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A Second Mathematical Proof Against Evolution [AKA - Million Monkeys Can't Type Shakespeare]
Nutters.org ^ | 28-Jul-2000 | Brett Watson

Posted on 03/05/2002 9:45:44 PM PST by Southack

This is part two of the famous "Million Monkeys Typing On Keyboards for a Million Years Could Produce The Works of Shakespeare" - Debunked Mathematically.

For the Thread that inadvertently kicked started these mathematical discussions, Click Here

For the Original math thread, Click Here


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: crevolist
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To: Physicist
"There are organisms without DNA. ...
There aren't currently any single-celled organisms without DNA ..." - Physicist

You've either contradicted yourself or else accidently used the wrong tense ("there are" vs "there aren't").

Please explain.

121 posted on 03/06/2002 6:42:35 PM PST by Southack
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To: js1138
"Analog systems cannot be reduced to information, due to complexity, butterfly effect, and all that. We can model them, make many useful short term predictions, but they always drift away from prediction."

I'm completely baffled by why you are saying the above. It seems a bit off-topic.

More to the point of contention at hand, do you claim that analog computers are unable to process data?

122 posted on 03/06/2002 6:51:24 PM PST by Southack
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To: Southack
Can I say that the data on your hard drive is separate from the structure of the hard drive?

No, you cannot separate information from the substrate it resides on, though people frequently (and incorrectly) view it that way. Information is a property of the hard drive substrate, which is why information can never be moved from a substrate, only copied to another substrate. While this may seem like a pointless distinction, it is extremely relevant in that it is the foundation of transaction theory. Life would certainly be much easier for software engineers if this wasn't the case.

123 posted on 03/06/2002 7:03:01 PM PST by tortoise
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To: js1138
Glad you brought up the word analog. Analog systems cannot be reduced to information, due to complexity, butterfly effect, and all that. We can model them, make many useful short term predictions, but they always drift away from prediction.

I don't think this is generally true, and in any case the distinction between analog and digital is essentially superficial. In fact, all analog systems are representable with full information fidelity on digital systems. A point that escapes most people is that analog and digital are merely coding formats for information in a carrier, but people have taken them to mean something else due to historical precedent in usage rather than fact.

124 posted on 03/06/2002 7:09:39 PM PST by tortoise
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To: Southack
RNA viruses and prions are not cells and they do not contain DNA, but they do qualify as life-forms in the broadest sense.
125 posted on 03/06/2002 7:16:01 PM PST by Physicist
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To: Physicist
"RNA viruses and prions are not cells and they do not contain DNA, but they do qualify as life-forms in the broadest sense."

If we limit this discussion to cellular life-forms (thus bypassing the on-going debate about whether or not viri are considered Life), can we agree with each other that Watson's math applies?

126 posted on 03/06/2002 9:35:47 PM PST by Southack
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To: Southack
How did you arrive at that conclusion?

You proposed a very, very, very, very long set of numbers that relate to nothing but itself. It's like saying, "pink, flying elephants don't exist, therefore evolution could not happen."

127 posted on 03/06/2002 11:13:58 PM PST by powderhorn
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To: Southack
If we limit this discussion to cellular life-forms (thus bypassing the on-going debate about whether or not viri are considered Life), can we agree with each other that Watson's math applies?

Once more, we cannot. Mammalian red blood cells show that his assumption about the minimum number of genes needed for a living cell is flat-out wrong. Cells can survive without genes.

You're trying very hard to go down the path I outlined in post #74, but I'm not going to follow you there.

128 posted on 03/07/2002 3:01:23 AM PST by Physicist
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To: Capitalist Eric
With regard to this "proof" the simple fact is, given infinite time and random chances, all possibilities- even those whose mathematical remoteness borders on the ludicrous- will come to pass.

Including the possibility that all things will cease to exist?

