Hurricane Lili Now A Category 4

TWC | 10-02-02 | my favorite headache

[DBtoo]

I just hope they don't decide to let the Palestinians flood into the US. They need to go somewhere in their region where they would feel more at home. Then they would be happier, Israel would be happier, and we would be happier. But of course if they are offered to settle into a country such as Jordon, they will be stubborn and insist they must remain in Israel, period.

[Free Trapper]

At least now everybody will have some daylight for the worst part of the storm.

[Vigilantcitizen]

You still with us?

[Diddle E. Squat]

HURRICANE LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
645 AM CDT THU OCT 3 2002

...LILI WEAKENING BUT STILL DANGEROUS...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL
LATER THIS MORNING ALONG THE SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST...

...STORM SURGE FLOODING IS LIKELY THIS MORNING FOR COASTAL
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES...
AND LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...
...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ONSHORE PORTIONS OF THE
LOUISIANA COAST IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
COAST FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER WESTWARD...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA
AND PARISHES BORDERING LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS...

...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST AND
COASTAL MISSISSIPPI TODAY...

...INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SECTIONS OF
INTERIOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SECTIONS OF
INTERIOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...

...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THE LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE LOUISIANA
PARISHES OF ASSUMPTION...ASCENSION...EAST BATON ROUGE...
IBERVILLE...JEFFERSON...LAFOURCHE...LIVINGSTON...ORLEANS...
PLAQUEMINES...ST. BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST. JAMES...ST. JOHN THE
BAPTIST...AND ST. TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...TERREBONNE...WEST BATON
ROUGE.

AND THE MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES OF HANCOCK...HARRISON..AND JACKSON.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 600 AM CDT...HURRICANE LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0
NORTH AND LONGITUDE 91.9 WEST. THIS LOCATION WAS ABOUT 95 MILES
SOUTH OF NEW IBERIA. LILI WAS MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED SOON REACH THE COAST LATER THIS
MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING MAY OCCUR BEFORE LANDFALL.

...STORM SURGE INFORMATION...
TIDES ARE CURRENTLY 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI COAST AND IN LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND
MAUREPAS.

STORM TIDES OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE EXPECTED TODAY ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST INCLUDING GRAND ISLE...SOUTHERN LAFOURCHE
AND SOUTHERN JEFFERSON PARISHES. HIGHER STORM SURGE TIDES OF 7 TO 10
FEET...ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF TERREBONNE
PARISH.

STORM TIDES OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WEST BANK
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA BORDERING BARATARIA BAY. THIS INCLUDES
THE WEST BANK AREAS OF ST CHARLES...JEFFERSON...UPPER LAFOURCHE...AND
ST JOHN THE BAPTIST PARISHES.

STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE EXPECTED IN THE PARISHES
BORDERING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...LAKE BORGNE AND EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
MISSISSIPPI COAST.

RESIDENTS IN COASTAL AREAS INCLUDING THE WEST BANK OUTSIDE THE
HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND ALONG LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN...SHOULD HAVE BROUGHT TO COMPLETION ANY PREPARATIONS.

...WIND...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR HIGHER HAVE SPREAD ACROSS
MUCH OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING.
WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND 55 MPH HAVE BEEN RECORDED AT NEW ORLEANS
AREA AIRPORTS DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. A WIND GUST TO 65 MPH
WAS RECORDED AT AN AUTOMATED WEATHER STATION ON MID LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN CAUSEWAY BETWEEN 400 AM AND 500 AM.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 75 TO 85 WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE LIKELY IN THE
WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT SEVEVERAL HOURS PRIMARILY IN TERREBONNE AND
ASSUMPTION PARISHES...CLOSE TO THE TRACK OF THE HURRICANE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND GUSTS OF 75 TO 80 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WELL
INLAND ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THE AREA OF PRIMARY THREAT
FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL EXTEND FROM TERREBONNE PARISH NORTH
ACROSS ASSUMPTION AND IBERVILLE THROUGH THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
GREATER BATON ROUGE AREA AND INTO SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. RESIDENTS IN
THESE AREAS SHOULD MAKE SURE THEY ARE SHELTERED IN WELL CONSTRUCTED
BUILDINGS...AND TAKE REFUGE IN THE INTERIOR ROOMS AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS WHEN THE STRONG HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARRIVE.

PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE ARE CAUTIONED NOT TO VENTURE
OUTSIDE DURING THE RELATIVELY CALM OF THE THE EYE...BECAUSE WINDS
WILL INCREASE SUDDENLY FROM THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION.


...RAINFALL...
SIGNIFICANT SQUALLS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. SQUALLS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF
THE DAY...AND MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

...TORNADOES...
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES IN THE RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE LILI...
PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF CENTER.


...PRECAUTIONARY ACTION....
RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD HAVE
BROUGHT ALL PREPAREDNESS MEASURES TO COMPLETION. THE PUBLIC IS URGED
TO USE THE INFORMATION FROM OFFICIAL SOURCES ONLY AND HEED THE
ACTIONS DIRECTED BY LOCAL PARISH AND COUNTY AUTHORITIES.

EVACUATION RECOMMENDATIONS...EVACUATION ORDERS...SHELTERING...AND
SCHOOL CLOSURES ARE BEING ISSUED BY LOCAL PARISH GOVERNMENTS IN
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. AREA RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO LISTEN TO LOCAL
MEDIA FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI CAN EXPECT
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND POSSIBLE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO
DOWN TREE LIMBS AND CAUSE POWER INTERRUPTIONS THE REMAINDER OF THE
MORNING.

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
845 AM CDT THIS MORNING.

[Diddle E. Squat]

HURRICANE LILI LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
630 AM CDT THU OCT 3 2002

...LILY WEAKENING...BUT STILL DANGEROUS...HEADED FOR THE SOUTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST...

...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO CAMERON...VERMILION...IBERIA...SAINT
MARY...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON DAVIS...ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...UPPER AND
LOWER SAINT MARTIN...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...AND SAINT LANDRY PARISHES
IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...RAPIDES AND AVOYELLES PARISHES IN CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...AS WELL AS...JEFFERSON...ORANGE...JASPER AND NEWTON
COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR JEFFERSON AND ORANGE COUNTIES
IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND CAMERON...VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST MARY
PARISHES IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ACADIA...
LAFAYETTE...AND SAINT MARTIN PARISHES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALLEN...
EVANGELINE...SAINT LANDRY...RAPIDES...AND AVOYELLES PARISHES.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
LOUISIANA TODAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.9 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST.

HURRICANE LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...AND
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR CAMERON...VERMILION...
IBERIA...SAINT MARY AND ACADIA PARISHES.

RECOMMENDED EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR CALCASIEU...JEFF DAVIS AND
SAINT MARTIN PARISHES.

FOR LAFAYETTE PARISH...EVACUATIONS ARE RECOMMENDED TO BE COMPLETED
FOR PEOPLE IN YOUNGSVILLE AND MILTON AREAS...AS WELL AS OTHER LOW-
LYING AREAS AND PEOPLE IN MOBILE HOMES.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
A STORM SURGE TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS LIKELY NEAR AND
TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST AROUND VERMILION
BAY.

THE NEXT HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AT SABINE PASS AT 1239 PM...AT
CAMERON AT 1253 PM...AND VERMILION BAY AT 1232 PM.

...WIND IMPACTS...
FOR VERMILION...IBERIA...AND SAINT MARY PARISHES...WIND GUSTS TO 90
MPH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH NOON.

FOR ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...AND SAINT MARTIN PARISHES...WIND GUSTS TO
75 MPH WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH NOON.

FOR ALLEN...EVANGELINE...SAINT LANDRY...RAPIDES...AND AVOYELLES
PARISHES...WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 10 AM AND 6 PM.

