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Secret plans for 10-year war: Generals rule out 'D-Day invasion'
The Times (UK) ^ | SEPTEMBER 20 2001 | BY MICHAEL EVANS, DEFENCE EDITOR

Posted on 09/19/2001 7:50:33 PM PDT by aculeus

AMERICA and Britain are producing secret plans to launch a ten-year “war on terrorism” — Operation Noble Eagle — involving a completely new military and diplomatic strategy to eliminate terrorist networks and cells around the world. Despite the mass build-up of American forces in the Gulf and the Indian Ocean, there will be no “D-Day invasion” of Afghanistan and no repeat of the US-led Operation Desert Storm against Iraq in 1991, defence sources say.

The notion that a US-led multinational coalition would attack Afghanistan from all sides for harbouring Osama bin Laden, the wealthy Saudi dissident leader and prime suspect for the terrorist outrages in New York and Washington, has been rejected in Washington and London. The sources also say that the planned campaign is not being focused on just “bringing bin Laden to justice”.

The build-up of firepower by the Americans in the region, notably the two aircraft carrier battle groups that are to be joined by a third carrier, USS Theodore Roosevelt, is seen as a major display of available military capability. While it is important for these assets to be in the right place in case of a political decision to launch a strike, there are no plans for a “short-term fix”.

The dramatically different anti-terrorism campaign is being planned to meet what is now regarded as the most dangerous threat to global security, known as asymmetric warfare. “We’re expecting it to last from five to ten years,” one source said.

New ideas are needed to counter small groups armed with the minimum of weaponry, whether conventional or non-conventional. Such groups have the capability to attack a nation as powerful as the United States, which is equipped with the full range of modern weapons and professional Armed Forces.

Old doctrines for fighting wars, based on lining up tanks and artillery and layers of troops, are being thrown out and replaced by a more subtle and wide-ranging doctrine which seeks to defeat the enemy at its own game. “The aim is not to go for the enemy’s strengths, but its weaknesses,” one source said.

American and British planners are working on the basis that military strikes will take place only as part of a broader global counter-terrorist operation, embracing every other type of international action — diplomatic, economic and political.

Most of the focus of the ten-year campaign plan, the sources say, is on using military action as a potent back-up to all the other strands of Operation Noble Eagle.

However, President Bush, conscious of the demand for “revenge” from the American public, might sanction shorter-term military operation by special forces, or airstrikes, but only if there is sufficient intelligence to guarantee a sucessful outcome. “There’s no point in firing a lot of missiles at bin Laden if they miss their target, or launching Tomahawks at bin Laden training camps if they are empty,” one source said.

Donald Rumsfeld, the American Defence Secretary, also gave the strongest hint yesterday of what Operation Noble Eagle is all about. “I think what you will see evolve over the next six, eight, ten, 12 months, probably over a period of years, is a coalition to help battle terrorists,” he told CNN.

He added: “This is a very new type of conflict or battle or campaign or war or effort, for the United States. We’re moving in a measured manner. As we gather information, we’re preparing appropriate courses of action, and they run across the political and economic and financial, military, intelligence spectrum.”

British officials said the whole focus of the long-term American approach was being driven by Richard Cheney, the American Vice-President, and General Colin Powell, the Secretary of State. The combination of the two highly experienced men was guaranteeing a well-coordinated strategy. “Everyone now knows it’s going to be a long haul, not a spectacular single strike,” one official said.

The war on terrorism could be likened, they said, to the war on drugs or poverty, and the best way to undermine and eventually dismantle the terrorist structures around the world was to use the method of “hearts and minds” — encouraging foreign governments and people to join in the “war” so that terrorists would be isolated and identified.

Some of the most dramatic achievements, the sources say, might come, not from military action, but from political pressure on foreign governments to turn their backs on terrorism and to hand over the organisers of terrorist networks.

They point to the campaign against Yugoslavia in 1999. Although the airstrikes fitted more closely to the “old doctrine concept” of using massed firepower to target the enemy, which brought criticism from many parts of the world, Nato was also seen to be working as a humanitarian agency with its operation in Albania helping to build shelters for the thousands of refugees pouring out of Kosovo.

The eventual outcome, the political downfall of Slobodan Milosevic and the decision by the new Government to hand him over to the war crimes tribunal in The Hague, is seen as a classic example of how military action can serve two purposes, defeating the enemy and effecting political change.

In the Gulf War, the American-led coalition achieved one objective, driving the Iraqis out of Kuwait, but not the other, the overthrow of President Saddam Hussein by his own people.

Already, the sources say, just over a week after the terrorist attacks in America, there have been positive developments: the Israeli and Palestinian leaders have agreed a new ceasefire and 1,000 clerics have been forced to gather in Kabul, the capital of Afghanistan, to discuss the fate of bin Laden.

Yesterday it was also announced that President Putin is to visit Nato headquarters in Brussels on October 3 and will meet Lord Robertson of Port Ellen, the Secretary- General, another positive sign that the Russian leader supports the campaign against terrorism.

Russia and Nato put out a joint statement last week condemning the terrorist attacks and vowing that they would not go unpunished.