129 posted on 03/07/2002 3:08:15 AM PST by Aquinasfan
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To: Aquinasfan
If there's some non-zero chance that everything could just wink out of existence at any given moment, then I suppose it's inevitable sooner or later, given an infinite span of time. Of course, if we're really talking about infinite length of time, then sooner or later, things will also inevitably come to exist again, so long as the probability of that is also non-zero ;)
130 posted on 03/07/2002 3:39:00 AM PST by general_re
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To: Southack
"RNA viruses and prions are not cells and they do not contain DNA, but they do qualify as life-forms in the broadest sense." -- Physicist

If we limit this discussion to cellular life-forms (thus bypassing the on-going debate about whether or not viri are considered Life), can we agree with each other that Watson's math applies?

No, because then the math is completely irrelevant. You would claim that Watson demonstrates that no DNA-based single-celled organism could spontaneously arise. But who cares? Nobody suggests that such a thing happens - its a strawman. Those non-DNA life forms (RNA cells, mitochondrial cells, etc.) are all examples of what the PRECURSORS to DNA-based cells might have been like.

Because life did not spontaneously appear as a fully formed DNA-based cell, but rather arose through a process of selection and chemistry, Watson's math is irrelevant.

But then, you knew that. It's been pointed out for three threads now, and you haven't answered it. You've just ignored it and moved on, brazenly repeating your assertions.

131 posted on 03/07/2002 4:51:05 AM PST by cracker
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To: cracker
Placemarker.
132 posted on 03/07/2002 5:43:34 AM PST by Lurking Libertarian
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To: cracker, Physicist
"RNA viruses and prions are not cells and they do not contain DNA, but they do qualify as life-forms in the broadest sense." -- Physicist

Viruses and prions are wholly dependent upon cellular life and, absent evidence to the contrary, it would seem to me they had to arise after cellular life had become the norm. They are parasites. There is no basis for assuming that viruses and prions are precursors to cellular life. Unless of course I am mistaken.

133 posted on 03/07/2002 5:58:22 AM PST by Phaedrus
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To: tortoise
all analog systems are representable with full information fidelity on digital systems.

Simply not true. Ever hear of the three body problem? If your assertion were true, the orbits of the various members of the solar system could be represented digitally and everything predicted perfectly. No wondering about the appearance of comets, etc. And the weather could be predicted.

Not only is it impractical to make perfect digital representations of complex systems, it is theoretical impossible.

I prefer digital audio to vinyl, but not to a live performance with acoustic instruments.

134 posted on 03/07/2002 6:02:50 AM PST by js1138
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To: Phaedrus
There is no basis for assuming that viruses and prions are precursors to cellular life.

I make no such assumption. They merely illustrate that life in general cannot be defined in terms of cells.

135 posted on 03/07/2002 6:11:39 AM PST by Physicist
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To: Condorman
re 105.

Interesting. You simply re-iterated the point -- while somehow thinking you were critical of it.

136 posted on 03/07/2002 6:23:37 AM PST by tallhappy
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To: cracker
re 106, you are babbling incoherently in response to a straightforwatd statement.
137 posted on 03/07/2002 6:26:04 AM PST by tallhappy
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To: Southack
Yes, that's a far superior way of saying it. I stand corrected, thanks.

No. It's trivial.

You guys are missing out a bit in discussing it, the data is stored in the sequence of the individual bases in the DNA polymer. You can substitute as for in and it makes no difference.

138 posted on 03/07/2002 6:30:12 AM PST by tallhappy
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To: Southack
The concept of data was under discussion. As in data contained in DNA, and whether data can arise spontaneously.

The notion that life is information or data seems conceptually related to the notion that evolution has a direction or goal. Which is not true.

Nor is it true that living systems can be modeled or represented digitally. You can certainly make approximations that might or might not be useful -- just as you can make useful, but not accurate predictions of weather.

But the underlying "information" is for all practical purposes, infinite. You cannot predict the direction of an evolutionary process.

139 posted on 03/07/2002 6:31:15 AM PST by js1138
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To: Southack
About this article -- it's horrible.
140 posted on 03/07/2002 6:32:17 AM PST by tallhappy
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