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Gun Rights - The 5% Solution
Sierra Times | 11/17/00 | The Hunter

Posted on 08/01/2002 11:39:33 AM PDT by Ancesthntr

I admit it, I am a one issue voter. Everything is judged on how it is going to affect my gun rights. As I write this, it is still unclear who the next president will be. A lot of patriots, libertarians, and individualists seem to be of the rather cynical opinion that it really does not matter. We have all heard what is at stake, but many argue that even if the Republicans end up with shaky control of both houses of Congress and the presidency, that they will do little if anything on gun rights.

It will not be easy, but I believe that a weak Bush administration coupled with thin Republican majorities in Congress create an opportunity for freedom lovers. I think the time is right to push the gun rights issue hard, and I think we can win.

The secret is a preemptive strike. There is no question that the hoplophobes are going to push for more restrictions. So why wait to see what they do and fight each proposal in detail? It is time to gin up the gun rights groups, and from day one demand rollbacks.

The late Senator Everett Dirksen was fond of saying "When I feel the heat, I see the light." We know that when the letters and calls and emails start pouring in ("heat") Republican politicians come around ("light"). It is time to get unreasonable and make them scramble to keep us happy. Any gun rights group that wrings its hands and refuses to get on board should be treated to a dose of the same medicine.

Many caution that even conservative Republicans cannot be trusted. Let us lay all the cards on the table. If they backstab us, so what? The distinct minority of obedient gun owners will meekly turn in their guns, thereby becoming pitifully irrelevant. A few hotheads will try to shoot it out and become a rather graphic example to stiffen the resolve of those remaining. The rest of you will simply ignore the new restrictions without taking further action, in effect silently daring "Go ahead, make my day".

That puts the ball firmly in their court. It is not a particularly playable hand. Think of that grim situation - many of their most productive and law abiding citizens, armed to the teeth, far out numbering their security forces and simmering on the edge of open defiance. Millions of them are capable of hitting an eighteen inch circle at a few hundred yards. An eighteen inch circle that quite handily covers the head and torso of a hypothetical human target. Not a comforting thought for the politicians who pushed through such legislation. Especially when the people responsible for his protection explain that if he insists on appearing in public, his safety can no longer be guaranteed.

But we need not ever get to the stage of pointing out these facts. It is, so far, a very theoretical threat. The possibility of armed resistance just does not feel real to any save a few paranoids deep down scared of everything in the world. In truth it is NOT very real -- yet. So far most gunnies seem to believe they can weather the storm, and have enough faith in the system to fight within it rather than literally.

A well founded belief, if you look at what has been achieved politically against overwhelming odds the past few years. Especially when you remember some of the spectacular results of economic boycotts, or even the THREAT of such actions.

In this environment, the threat of POLITICAL harm, as opposed to physical assault, is very real to politicians. Bush in particular has gotten contact from gun rights advocates explicitly saying "our support has a price, and we intend to collect". I am absolutely sure that sort of thing has been said, because *I* said it. I also know I am not the only one. Nor is the Bush campaign the only ones we have been leaning on. Keep up (or better yet increase) the pressure and you might see some amazing results.

Even with the uncertainties of the presidential outcome, we can begin pressuring them now. Offer support now in their hour of need, explicitly saying that this is their reward for their support of gun rights. Then remind them of it for four years while simultaneously building up a major threat to them from the free side. (Right and left not really applying here.) With Nader and the greens threatening the Democrats from the other direction, it could get real interesting by 2004.

We need not count on gratitude to ensure our support is rewarded. For years now L. Neil Smith has been advocating a devastating strategy that he calls "the five per cent solution". http://www.webleyweb.com/tle/le970601-01.html His original version was not limited to just gun rights, but narrowing the focus does not lower the impact.

He suggests we simply analyze the election returns. Identify any Republicans who are both weak on guns and won their last election by five per cent or less. Either they agree to play ball, or we switch our support to their opponent. Preferably one with a better record on guns, but if he is bad in the first place you lose nothing. Since the Republicans cannot afford to lose a single seat, the situation we find ourselves in is tailor-made for his strategy to have maximum impact.

