Posted on 01/27/2002 8:25:56 PM PST by Impeach98
This is GREAT news!!!!! YIPPEEEE!!!!!!
M E M O R A N D U M
TO: Sacramento Political Insiders & Interested Parties
FROM: Russo Marsh + Rogers, Inc.
RE: Simon Closing in on Riordan in Another Poll
DATE: January 28, 2002
____________________________________________________________________
A new poll released Friday by the non-partisan California Target Book shows that conservative Republican Bill Simon's campaign for Governor continues to gain traction with voters. In three recent polls from January 10 through January 24, Simon's support has grown from 4% to 13% and now 18% and growing!
In a matter of three weeks Simon support has jumped almost five-fold on the strength of a growing paid media campaign, the televised candidates debate and key endorsements.
Simon has won recent endorsements from Rudy Giuliani, the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association, California Tax Limitation Committee, California ProLife Council, the California Organization of Police and Sheriffs and conservative State Senator Ray Haynes.
SIMON CLOSING IN ON RIORDAN AS JONES EASILY SURPASSED
The latest poll shows a continual growth in support for Simon despite being outspent by Riordan in recent weeks. While the Simon surge is based on a $600,000 media buy, Riordan has squandered over $2,000,000 according to press reports - with almost nothing to show for the effort. Jones continues to flounder without any prospect for a serious media campaign. The three recent polls were the Public Policy Institute Poll taken from December 26, 2001 through January 10, 2002; the News10-SurveyUSA Poll released on January 21st; and the Target Book poll taken from January 22 through January 24, 2002. The only candidate making significant statewide progress is Bill Simon.
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PPIC - Jan. 10
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Riordan 43%
Simon 4%
Jones 10%
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Survey USA - Jan. 21
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Riordan 53%
Simon 13%
Jones 14%
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Target Book - Jan. 24
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Riordan 45%
Simon 18%
Jones 13%
SIMON NOW EVEN WITH RIORDAN IN PARTS OF CALIFORNIA
The most compelling aspect of the poll is the ground Simon is gaining on former L.A. Mayor Dick Riordan. Simon slightly leads Riordan in the San Francisco Bay Area media market (27%-26%) where Simon enjoys a 24% favorable - 3% unfavorable image rating. Simon also runs a statistical dead heat for first place in the Sacramento media market where Simon is viewed favorably by 27% of voters and unfavorably by only 3%.
RECOGNITION OF GIULIANI ENDORSEMENT GROWS
This new poll shows that the endorsement of Simon by former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani is playing an important role in helping to fuel the explosion in support for Simon. Among those who indicated that they were aware of Giuliani's endorsement of Bill Simon in the GOP gubernatorial race, a whopping 46% indicated they were supporting Simon. Only 1 in 5 voters was aware of the Giuliani endorsement when the poll was conducted.
As the Simon for Governor campaign continues to expand the size and scope of its paid television and radio advertisements in the coming days, this correlation will further propel Simon upwards in the polls.
JONES NOW IRRELEVANT IN GUBERNATORIAL RACE
The California Target Book poll also exposed the widely predicted end for the campaign of Secretary of State Bill Jones. Support for Jones is dropping to single digits in many parts of the state and among key demographics groups as a result of voters flocking to Simon. In the San Diego media market, for example, Jones polls just 4% of the vote. Without the capacity for any significant statewide media buys, Jones is likely to languish in single digits throughout the state.
RIORDAN NOW REELING UNDER CAMPAIGN SCRUTINY
The recent poll also shows increased negatives for Mayor Riordan as voters become increasingly aware of his inconsistent statements on major issues in the campaign. Now Governor Gray Davis is joining the fray and pointing out Riordan inconsistencies to primary voters!
__________________________
Russo Marsh + Rogers, Inc.
770 L Street, Suite 950
Sacramento, CA 95814
(916) 441-3734
This is one of the extremely rare times that I don't agree that any Republican is better than a Democrat. Riordan is not a fraction of a hair better than Davis. Nothing would be significantly different in California if Riordan or Davis was elected.
Riordan's going DOWN in the California GOP primary!
If they are the same ads I have seen then they DO tell you who they are paid for. Watch the first few seconds of the ad - at the bottom of the screen is Gray Davis' TV ads with the words "Paid for by Governor Gray Davis Committee" or something to that effect.
The new Battleground Poll that came out last week showed that more people identify themselves as Republicans rather than Democrats for the first time in modern history. Why? Because George W has done wonders for the image of the party.
If we elect Riordan as Governor, he will define us as a liberal party -- which would be death to the party. Conservatives would abandon the Republican Party in droves.
I appreciate your sentiments, but we DO NOT want Riordan to be our nominee because the damage will be astronomical.
Also, the Democrat in New Jersey was out of office and did not have the budget anvil on his back that Gray Davis has. When the folks find out how bad this guy screwed us, Simon will be 20 points ahead in the polls.
Simon is a winner AND a conservative. It doesn't get any better than that.
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