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India warns US it may be about to attack Pakistan
Hindustani Times ^ | 5/17/02 | Saurabh Shukla

Posted on 05/17/2002 5:32:26 PM PDT by TheConservator

Home Minister LK Advani's expression of "deep disappointment" with the US in Parliament was matched by tough language to US Ambassador Robert Blackwill behind closed doors.

In meetings on Friday with National Security Advisor Brajesh Mishra and Foreign Minister Jaswant Singh, Blackwill was told the US had failed to fulfil promises to restrain Pakistan from supporting terrorism. India, therefore, would take "appropriate action". A similar message was given to US Secretary of State Colin Powell when he spoke to Singh earlier.

Blackwill's assurances that the US saw the fight against Kashmir militancy as part of the global war on terrorism received a sceptical response.

India said Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf had done nothing concrete to rein in terrorists — despite US promises to the contrary. India showed evidence that cross-border terrorism had increased after Pakistan pledged to fight terror.

Blackwill's request for more time to get Pakistan to comply was rejected.

Blackwill expressed US President George W Bush's concerns about tensions escalating into a full-scale war. India, he was told, would not take rash decisions but as a sovereign country it reserved the right to act on its security needs. India was urged not to break diplomatic relations with Pakistan.

Following these exchanges, there was a ratcheting up of diplomatic activity in the city.

Blackwill and senior US embassy officials reviewed the situation late into the night and consulted with Washington. There was speculation that besides Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage, expected in South Asia in the next fortnight, Powell may also fly here.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: india; nuclearwar; pakistan; southasialist
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Folks, there is a significant chance that India is going to launch at least a "limited" attack on Pakistan within the next few days.

And if it does so, there is then a significant chance that the conflict will quickly escalate to the use of nuclear weapons. Pakistan has already announced it intends to use nuclear weapons if India launches a successful conventional attack upon it.

Have a nice day.

1 posted on 05/17/2002 5:32:27 PM PDT by TheConservator
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To: TheConservator
Pakistan has already announced it intends to use nuclear weapons if India launches a successful conventional attack upon it.

Despite the great size of India's military I have serious doubts that it can logistically support it well enough to enable any sort of meaningful victories that would lead to exchange of nukes. Having said that the chaos and cost of war may in turn lead to internal problems in Pakistan and the establishment of an unfriendly government there (see Russia 1917).

2 posted on 05/17/2002 5:36:13 PM PDT by Straight Vermonter
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To: TheConservator
Folks, there is a significant chance that India is going to launch at least a "limited" attack on Pakistan within the next few days.

And if it does so, there is then a significant chance that the conflict will quickly escalate to the use of nuclear weapons.

We've been hearing this for 6 months straight. Whatever....

3 posted on 05/17/2002 5:36:49 PM PDT by Excuse_My_Bellicosity
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To: Excuse_My_Bellicosity
for 6 months straight

The difference is that now the forces are in place to launch off into Pakistan. 6 months ago they weren't.

4 posted on 05/17/2002 5:39:39 PM PDT by RightWhale
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To: Excuse_My_Bellicosity
Six months? Try years..... :)
5 posted on 05/17/2002 5:40:35 PM PDT by Lucas1
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To: TheConservator
Rets get Ready to Rumble.
6 posted on 05/17/2002 5:42:04 PM PDT by miamimark
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To: TheConservator
...US had failed to fulfil promises to restrain Pakistan from supporting terrorism. India, therefore, would take "appropriate action"...

HOW do we restrain them? We can't even restrain Saudi Arabia, another "ally", from supporting terrorism. Invade Pakistan like Afghanistan?

"Pakistan with current population of 137.5 million is the seventh most populous country in the world, fourth in Asia...".

We'll force 'em to get a new Muslim president that's a lot worse than Musharref, maybe? What exactly does India suggest we do?

7 posted on 05/17/2002 5:46:04 PM PDT by xJones
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To: RightWhale
True enough, they've had time to build a real force and not just saber-rattle across the fence.
8 posted on 05/17/2002 5:46:24 PM PDT by Excuse_My_Bellicosity
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To: Straight Vermonter
Sorry, but India's military has the numbers to overwhelm the Pakistani military. They also have the same religious fervor to commit slaughters against the Muslim nation which would initiate a nuclear attack. The problems are that even though several major cities in India might be destroyed, the wildcards are China and Iran and that is when it gets very dicey with regards to India's nuclear retaliation.
9 posted on 05/17/2002 5:46:59 PM PDT by Nuke'm Glowing
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To: Nuke'm Glowing
China is the big question. All bets are off if China comes in.
10 posted on 05/17/2002 5:49:59 PM PDT by RightWhale
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To: TheConservator
Hot summer?
11 posted on 05/17/2002 5:51:07 PM PDT by Elenya
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To: TheConservator
OBL clearly wants to unify all of Islam against the West. He has two main opportunities: War in the Middle East, and/or war between India and Pakistan.

It does not get much press in the U.S. compared to the Middle East, but efforts to stir up war between India and Pakistan have been quite intense.

Looks like OBL is stalled in the Middle East. Maybe not in Kashmir.

12 posted on 05/17/2002 5:52:20 PM PDT by EternalHope
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To: TheConservator
I bet we know were Pak's nukes are and would take them out if they tried to launch.
13 posted on 05/17/2002 5:59:09 PM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: xJones
HOW do we restrain them? We can't even restrain Saudi Arabia, another "ally

Actually, Powell, Bush et al seem more into restraining Israel, a true ally, from defending itself. Wait for outraged noises from the State Department admonishing India about touching their islamic pals...

14 posted on 05/17/2002 6:00:46 PM PDT by Cachelot
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To: *SouthAsia_list
*Index Bump
15 posted on 05/17/2002 6:02:47 PM PDT by Fish out of Water
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To: TheConservator
Certainly this area will be in full-blown war by year-end. But you'd better bookmark this because DEMS will want to know what the president knew about it and when he knew it while they feign ignorance.
16 posted on 05/17/2002 6:03:17 PM PDT by anniegetyourgun
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To: TheConservator
Certainly this area will be in full-blown war by year-end. But you'd better bookmark this because DEMS will want to know what the president knew about it and when he knew it while they feign ignorance.
17 posted on 05/17/2002 6:03:18 PM PDT by anniegetyourgun
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To: AmericaUnited
I sense a great disturbance in the force!
18 posted on 05/17/2002 6:03:37 PM PDT by CWW
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Comment #19 Removed by Moderator

To: TheConservator
Hmmm,a little foreshadowing.
20 posted on 05/17/2002 6:10:55 PM PDT by mdittmar
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