This table is corrected from the last one I posted. How in the world South Dakota can give Geo Bush a 23% margin and still vote in two RAT senators is beyond any reasonable logic.
For the Senate vote to select the leader, having a RINO is hands down better than a RAT.
To: HighWheeler
Out of this list, the probabilities support the ouster of Carnahan, Landrieu, Johnson, and Cleland, while Collins and Smith are particularly vulnerable for the R's. Johnson & Cleland's states went heavily for Bush yet have no Republican senators...people will notice that in '02, but alot has to do with who the R's are running. It's easy to pre-gloat about future wins based on the presidential showing, but it doesn't do any good if you shoot yourself in the foot by running a Michael Huffington or equivalent.
Carnahan will suffer from the Mosely Braun syndrome and be tossed out, and Johnson & Landrieu share the same predicament as Cleland. I don't see Baucus losing, he's been there a long time and has support in the eastern half of the state. Likewise, I don't see Domenici falling, either, for the same reasons. This can turn out well, but the base cannot be slacking off on election day for yet another election.
To: HighWheeler
"yellow indicate potential flip to DemocRAT" Good color choice. Here's a chant from our Condit freeps: "He's not a blue dog; he's a YELLOW DOG!" For victory & freedom!!!
To: HighWheeler
--as a former resident here is my opinion: South Dakota has been a near 50-50 state in the past. This year, the decent people, including lots of Demo's, came out and voted massively against Clinton clone Gore. Hopefully, the actions of Tom D'Aschole will cause the same reaction in '02 and '04--
To: HighWheeler
With Gramm out Texas will have an open seat.... The democrats appear to be having a hotly contested primary with 3 or 4 candidates in the race. It is questionable at this time that a hotly contested primary will occur in the Republican Primary as some of the previous mentioned candidates have indicated they won't run. All in all it should still be a win for the Republicans, I'd think.
Louisiana still hasn't gotten a strong Republican candidate to challenge Landrieu as far as I can tell...
10 posted on
11/21/2001 4:00:09 PM PST by
deport
To: HighWheeler
HW, Think SD is bad, watch Maine vote in Dem replacement for Collins and watch Dem John Baldachi get elected Gov.
Maine is fast becoming home to all the liberals, the rest of us are packing up and moving out...
To: HighWheeler
For the Senate vote to select the leader, having a RINO is hands down better than a RAT.I dunno.... sometimes it's better for satan to be ugly - - he's easier to recognize that way.
RINOs (like Jeffords was) turn my stomach more than nearly any rat, except maybe for pukes like Leahy and Boxer.
To: HighWheeler
Tom Harkin (IA) is in for the race of his life. Congressman Greg Ganske is in a primary race with a fella named Sailer. Sailer, an ex marine, is a true conservative, but unknown. It will be a tough primary, because it's the true conservatives who go to the polls in the primary. I expect that primary to be close.
The Republican Party in Iowa is fired up and ready to WORK. Watch this one, it should be fun!
To: HighWheeler
I have a relative who just moved to North Dakota from PA. He spends a lot of time in SD. As a staunch conservative, he began to ask that very question - how can you elect Daschle in such a conservative state? Easy answer: he delivers, particularly on matters involving agriculture/water/land, etc. They told him the average income is about $25,000 and the government subsidies are important to their survival. BUT, they are very socially conservative. They put up with Daschle's liberal support for social issues because of the financial issues. He says it's a very practical decision, not made blindly, and that very few are devoted to Daschle the man.
To: HighWheeler
Susan Collins is a long-time friend of the Bush family. I think she will get GWB's active support (as well as that of BarBar).
To: HighWheeler
I don't think that Pete Domenici will lose in NM. He doesn't raise the ire of the Dems here, and brings home the bacon for the National Labs and Military Bases. Finally, there is no challenger big enough to get decent traction. That seat will be at risk when he retires (probably after this next term)
To: HighWheeler
In Iowa, Bill Salier can knock off Harkin. The RINO Ganske cannot.
To: HighWheeler
You forgot one: "The Torch" may be vulnerable in the Peoples Republic of New Jersey. Torricelli has "ethics" issues and our wonderful new governor-elect, McFlorio, is already setting up a massive tax increase that could hurt him (like it almost knocked off Bradley back in '90). See, here in Moscow on the Hudson, the proletariat -- and totally annoying minivan driving soccer moms -- love government handouts (but don't wanna pay for them). This scenario could help the good guys pick up the seat...but only if former 2 term governor Tom Kean runs. I know, I know: Kean is a text book RINO, but this IS New Jersey!!!
56 posted on
11/22/2001 5:47:02 AM PST by
tbg681
To: HighWheeler
Rockerfella and Dominici are far from likely to lose their seats.
To: HighWheeler
Susan Collins isn't vulnerable for one reason-- John Baldacci isn't running against her because he wants to be Governor. The Dems want that Governorship next year and will spend most of their money and time to get it. King can't run again, so the Dems just have to stay focused. Collins isn't conservative enough to be considered out of step with Maine voters. Here are Bush's 2000 percentages for New England. Note where Maine ranks:
- New Hampshire, 48.07%
- Maine, 43.97%
- Vermont, 40.7%
- Connecticut, 38.44%
- New York, 35.23%
- Massachusetts, 32.5%
- Rhode Island, 31.91%
New Hampshire gave its electoral votes to Bush and the nearest non-electoral-vote-giver is Maine. This is a true indictation of where Mainers are ideologically. They aren't as liberal as the 30-percenters. The Bush's even have a home in Kennebunkport. As long as Bush doesn't embarass them while they harbor the Presidential Family, they aren't going to hold Susan's connection with Bush against her. In fact, Bush could easily campaign with her next year and it wouldn't hurt her. He couldn't do that in Massachusetts or Rhode Island for a candidate there.
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