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Largest Asteroid in Years Misses Earth - "We never saw it coming"
Jun 21,2002 - 12:15 AM ET | Deborah Zabarenko

Posted on 06/21/2002 5:16:28 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - An asteroid the size of a soccer field whizzed by Earth at a distance much nearer than the Moon, the biggest such space rock in decades to get this close, scientists said on Thursday.

Asteroid 2002MN was not detected until Monday, three days after its closest approach on June 14, when it got within 75,000 miles of Earth and was traveling at a speed of some 23,000 miles per hour, astronomers said.

It is now several million miles away, according to Brian Marsden of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics' Minor Planet Center, which tracks asteroids.

"It's the largest (asteroid) we've seen at that distance in the last several decades," Marsden said in a telephone interview.

The last time any asteroid came this close was in 1994, according to the Near Earth Object Information Center in Britain.

The big rock, with a diameter of roughly 50 yards to 120 yards, would not have caused global catastrophe if it had struck Earth. That would take an asteroid of several miles diameter.

However, if it had hit Earth, it had the potential to cause as much local devastation as a 1908 hit in Tunguska, Siberia, which flattened some 800 square miles of forest.

Asteroid 2002MN was first spotted by the Lincoln Near Earth Asteroid Research program, based in Socorro, New Mexico.

"It's a good thing it missed the Earth, because we never saw it coming," Steve Maran of the American Astronomical Society said in a telephone interview. "The asteroid wasn't discovered until three days after it passed its closest approach to our planet."

LINEAR is part of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's initiative to find 90 percent of all near-Earth objects, including asteroids, that measure .62 mile or more in diameter by 2008.

An asteroid the size of 2002MN may hit Earth about once every hundred years or so, and the planet may not have seen the last of this one, Marsden said.

"There is a slim chance it could hit in 2061," he said, putting that chance at about one in 100,000.

"At some level, it behooves us to look out for these things," he said.

Asteroid 2002 MN will be observable by some telescopes but it is getting fainter as it moves away, Marsden said.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: space
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1 posted on 06/21/2002 5:16:28 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife; Snow Bunny; Alamo-Girl; Republican Wildcat; Howlin; Fred Mertz; onyx; SusanUSA; ..
Amazing!

Please let me know if you want ON or OFF my ping list!. . .don't be shy.
2 posted on 06/21/2002 5:25:03 AM PDT by MeekOneGOP
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Too bad. If we'd been luckier, it would have impacted Mecca.
3 posted on 06/21/2002 5:30:18 AM PDT by Joe Brower
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
If I'm going to a restaurant and miss it by 75,000 miles I'm going to get danged hungry.
4 posted on 06/21/2002 5:30:19 AM PDT by Aeronaut
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To: Aeronaut; Joe Brower
Space is pretty darn huge - an asteroid coming by, closer than the Moon, is practically a direct hit, imho.
5 posted on 06/21/2002 5:33:43 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Oh! Was THAT that gust of wind I felt the other day?
6 posted on 06/21/2002 5:34:09 AM PDT by peteram
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To: peteram
LOL!

Imagine, we didn't even know it had happened until three days after the close encounter!

7 posted on 06/21/2002 5:36:29 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
I know. Fortunately, "almost" only counts in grenades and horseshoes.
8 posted on 06/21/2002 5:40:37 AM PDT by Joe Brower
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
=80
9 posted on 06/21/2002 5:41:59 AM PDT by mewzilla
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To: Joe Brower
Yes, I've heard that. I wonder how close an asteroid can come before it's pulled in by the Earth's gravity. That makes "close" more deadly serious.
10 posted on 06/21/2002 5:44:29 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife; MeeknMing
Good thing we spent all of that tax money on the Hubble. (/sarcasm)
11 posted on 06/21/2002 5:47:56 AM PDT by agenda_express
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To: MeeknMing
Those size asteroids and their blast can be devastaing in a relatively small way.

Once they hit the atmosphere they detonate above ground and flatten what's below.

It's the big boys, thousands of miles in diameter that can snuff out human life on earth.

As of now, we have nothing to stop or deflect these monsters in space.

Food for thought.

12 posted on 06/21/2002 5:49:45 AM PDT by johnny7
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
. I wonder how close an asteroid can come before it's pulled in by the Earth's gravity.

I'm certainly no astrophysicist, but astronomy, along with cosmology and quantum physics, have long been a hobby of mine.

Generally speaking, anything with the velocity of a typical asteroid will blaze by an object the size of the earth in a matter of about fifteen to twenty minutes or so. Add to that the mass of such an object, which adds to it's momentum, and chances are rather slim. This rapidly changes if the object is close enough to interact with the Earth's atmosphere, which then imparts enormous drag and friction, and dramatically decreases the object's kenetic energy (not to mention creates quite a show).

Bottom line, unless something like this is coming straight at us to start with, chances of the Earth "snagging" it are slim. Gravity is a terrifically weak force, although, since it is only accumlative (unlike the other three fundamental forces of nature), it overall is the most pervasive and influential.

13 posted on 06/21/2002 5:56:39 AM PDT by Joe Brower
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Sounds like God changed His mind at the last minute.
14 posted on 06/21/2002 5:58:26 AM PDT by VoiceOfBruck
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To: Joe Brower
a large, destructive, unthinking, city smashing object? that reminds me, where has sharpton been?
15 posted on 06/21/2002 6:07:10 AM PDT by tm61
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To: Joe Brower
Thanks for the info. It sounds like we need some reseach in how to detect these killer asteroids.
16 posted on 06/21/2002 6:11:20 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
I heard a guy talking on the radio about this last night.
He said they ignore rocks this small cause there is nothing they can do about it anyway, they have no way to stop them and the chances of it hitting a land mass are small.

I wouldn't want to be under it when it exploded in the atmosphere..

17 posted on 06/21/2002 6:19:07 AM PDT by The Mayor
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To: johnny7
"As of now, we have nothing to stop or deflect these monsters in space." I can see it now, we spend tons of money to get a system in place that can deflect the monsters and then a supervolcano goes off and wipes everything out.
18 posted on 06/21/2002 6:22:31 AM PDT by TBall
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To: Joe Brower
I think the biggest concern, if this or one like it were to hit the Earth, is how governments would react to the impact/explosion. For instance, if it would have hit the US, Russia, or China, particularly near a population center. This could very easily be mistaken for a blast from a nuclear weapon. SAC/NORAD would probably be able to figure out that it was a big rock from space, but what about some of the other members of the nuclear club? Russia's detection infrastructure is probably nowhere nearly as sophisticated or well maintained as ours is. I imagine China would have a hard time identifying where it came from as well. With the explosion yeilding a blast in the mega-ton range, an event like this could possibly cause a country to believe that they had just been nuked and then launch a retaliatory strike against whoever happens to be on their list of targets, which might include the US.
19 posted on 06/21/2002 6:22:44 AM PDT by Orangedog
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To: johnny7
It's the big boys, thousands of miles in diameter that can snuff out human life on earth.

It wouldn't take anything nearly that large to wipe-out most of the life on the planet. It's believed that the asteroid that killed the dinosaurs (among other things) was about 5 miles in size, impacting and creating what is now the Gulf of Mexico.

Another variable is the makeup of the object. If it's mostly ice (like a small comet) there would be less damage. But if it was comprised of iron, nickle or just plain old rock, then we would have an extinction level event on our hands.

20 posted on 06/21/2002 6:29:54 AM PDT by Orangedog
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