Politicians whose last race was that close are weak. Gun owners can easily swing enough votes to deny them office. All we need do is pick off anti-gun Republicans and replace them with pro-gun conservative Democrats (or third party candidates). Do that two or three times and you can swing one house of Congress away from the Republicans as punishment. With careful choices in a few key races the Republicans can be made to fear us as much or more as they fear the Democrats and the press. There is not even much risk, assuming Bush becomes president. Just make sure the Democrats do not gain enough votes to override a veto. The fact that gun rights are one issue on which Democrats do not vote in lockstep just makes it easier.

Using this tactic, we hammer the Republicans in Congress for the next two years, saying "we got you this far, and we are going to abandon you unless you start delivering". Put them between a rock and a hard place. By the time another two years pass and we reach another presidential race, the Republicans will be falling over themselves to support us. The NRA has been doing some of this already, so getting them aboard is by no means a far-fetched notion.

You can multiply the effectiveness of your calls by starting with the gun-friendly politicians identified by NRA or GOA, and grouse to them about their weak-kneed colleagues. Playing carrot and stick with these guys is real easy. Utilize the gun-friendly to help you put pressure on the not-so-friendly.

Save the nasty letters for those you identify as weak both on guns and their chances of re-election. Make those contacts AFTER you have talked to the ones solidly in our corner. It never hurts to suggest that the wavering contact a gun-friendly colleague for further information. Put the pro-gun politicians to work. If you do not trust them, substitute one of the gun rights groups.

Hammer away relentlessly at each and every politician you can identify that meets these simple criteria. Best case he might see the light. Worst case, you give him a chance to get reacquainted with the private sector in the next election cycle.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: assaultrifleban; banglist; gunrights; politicians; republicans; rkba
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This article was posted by SJackson back in 2000, but it is as relevant now as then.

Folks, the "Assault Rifle" atrocity is up for renewal in 2 years. Those who are voted into office in 2002 will decide whether this gross violation of the 2nd Amendment is allowed to die, is renewed, or is renewed with more restrictions on our rights and made permanent. GWB has already gone on record regarding this issue, saying that he WILL sign a renewal. It is our job, as gun owners, to make certain that it never reaches his desk. We must make the Republican Party understand that the only acceptable result is to let this law sunset. This implies that there must be a consequence to the Republican Party if they allow a continuing (or worsening) violation of our rights. This article spells out a good method to achieve this goal and to avoid wasting our time, effort and money where it won't do any good.

It should also be pointed out that there are some Democrats that are either pro-gun or on the fence (down south, for the most part, like Zell Miller). We need their votes, too. Those of you who live in their districts or states can also use the tactics outlined in this article to exert pressure.

Those of you who are belong to various gun rights organizations (esp. the 800-pound guerilla, the NRA) need to tell them to get on the stick about this NOW. We have precious little time to waste: THIS is the election that matters most for gun rights.

1 posted on 08/01/2002 11:39:33 AM PDT by Ancesthntr
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To: SJackson; *bang_list
Bang!
2 posted on 08/01/2002 11:40:05 AM PDT by Ancesthntr
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To: Ancesthntr
Excellent post.
The biggest litmus test right now is the Armed Pilots Bill and even the dems have seen the light on that subject. If any Republican votes against the Bill, it should be political suicide.
3 posted on 08/01/2002 11:48:01 AM PDT by Shooter 2.5
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To: Ancesthntr
All we need do is pick off anti-gun Republicans and replace them with pro-gun conservative Democrats (or third party candidates).

I have been a firm believer in "working within the system" to alter the political course in favor of gun rights. But Bush thinks he has "paid off" 2A advocates by appointing Ashcroft and then having him make his little letter to the NRA public. So far, its all just rhetoric. I agree 100% that the sunsetting of the Federal AW ban is THE single most important goal of ALL the gunnies in the country. Getting rid of that worthless piece of crap will be the beginning of some real roll-backs in unconstitutional gun laws. If we cannot convince Bush et al, that this is a good idea, and if we cannot muster the support in Congress to make it happen, then we are in for a steady decline to the ultimate insult: national licensing/registration/confiscation. The writing is on the wall.

4 posted on 08/01/2002 11:58:11 AM PDT by 45Auto
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To: 45Auto
I would rejoin the NRA, but they spend the equivalent of my dues in postage, letters and flyers soliciting more money.
5 posted on 08/01/2002 12:01:45 PM PDT by GalvestonBeachcomber
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To: Ancesthntr
Many caution that even conservative Republicans cannot be trusted.

