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The New Global Job Shift
Business Week ^ | Feb 3, 2003 | Cover Story

Posted on 01/29/2003 2:06:28 PM PST by ex-snook

Edited on 04/13/2004 2:16:35 AM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]

The New Global Job Shift The next round of globalization is sending upscale jobs offshore. They include basic research, chip design, engineering--even financial analysis. Can America lose these jobs and still prosper? Who wins? Who loses?

The sense of resignation inside Bank of America (BAC ) is clear from the e-mail dispatch. "The handwriting is on the wall," writes a veteran information-technology specialist who says he has been warned not to talk to the press. Three years ago, the Charlotte (N.C.)-based bank needed IT talent so badly it had to outbid rivals. But last fall, his entire 15-engineer team was told their jobs "wouldn't last through September." In the past year, BofA has slashed 3,700 of its 25,000 tech and back-office jobs. An additional 1,000 will go by March.


(Excerpt) Read more at businessweek.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society
KEYWORDS: citizens; conservatism; global; jobs
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To: Semaphore Heathcliffe
Without some industry to replace IT that replaced manufacturing,

Ironically, during the great manufacturing exodus, many IT folks believed it could not happen to them as they were so very special and talented.
21 posted on 01/29/2003 2:56:12 PM PST by mr.pink
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To: Jim Noble
"I think it has been a terrible, world-historical error to allow jobs to be shipped overseas. I was against it when it was the steelworkers, I was against it when it was the factory workers, and I'm still against it now that it's IT and other tech workers. "

The government has a choice to protect its citizens or its business operators. Maybe a country operating under 'perfect economic laws' might choose that route but we have a political democracy. Where it is the greatest good for the greatest number and the long term ends on election day.

22 posted on 01/29/2003 2:56:42 PM PST by ex-snook (It used to be the economy, stupid. Now it's your job, stupid.)
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To: mr.pink
Ironically, during the great manufacturing exodus, many IT folks believed it could not happen to them as they were so very special and talented.

Just as all those investors in the Nasdaq were convinced that the laws of economics had magically been repealed.

23 posted on 01/29/2003 2:58:49 PM PST by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy
Kudos on the low debt. It's the only way to fly. I genuinely fear what this country could turn into considering the number of people who have 0 (zero, goose egg) savings and lots of debt. Your reward for having kept your financial house in order may be that people, at best, resent you in a big way. In any event we're all getting front row seats, whether we want them or not.
24 posted on 01/29/2003 3:01:53 PM PST by Semaphore Heathcliffe (Pay attention, people...it goes like this: "All your (SINGULAR NOUN) are belong to us!")
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To: dirtboy; Jim Noble
However, this is the new reality...

Is it really new? Whole industries moved from Europe to the Americas in the previous two centuries for the same reasons they are moving away now. Lower labor costs, fewer regulations, etc. This seems like normal business cycle.

The real question is this - is this trend going to be a national security concern. ie will we be able to sustain critical defense industries and a prosperous economy with an adequately educated population to keep ahead of adversaries? If this is recognized as a concern then some action will get taken (critical industries are already identified), otherwise the trend will follow the natural economic course.

25 posted on 01/29/2003 3:03:39 PM PST by Magnum44 (been there, done that, got the t-shirt)
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To: Centurion2000
The name SGV & Co. probably means nothing to you. But this Manila firm's accountants may crunch the numbers the next time Ernst & Young International audits your company.
Hmmm .. and how hard would it be for a rival competitor to slip in, offer 50K to some analyst going over your data and have EVERYTHING on your company?? .....

More to the point, what recourse would you or SGV have if that happens? One big advantage that overseas contractors have is that they are not subject to US law, US lawsuits, and their assets are not seizable by US lawyers. This may be a BIG factor in their competitiveness -- they don't have to worry about complying with EEOC regs, or anything else

26 posted on 01/29/2003 3:04:28 PM PST by SauronOfMordor (To see the ultimate evil, visit the Democrat Party)
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To: mr.pink
Funny how false pride never results in anything good.
27 posted on 01/29/2003 3:06:00 PM PST by Semaphore Heathcliffe (Pay attention, people...it goes like this: "All your (SINGULAR NOUN) are belong to us!")
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To: dirtboy
FYI...I work in software development in a small shop. I've appreciated your comments on this thread, pretty much right on target.

It's been quite a ride for us, and I've got the grey hairs to prove it. When every dotcom was crapping golden eggs...we were eating crumbs. When the golden ones started dropping like flies...we started making it (we chuckled a bit as we bought office furniture and equipment at their firesales).

Right now, we are well aligned and poised to grow.
28 posted on 01/29/2003 3:10:13 PM PST by mr.pink
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To: mr.pink
"Ironically, during the great manufacturing exodus, many IT folks believed it could not happen to them as they were so very special and talented. "

Yes that exodus. Then the manufacturing people were told to retool and learn computers. Now with the dot bomb and H1B where goest the exodus. Retailing was where the jobs were but now McDonald is reducing and the blue light special at K-Mart has dimmed. The only growth seems to be in government or contracts and/or payments from government. "I'm from the government and I'm here to help" is taking on new meaning. But then again we voted for our leaders. "Conservatives" done gone.

29 posted on 01/29/2003 3:11:57 PM PST by ex-snook (It used to be the economy, stupid. Now it's your job, stupid.)
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To: dirtboy
so IMO the best route for American IT professionals to go in order to save their jobs is NOT to learn another programming language, but learn how their business works, and be the layer that translates technology into business reality

Absolutely. Software creation is not just typing in some code. A program is a tool that lets people do business. Figuring out the business process is the real value adder.

