plume in the last photo gives me pause.
I'd like to offer to FR a few observations on the photos.
1. In this image an object approximately 2-3 feet appears to be between the orbiter and the ET.
2. In this image the object appears to have rotated relative to both the camera and the orbiter. The change in image luminosity could also be due to a change in reflected light from the object. Nevertheless, it suggests that the object is tumbling and nearing the orbiter's leading edge.
It occurs to me that one may be able to estimate the size of the object and make an educated guess regarding the possible mass of the object. Using the data in the video, one can calculate the relative velocity of the object to the orbiter wing. Creating a test scenario is then possible. One can manufacture a test article and fire ET insulation at the right velocity to evaluate impact damage on the test article.
OV-101's port wing could be used as a test stand with RCC and tile attached to mimic the OV-102 design.
The color of the object seems inconsistent with ET insulation. One can judge the ET color by looking at the ET in the still frame. The color of the object seems more consistent with ice or ice covered ET insulation. Even when accounting for variant color hue/saturation in the video, the object clearly has a different color characteristic from ET insulation. If it is ice laden insulation, the mass of the object would be significantly different from ET insulation alone. Since the velocity of the object is constant in a comparison equation, estimating the mass of the object becomes paramount to understanding the kinetic energy involved in the impact with the TPS.
3. In this image the debris impact creates a plume. My observation is that if the plume was composed primarily of ET insulation, the plume should have the color characteristics of ET insulation. This plume has a white color.
Unfortunately, ET insulation is orange/brown in color.
In addition, if the relative density of the ET insulation is known, one can quantify the colorimetric properties of the plume to disintegrating ET insulation upon impact.
Using the test article experiment model, engineers should fire at the same velocity an estimated mass of ET insulation (similar to the object seen in the still frame) at the test article. The plume should be measured colorimetrically. By comparing this experimental plume to the photographic evidence from the launch, one may be able to quantify the amount of ET insulation in the photograph above.
4. In this photo, the plume spreads from the aft of the orbiter's port wing. This plume does not appear to be the color of ET insulation. It appears to be white.
This white color could be the color of ice particles at high altitude.
On the other hand, the composition of TPS tiles under the orbiter wings is primarily a low-density silica.
In the photo above, you can see a cross section of orbiter TPS tile. The black color of the tile is merely a coating. The interior of the tile is a white, low-density, silica ceramic.
Here's a way for low-density draggy foam to slow down from 1570 mph to 1064 mph in 300 milliseconds . . .
Time since separation (s) |
Relative axial velocity (mph) |
Relative axial displacement (ft) |
0.000 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.030 |
70.59 |
0.79 |
0.060 |
135.25 |
3.06 |
0.090 |
194.68 |
6.70 |
0.120 |
249.52 |
11.60 |
0.150 |
300.27 |
17.65 |
0.180 |
347.38 |
24.78 |
0.210 |
391.24 |
32.91 |
0.240 |
432.16 |
41.97 |
0.270 |
470.45 |
51.91 |
0.300 |
506.35 |
62.66 |
Alt = 28 km
Rho = 0.02439 kg/m^3
Sref = 0.120492 m^2 (spherical approx for 1920 in^3 -- is very conservative)
V0 = 710.8 m/s (1570 ft/s)
Mass = 1.211 kg
Cd = 1.8 (is 45% more draggy than small steel cubes)
Shuttle accelerates at 1.5 gees
Vertical ascent (is conservative Alt, Rho relative to non-vertical ascent)
And the deceleration interval was not a couple of milliseconds. The debris clearly required several video frames to transverse from point of detachment to point of impact. From the links that I saw here on FR, the frame rate was 30 frames/s. (I advanced the video one frame per step, and counted 30 per each 1 second advance of the movie clock). This translates to 33-1/3 milliseconds between video frames, not a "couple of milliseconds."
I missed the 1570 mph somehow. I have seen from 30fps to 90fps for the film/video. Dittemore said it was high resolution ? He also showed a lesser quality film/video of the underside of the left wing after the strike that did not show any obvious tile damage but it was fuzzy compared to the one of the foam.
The photo John Jamieson speaks of in 2398.
I agree totally.
To my untrained eye this is what I think happened. I posted way back in this thread that I thought the foam/ice that hit the wing might have cracked or shifted either the RCC or a locking "T" there, causing a 'pin hole,' just enought to cause what you described here. I, of course, had no way to prove it, it was a hunch based only on having watched my next door neighbor use a plasma torch to cut heavy steel.
As I have followed this thread, you, xBOB, Bones and several others have shown how this could well have been the case.
In your photo (2408) that is far more damage than I would have expected.
I don't see NASA letting this thing be tethered for fear it would tangle in the control surfaces. Nor do I see them wanting it propelled so it comes back to the shuttle afterwards for fear of a TPS strike with it.
I guess they could put a gyroscope on a CCD camera and eject them out of the payload bay. The shuttle could rotate under it for a visual inspection. The camera USV would then deploy a light solar sail/drag chute to deorbit quickly.
Changes in venting of interior plasma from the wing as it shifted from right to left bank could also explain changes in drag.
This could explain Thud's objections about Columbia lasting to Texas.
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