As witnessed just a couple of days ago when Larry Craig (R-ID) partnered up with McCain, Kennedy and Schumer on extending the reach of the NICS.


6 posted on 08/01/2002 12:02:02 PM PDT by Joe Brower
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To: Ancesthntr
Good post--thanks. WorldNet Daily has an article today about x-cops being able to carry concealed/interstate WITHOUT CC permits (unlike US).

See:http://worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=28472

Gun rights organizations say legislation under consideration in the Senate that would allow active and retired police officers to carry a gun out of their jurisdictions – even across state lines – discriminates against ordinary Americans, many of whom are forbidden from carrying a gun even locally.--snip--

7 posted on 08/01/2002 12:06:28 PM PDT by two23
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To: Ancesthntr
I too am watching the "Assault Weapon Ban". This is a bell weather law that will help me decide who to vote for.
8 posted on 08/01/2002 12:13:55 PM PDT by stevio
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To: Ancesthntr
<font size="large" color="red> Only 96 days left until the election. </font> </p> <p> What did <em>you</em> do today? </p>
9 posted on 08/01/2002 12:20:25 PM PDT by jdege
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To: jdege
OK, how did the HTML auto-detect mess that one up.
10 posted on 08/01/2002 12:20:54 PM PDT by jdege
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To: jdege
Only 96 days left until the election.

What did you do today?

(Now that's better)

11 posted on 08/01/2002 12:23:13 PM PDT by jdege
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To: jdege
"What did you do today?"

I assume that you said that in order to wake people up. In case that wasn't the purpose, I posted this article here and on "The Firing Line," thereby alerting others to the issue. I'll be writing letters and making phone calls on it soon. Yesterday, I bothered the $hit out of Kay Bailey Hutchison's staff about the issue of pilots being able to carry in the cockpit.

If 1 in 100 gun owners (roughly 800,000 people) were to write one letter or make one phone call to their Senators, Representative and the President each month, the impact would be stunning. Far from more gun laws, we'd see the pols falling over themselves to repeal the crap on the books. Let's get with the program!

12 posted on 08/01/2002 12:56:23 PM PDT by Ancesthntr
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To: phasma proeliator; da_toolman; alieno nomine
PING
13 posted on 08/01/2002 1:20:47 PM PDT by jdogbearhunter
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To: Squantos; Travis McGee; jdogbearhunter; harpseal; Jeff Head; two23; tanka wasichu; Atsilvquodi
bump
Ping
BOOM
14 posted on 08/01/2002 1:31:33 PM PDT by phasma proeliator
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To: Ancesthntr
bangdity bump
15 posted on 08/01/2002 2:39:38 PM PDT by ibbryn
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To: Ancesthntr

What did you do today?"

I assume that you said that in order to wake people up.

Yes - it wasn't intended to be a personal attack.

Only 96 days to the election. I know it's still summer, but it's time for all of us to start working.

And I don't mean just writing letters - the candidates need people to answer phones, put up yard signs, distribute campaign literature, knock door-to-door.

Right now is when it matters most.

16 posted on 08/01/2002 3:18:49 PM PDT by jdege
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To: GalvestonBeachcomber
You have nailed it exactly -- that's why I let my membership expire. I joined GOA instead -- I don't know how they are spending my money, but at least it isn't on solicitations for yet more money!
17 posted on 08/01/2002 4:55:32 PM PDT by TexasRepublic
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To: TexasRepublic
At this point in time, the candidates can use your labor more than they can use your money.

Particularly in the state legislative races.

The average state legislature runs a campaign with only a handful of volunteers. And in this fight, it's usually the state house that matters most.

Look around - find an anti-gun incumbent who is beatable, and volunteer to help his opponent. And make sure he knows why you're there.

18 posted on 08/01/2002 5:35:09 PM PDT by jdege
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To: Joe Brower
Rebump.
19 posted on 08/01/2002 9:16:39 PM PDT by Travis McGee
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To: Shooter 2.5
:o)

GOA, JPFO, Texas State Rifle Association, SAS, Liberty Belle Bumpity Bump !

Stay Safe !

20 posted on 08/01/2002 10:55:09 PM PDT by Squantos
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