Other coalitions against terrorism are also being rapidly formed and several countries, notably Pakistan yesterday, have offered bases for American military action.

However, sources in Washington say there are no plans to deploy huge numbers of US troops to Pakistan, which would only inflame Islamic fundamentalists opposed to the decision by President Musharraf to grant US access to two air bases in the country.


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Britain, our best ally.
1 posted on 09/19/2001 7:50:33 PM PDT by aculeus
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To: aculeus
AMERICA and Britain are producing secret plans to launch a ten-year “war on terrorism”

Umm...yeah...real "secret"...

2 posted on 09/19/2001 7:55:02 PM PDT by Chief Inspector Clouseau
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To: Chief Inspector Clouseau
actually while this won't satisfy my desire for military intervention now, it makes sense. It makes absolute sense to me but my guess is it will start with a military operation in Afghanistan. The big stick will stay off shore while the rest goes on. The big stick will be ready to strike at any time.
3 posted on 09/19/2001 7:56:36 PM PDT by cajungirl
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To: aculeus
I think that if we do not topple at least one terrorist-supporting government, we will lose credibility.
4 posted on 09/19/2001 7:58:49 PM PDT by BurkeanCyclist
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To: aculeus
The dramatically different anti-terrorism campaign is being planned to meet what is now regarded as the most dangerous threat to global security, known as asymmetric warfare. “We’re expecting it to last from five to ten years,” one source said.

What do you wanna bet it will be a covenent for 7 years, with Israel as one of the signers.

5 posted on 09/19/2001 7:58:55 PM PDT by DouglasKC
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To: aculeus
Personally, my appitite for revenge is pretty big right now. I think we can wage this 10 year war AFTER we pummel Taliban and help the Northern Alliance.

The enemy of my enemy is my friend.

madison46

6 posted on 09/19/2001 7:59:29 PM PDT by madison46
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To: cajungirl
It's all fine with me...let the experts call the shots. But don't call something "secret" that bin Laden will be reading on the can in the morning. Oh wait, they're too poor to have plumbing because of evil western capitalists.

Oh well...it's still not a secret...

7 posted on 09/19/2001 8:00:01 PM PDT by Chief Inspector Clouseau
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To: aculeus
How exactly does a president with a four-year term "plan" to wage a ten year war? The analogy to the drug war is frightening.
8 posted on 09/19/2001 8:00:05 PM PDT by independentmind
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To: BurkeanCyclist
They'll loose crediblity with me. Any nation that let 5000+ of its people die without action deserves to be thrown out.
9 posted on 09/19/2001 8:00:54 PM PDT by madison46
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To: cajungirl
While we are planning our war on terrorism, what are we doing to protect ourselves from another attack? Please, I beg you, please protect our children. What are we doing to stop an attack on schools? Has this thought crossed anyone's mind but me?
10 posted on 09/19/2001 8:01:04 PM PDT by teacher33w
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To: aculeus
This is very reassuring as it pertains to the fidelity of our leaders to the most effective, not the most politically advantageous strategy.

This is part of our general aim plan to invite other nations into the realm of peaceful democracy, properity and tolerance.

The anti-American, anti-prosperity crowd is crowing loudly and painting itself in a corner.

God Bless America.

11 posted on 09/19/2001 8:02:25 PM PDT by Monti Cello
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To: cajungirl
I say it'll be a war of spooks and assassins, with the big stick reserved for big d!cks like Saddam. I suspect that the islamic militant 'cast of characters' will just start disappearing, one by one, with all the faithful believing that they're just in hiding.
12 posted on 09/19/2001 8:08:34 PM PDT by randog
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To: teacher33w
Oh, stop whining.
13 posted on 09/19/2001 8:09:00 PM PDT by VMI70
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To: independentmind
BINGO! Where do the Poppies grow? The UN needs revenue!
14 posted on 09/19/2001 8:09:33 PM PDT by constitution (HELP! SAVE ME!)
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To: all
This could be disinformation.

Or it could be true.

Work on it, terrorists.

15 posted on 09/19/2001 8:10:20 PM PDT by aculeus
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To: Monti Cello
One of our best weaposn will be economic. Every financial asset and account that appears to be tied to terrorists or their supporters needs to be frozen and or confiscated. This needs to be done in Europe, Brittain, here and in all western or other allied country. Osama and crew didn't invest in the Afgan stock market.
16 posted on 09/19/2001 8:12:47 PM PDT by umgud
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Comment #17 Removed by Moderator

To: aculeus
I would have a lot more faith in this article if the author hadn't begun it with a glaring mistake.

"Operation Noble Eagle" is the name given to the domestic air defenses set up over the United States in the wake of the attacks last week.

That is not the name of the operation that he's allegedly describing above. I believe it is being called "Operation Infinite Justice".

Another urinalist talking out of his anus.

18 posted on 09/19/2001 8:13:42 PM PDT by Yankee
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To: I'm a wee bit skeptical
A Kinder, Gentler War, along with Compassionate Containment?
19 posted on 09/19/2001 8:14:14 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: randog
Good call randog. Maybe we should rename it "Operation Hoffa."
20 posted on 09/19/2001 8:19:37 PM PDT by SCHROLL
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