Bush Live on Fox stumping for LA Senate Candidate Terrell

Fox News Alert ^ | 03 DEC 02 | DCBryan1

[DCBryan1]

Bush on live: Bush stumps for LA Senate candidate Suzanne Terrell

[Southack]

I agree, but ntoice that she is going with the wind, and that means that the wind has shifted in our favor on this issue.

If she thought that she could get more votes or more funding being pro-choice, then surely you agree that she'd be claiming that view rather than her current one.

[Demidog]

Gosh...isn't he already breaking the provisions of the campiagn finance law he signed?

[Southack]

What?!

[Carolinamom]

I read that Landrieu is giving out FREE red beans and rice today. Would that constitute buying votes?

[southerngrit]

Local word is that Landrieu is doing this because President Bush and Suzie Terrell have a fund raising dinner somewhere in the state (whirlwind schedule today through Saturday) and tickets are going for five grand a pop.

Little Mary's trying to woo the 'common man'.

[Demidog]

Isn't all political speech to be suspended for 6 weeks prior to the election?

[Southack]

"Isn't all political speech to be suspended for 6 weeks prior to the election?"

No. Looks like you haven't read yet another law that you critized.

CFR only bans certain TV ads and such from certain groups (like unions) 60 days prior to an election.

[JameRetief]

Regardless of whether or not the law would prevent Bush from campaining for a candidate this close to an election, the law is not in force during this election. This election is a continuation of the 2002 campaign and is specifically grandfathered to not be affected by the campaign finance law. Haven't read it have you?

[KQQL]

11/24-11/27 Terrell 43% v Laudrieu 44% UNO Poll MOE 3.7%
( UNO Poll reflects Black turnout at 29% )
11/20-11/23 Terrell 51% v Laudrieu ??% Ed Renwick Poll #2 MOE 4%
( Ed Renwick Poll #1 reflects Black turnout at 25% )
11/20-11/23 Terrell 31% v Laudrieu 45% Ed Renwick Poll #1 MOE 4%
(Ed Renwick Poll #2 reflects racial demographics of registered voters)
11/20-11/21 Terrell 46% v Laudrieu 42% Marketing Research(R)* MOE 3.5%
( Marketing Research reflects Black turnout at 23% )
11/19-11/21 Terrell 34% v Laudrieu 50% Southern Media & Opinion MOE 4%
( Southern Media & Opinion Poll reflects Black turnout at 28% )
11/20-11/20 Terrell 46% v Landrieu 42% Fabrizio McLaughlin(R)* MOE 4.2%
11/10-11/12 Terrell 48% v Landrieu 40% WRS/SBA-List(R)* MOE 4.4%
11/06-11/09 Terrell 36% v Laudrieu 51% Southeast LA University MOE 4.2%

* - 4% for party polls

[Grampa Dave]

Today yes, tomorrow the beans and rice could backfire on her.

[speekinout]

The poll numbers are all dependent on how many Blacks are assumed to be going to vote. Blacks all vote Dem (why is beyond me, but it's true), and if they turn out in high numbers, Landrieu will win. But no one knows any issue that will get them to vote in large numbers, so this is all a guess.
The Dems have always known how to get Blacks to the polls. But the GOP seems to have figured out how to get their base to the polls, too. That will be the difference.

I'd guess that the GOP wants this enough to get their voters out. But who knows-

[FreedomFlyer]

The way to get blacks to the polls is the way Gore did it in 2000--Lots of phone calls saying that Bush will let the Voting Rights Act expire in 2007 and that the only reason that blacks can vote is the voting rights act. So a vote for a Republican will cause blacks to lose the legal right to vote. (Someone forgot about the Reconstruction amendments to the Constitution.)

Not only did I get 3 such calls in 2000 (I live in a mostly African American Congressional District), but I heard African Americans calling the major radio stations in town repeating this nonsense as TRUTH.

So all the DEMS need to do is lots of prerecorded phone calls and lots of lying--just like 2000.

[taildragger]

Tennesee, it is not the 72 hour plan, it is something like "Project 96" or something like that. It was prototyped in the Colorado Senate Race. Something like 2000 volunteers meet at the Denver Airport, (they expected 1000) 96 hours before the election deadline and begain a very interesting project. This project includes phone banks, getting rides for undeceided voters that haven't voted, and people walking door to door to get GOP and Independents to Vote. I read about it here on the Freep from someone who claimed to be part of this project and I can't find the link. I am sure at some point this will get some "Big Time" visibility on the political shows, radio and TV.

[taildragger]

Bump !

[speekinout]

So all the DEMS need to do is lots of prerecorded phone calls and lots of lying--just like 2000.

It sounds so crass, but the GOP can counter this effort by having Conservative Blacks go on "get out the vote" drives themselves. The "oreo" argument only works for the first one or two. I know several Conservative Blacks who are willing to do anything they can to "tilt" the Black community. Once the Blacks think it's equally acceptable to be Conservative, many of them will switch on just vouchers and faith-based charity initiatives alone.

[speekinout]

This project includes phone banks, getting rides for undeceided voters that haven't voted, and people walking door to door to get GOP and Independents to Vote.

I don't know that this is a special project, but in my state (MD) the GOP did this stuff in earnest for the first time. We got a GOP gov. for the first time in 36 years.
This effort is just one of the things that other GOP contenders are looking at to copy for other races in the future.

I think it's all good. But Ehrlich also had the advantage of having supremely stupid opponent. She's a Kennedy, so maybe that balances stupid. I dunno.