FOR ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...AND SAINT LANDRY PARISHES...WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH ARE EXPECTED DURING EARLY MORNING HOURS.

FOR CALCASIEU AND JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISHES...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH
ARE EXPECTED DURING EARLY MORNING HOURS.

AS LILI MOVES OVER LAND...PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE ARE
CAUTIONED NOT TO VENTURE OUTSIDE DURING THE RELATIVE CALM OF THE
EYE...BECAUSE WINDS WILL INCREASE SUDDENLY FROM THE OPPOSITE
DIRECTION.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST...CENTRAL AND SOUTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA UNTIL 10 AM...AS THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES
INCREASES.

...RAINFALL...
OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA THROUGH THE MORNING. RAIN TOTALS TO SIX INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF VERMILION...IBERIA...SAINT MARY...
ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...SAINT MARTIN...EVANGELINE...SAINT LANDRY...
RAPIDES...AND AVOYELLES PARISHES TODAY.

...RIVERS...
FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE VERMILION RIVER...WITH MINOR TO
MODERATE FLOODING ALONG THE CALCASIEU AND MERMENTAU RIVERS...BAYOU
NEZPIQUE...AND THE WHISKEY CHITTO CREEK.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE LILI WILL BE ISSUED ABOUT
830 AM.

FOR MORE HURRICANE INFORMATION...SEE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV OR THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LCH

[ET(end tyranny)]

Agreed. I would think by now that Bush has probably had his fill of Arafat and his ilk. Think someone said they came out of Jordan, let them be reassorbed into Jordan.

[Uncle Sham]

Still here, but perhaps not all there. The sound of rain and wind all night really wears on you.

[FireTrack]

"At least now everybody will have some daylight for the worst part of the storm ".

Plus it's weakening at a very rapid pace...

[DBtoo]

Perhaps Blam can drive on over from Mobile and cook Mother-In-Law breakfast. Nah, I guess he's a bit too far away and the traffic conditions are probably terrible. I wish he would not have posted his breakfast menu as it has made me hungry and now I want to eat what he is eating but it's a little after 4 in the morning here; I've been up all night on this thread because of my family. Especially my brother in Zachary. And he probably ended up going to bed around 11 after all although earlier he said he would be up all night. Instead I have stayed up all night.

[Vigilantcitizen]

"The sound of rain and wind all night really wears on you."

Agreed FRiend. It dang sure ain't a picnic.

[DBtoo]

I know! I love it there, and New Iberia is in the heart of Cajun country. My family is from Avoyelles parish originally, where I see nasty weather is expected too! Before my father died he wanted to move back to the small town there where he was born and grew up. Those are the greatest, warmest, and most comical people in the world, at least to me! When I turn into an old lady, I will most likely think about returning there too.

[Uncle Sham]

Local radio reports power outages all around the area as well as increasing winds. I just did a another walkabout and am pleased to say that other than a new front door, my expenses, so far at least, will be minimal. :-)

[Free Trapper]

Look on the bright side.

You got a free trashcan. :)

[DBtoo]

Eek! It's still not on shore yet but the weather seems to be getting rather bad. It does sound like the eye will pass near New Iberia! I notice they are mentioning the Baton Rouge parishes now. If I'm still up, I think I'll try calling my brother again in a bit.

[Uncle Sham]

I'd rather take what's behind door number three thank you. There's another "blinkie"

[tomkat]

[Diddle E. Squat]

Looks like the worst bands bordering the eye are over Marsh Island now.

[DBtoo]

Did that flying trash can put a dent in your front door? Oh boy. I hope nothing else happens to you. Is Iberia in Iberia parish?

[Uncle Sham]

Radio broadcasting a report from Thibodeaux about 50 mph gust but not much rain. They expect it to be over with in about three hours or so.

[Uncle Sham]

Power blinks here and at the radio station. They mentioned it as it happened here! Big-time dent in front door due to 747-like trash can.