FINAL ZOGBY POLL RESULTS- INCLUDES POLLING FROM TONIGHT

ZOGBY

[11th_VA]

Thune leading Johnson 47.5% to 47.4%, with a ±4.5% Ummmmmm... I don't get it?

For what it's worth, Zogby says GWB has a 79% favorable rating in SD, and his visit will push Thune over the top - should know in a few hours ...

[kcvl]

Hey, those could be Republicans because they actually KNOW how to use the screen.

[flying Elvis]

Georgia will go for Cleland. Watch the Atlanta precints report late and overwhelmingly dem. Sax will pull out to a huge lead early, only to see it evaporate as Atlanta begins reporting.

[ApesForEvolution]

The leftist progagandists, pollsters and RED STAR TRIBUNE are so desperate it's sick. I just poked my head in earlier this evening to 'see a friend' covering the election for the RED STAR and they ALL LOOK SICK and FRANTIC....we are in a war, a recession and Mondull IS NOT the man...no sincerity at all. Transparent.

[GOPyouth]

Fox has not had him on since.

I'll back off that statement because I'm not sure, but I watch Fox all the time and haven't seen him on.

[concerned about politics]

Ummmmmm... I don't get it?

It's that close. Add military votes to that. (I'm really counting on those to put these close races over the top).

[BoomerBob]

I want to throw a question out there in case I missed reading the answer in one of the posts...

Are these results, like most tracking polls, using the process of rolling data over a three day period, dropping off the oldest data and adding in the new?

If that's the case then consider the Colorado race... Zogby had Allard down nine and now he's down five. Assuming that the 9 point poll was an outlier, then the next two polls showing the race moving closer may actually represent a tie race or Allard actually in the lead (which would correspond more closely with all the other polls in the race). All the tangibles going into tomorrow are in Allard's favor (i.e. registration advantage, strong GOP tickets in all the races except Boulder and Denver where Allard will be behind anyway). My final guess on this race is Allard by 3pts and overall the GOP +2 assuming LA stays Democrat in the runoff.

[ApesForEvolution]

I am an independent, 3rd party contractor with campaign experience and enough passion, motivation and capital to 'invest' in this election. I'm coordinating inner city activities for some 'friends'...and my cousin is a ranking GOP consultant. There you have it.

[Hunble]

I grew up in Atlanta (Stone Mountain) and still consider Georgia my home.

Keep your Georga updates comming!

[Deport Billary]

I think Chambliss wins by a few thousand votes. There is no way any person watching that debate could say Cleland won, unless they're being paid to do so. The libertarian vote is down to 1% and more people think Cleland needs to go.

[Diddle E. Squat]

Now it appears that the worse case scenario is for the GOP to pick up +1

Sorry, but I completely disagree. We could easily see Dems pick up 2, everything is just too close. Remember, it only takes 50.001% to win. AR is gone, CO is going to take a near miracle, NH could go. MO is a likely gain, but SD & GA could slip through our fingers. And MN is still an uphill battle, there's just so much Dem/Indep tradition to overcome, its that "when in doubt, I guess I have to stick with the defender of the common man" idiotthink. Like it or not.

OTOH, TX and NC aren't going anywhere, and his earlier wording on NJ is intriguing. He had it mixed in with the states that are still in play, instead of lumping NJ in with NC as a state that is decided(which his numbers here would suggest as more appropriate). Long-shot, but interesting.

Guess I might as well join the crowd in a prediction:

GOP loss: AR, CO GOP gain: SD, MO

So the GOP needs to get one of GA, LA, MN(in order of most likely to least likely shot).

BTW, there is no way in hell that Kirk is leading Cornyn. In just a few days Zogby goes from Kirk in DFW down 45-49 to Kirk up 62-38. Impossible, which points to sampling problems for Zogby. While I think that some are way to quick to scream vote fraud at every turn, if Kirk wins TX, that will be the only explanation. (OK, if half the Houston suburbs are flooded out, that will be the exception.)

My prediction: GOP +1(to 50-50), but not until December or January. Its been pretty quiet these last few days, no real October surprises from the Dems. That makes me wonder if the GOTV/absentee/provisional/10,000 intimidators/related shenanigans tomorrow are going to be as ugly as many of us imagine. And a messy court fight might give Lincoln Chafee the cover to sell out. But for now I'll assume that he'll do the right thing, for a price. Same for McCain. There are 3 things that have recently convinced me that Bush has signaled that he is ready to play hardball and take it to the limit.

I don't care if you have Emmitt, Barry, Faulk, or Payton, scoring on 4th and goal at the 2 with 6 seconds remaining and down 4 is NEVER a certainty. Doesn't matter who has the better team, who has the tougher schedule, what the weather is, what the crowd noise is, what the bad calls were, bottom line its all down to one play, fair or not.

[11th_VA]

MISFIRED ON SOME REALLY KEY VATING BLOCKS.

I think his "world dot com" comment probably sent the geek vote to Coleman ...

[ApesForEvolution]

That's the push right there...it's the 'hornet's nest' in MN.

[flying Elvis]

I'm in Mississippi right now at grad school, but I am driving to Georgia in the morning to vote with mom. I hate to be pessimistic but I have had my heart broken too many times by those late Atlanta returns.

[ApesForEvolution]

When I saw what the MNSC was doing, giving the courts the ball by changing MN statute to send out late absentee ballots, setting up the impending lawsuits by the MNDFL, I dropped what I was doing and flew back to MN. This election will only stay out of the courts if Fritz doesn't walk away, and right now, the election is running to Coleman!

[ArcLight]

Lovely picture kcvl. They look like some of my aunts and uncles. Now, if I could just get 'em to vote Republican...sigh.

[Hunble]

When, ever in your life, have you ever seen people so motivated about an off-year election?

Look inside of yourself. Don't you feel an excitement?

I do not discuss my religion much on FreeRepublic, but dang, even I can feel something sprititual happening this week.

Do not forget that. What is your heart telling you?

[dixiechick2000]

"Add military votes to that. (I'm really counting on those to put these close races over the top)."

After the way the military ballots were treated by the Gore team in the 2000 election, that would be poetic justice!

[I still care]

I was just checking the historical electoral college. Do you know that in 1864 NJ actually voted for McClellan for president? I mean, even if you didn't like Lincoln, McClellan was a total, pompous loser. And NJ, Kentucky and Delaware were the only 3 states he carried. I guess they are still voting for losers in that state.

http://www.presidentelect.org/e1864.html