30 posted on 01/29/2003 3:16:49 PM PST by glorgau
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To: Centurion2000; Travis McGee; Willie Green
"Hmmm .. and how hard would it be for a rival competitor to slip in, offer 50K to some analyst going over your data and have EVERYTHING on your company??"

It's already happening, and not just for corporations but also for the personal data that they are sending overseas.

A tiny amount of backsheesh in India will get a private eye or a rival corporation access to everything that's been outsourced to places such as China, India, and Taiwan.

The 3rd world has a very informal way of doing business, and as such, the lower-level workers will reveal supposedly "secure" data in exchange for a few coins.

31 posted on 01/29/2003 3:18:01 PM PST by Southack (Media bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: ex-snook
Then the manufacturing people were told to retool and learn computers.

Yup. I'll never forget the Sainted Mayor Guiliani snidely referring to people who voiced concerns about job losses during the NAFTA debate as "losers" who had better learn to compete in the "technology age".
32 posted on 01/29/2003 3:18:54 PM PST by mr.pink
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To: the gillman@blacklagoon.com
At least when there's nothing left to be pillaged, the illegals will go home.

They won't because here there's a massive government handout programs or safety net that gives them a nice lifestyle even if they have no jobs, they don't have that back home.

33 posted on 01/29/2003 3:19:28 PM PST by FITZ
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To: ex-snook
In the global economy is it the citizen or the corporation that our government must protect?

In the global economy who pays the taxes to maintain our giant government which has decided to protect multinational corporations instead of the American citizen? Who pays for the welfare programs for all the "displaced" workers? In this city alone 14,000 jobs were lost to NAFTA and the former employees are still here but now living off the taxpayers ---what happens when there aren't enough taxpayers?

34 posted on 01/29/2003 3:22:31 PM PST by FITZ
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To: ex-snook
As long as "unemployment" rates to get out of control I see little conflict with moving "good" jobs overseas. The way I see it, these "Indian" engineering and IT gurus will produce "cheaper" products for us Americans to consume. That automatically means we can buy more for less. So long as our people shift to "other" employment markets where the demans is not shifting, they'll be able to pull down a good wage and buy cheaper products.

We should pay attention to our standard of living and unemployment rate. If we maintain or improve our standard of living, then this appears to be a good move for everyone.

From a more "conservative" point-of-view, we DON'T want welfare and unemployment to become attractive choices for the complacent and lazy. I'm much more concerned about how we fairly treat an IT employee that is being laid off. I thoroughly believe in "assistance" up to a reasonable point. If you can't find a job in six months, you're probably commanding more of a wage than you deserve in the market. I've got a few buddies that have been unemployed for over a year and they gripe about not being able to replace their $100,000/year IT job with an equiavalent. Guess what, the companies got fed up with paying your salary and shipped your job to India. It's time for you to accept a more reasonable wage or find a new trade. Capitalism demands evolution. You either evolve or you'll become extinct.

35 posted on 01/29/2003 3:25:28 PM PST by YoungKentuckyConservative
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To: Jim Noble
I think it has been a terrible, world-historical error to allow jobs to be shipped overseas. I was against it when it was the steelworkers, I was against it when it was the factory workers, and I'm still against it now that it's IT and other tech workers.

Interesting point. I get concerned when we are comfortable shipping "all" of a sectors jobs out of the country, as we become too reliable on "foreign" source. Take manufacturing for example. If we really needed to be self-sufficient at some given point and could not "plan" for the occassion, how long would it take us to be ready?

You'll know we're done for as a socialist nation the day we start outsourcing our military intelligence and manufacturing.

36 posted on 01/29/2003 3:28:30 PM PST by YoungKentuckyConservative
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To: christie
Trying to figure out how to cut my expenses by fifty percent. The government will get a whole lot less taxes, too.

Let's review that point in more detail, shall we? What's currently being exported are the upper-middle-class jobs (IT, financial analyst, accountant, engineer) that produce the income that produces the tax revenues that hold up the glorious Welfare State.

IIRC, the top 5% pays over 50% of all federal income taxes. What happens to all those government programs when LOTS of middle-class people take a financial hit?

37 posted on 01/29/2003 3:41:33 PM PST by SauronOfMordor (To see the ultimate evil, visit the Democrat Party)
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To: ex-snook
The only growth seems to be in government or contracts and/or payments from government. "I'm from the government and I'm here to help" is taking on new meaning.

Government is a parasite. It can only survive as long as its host (the private economy) is healthy. If the host dies, the parasite has a problem.

The top 5% pay most of the income taxes. If they take a hit, the revenue that government needs to pay for stuff goes away

The big question then becomes: Where will you be on the day the welfare checks don't come? And will you have enough ammo?

38 posted on 01/29/2003 3:49:49 PM PST by SauronOfMordor (To see the ultimate evil, visit the Democrat Party)
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To: dirtboy
In other words, tech salaries are now facing the same adjustment towards economic reality that tech stocks faced over the last few years. The cost of living in New York City is about twice of what it is in my midwest community. I think it is still worse in Silicon Valley. $65K will provide a nice living in my neck of the woods.
39 posted on 01/29/2003 5:27:59 PM PST by EVO X
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To: ex-snook
By spurring economic development in nations such as India, meanwhile, U.S. companies will have bigger foreign markets for their goods and services.

That would be a pretty nifty deal if it wasn't such a lie. It works in some instances, but definately not all.

China is example number 1 why this is wrong.

40 posted on 01/29/2003 5:33:58 PM PST by maui_hawaii
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