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Michigan Senate: El-Sayed Leads Primary, Fall Race Remains Tight
quantusinsights ^ | July 3 | quantusinsights

Posted on 07/06/2026 5:57:15 AM PDT by RandFan

El-Sayed leads Stevens in the Democratic primary, while Rogers remains within the margin of error against all three tested Democrats.

Michigan’s 2026 U.S. Senate race begins as one of the clearest tests of the midterm map. Democratic incumbent Gary Peters is not seeking another term, creating an open-seat contest in a state Donald Trump carried in 2024. It is also the only open Democratic-held Senate seat up in a Trump-won state, making Michigan one of the central battlegrounds for Senate control. (See crosstabs and technical report here).

Our latest Quantus Insights survey of 947 Michigan voters finds the general election highly competitive across all three tested Democratic matchups. Mike Rogers, the likely Republican nominee, is essentially tied against Abdul El-Sayed, Haley Stevens, and Mallory McMorrow.

El-Sayed leads Rogers 45.2% to 44.1%. Stevens leads Rogers 45.1% to 43.7%. McMorrow trails Rogers narrowly, 45.3% to 44.4%. In all three matchups, undecided voters remain near 8%, leaving the race inside the margin of error and far from settled.

The Democratic primary, however, is more clearly defined. Among Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents, El-Sayed leads with 41.0%, followed by Stevens at 35.6%.

(Excerpt) Read more at quantusinsights.org ...


TOPICS: Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: abdulelsayed; demagogicparty; elsayedhateswomen; haleystevens; mallorymcmorrow; michigan; mikerogers

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McMorrow is out
1 posted on 07/06/2026 5:57:15 AM PDT by RandFan
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To: RandFan; All

If you live in Michigan, it’s time to up stakes and get out!


2 posted on 07/06/2026 5:59:02 AM PDT by SMARTY (In politics, stupidity is not a handicap. Napoleon Bonaparte I)
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To: RandFan

The Democrats will run another 3rd Party stooge to steal the race from the GOP.


3 posted on 07/06/2026 6:01:10 AM PDT by EC Washington
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To: RandFan
El-Sayed leads Stevens in the Democratic primary.

So long, Michigan. The only state I haven't visited, btw.
4 posted on 07/06/2026 6:03:24 AM PDT by ComputerGuy
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To: RandFan

Fake poll by fake media to help Dims fund raise.


5 posted on 07/06/2026 6:04:08 AM PDT by bray (Thank God for Israel)
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To: RandFan

We got this


6 posted on 07/06/2026 6:07:06 AM PDT by cowboyusa (YESHUA IS KING OF AMERICA!)
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To: RandFan

Another example of Frankenstein’s monster destroying the old school Dems who thought that open borders would create voters who they could control.


7 posted on 07/06/2026 6:15:34 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard (When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.)
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To: RandFan

Haley Stevens is an angry little midget. Her ads are irritating and inescapable.

CC


8 posted on 07/06/2026 6:19:04 AM PDT by Celtic Conservative (Heghlu'meH QaQ jajvam!)
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To: SMARTY

If I wasn’t on a fixed income I would’ve been gone like a shot.

CC


9 posted on 07/06/2026 6:20:09 AM PDT by Celtic Conservative (Heghlu'meH QaQ jajvam!)
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To: EC Washington

Our latest Quantus Insights survey of 947 Michigan voters “

Quantum insights? “Voters”? Safe to say this is a rigged pole. The rats own the SOS office and the court has approved mass mail voting so Mi is probably gone.


10 posted on 07/06/2026 6:35:11 AM PDT by iamgalt
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To: Celtic Conservative

El-Sayed’s ads with the Vermont communist Bernie Sanders are irritating, as well.


11 posted on 07/06/2026 6:43:15 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (Hospitals are the most dangerous place on Earth! Dr. David Williams)
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To: RandFan

AL political positions at all levels (even dog catcher) in AMERICA should be filled by natural born citizens.


12 posted on 07/06/2026 7:02:59 AM PDT by oil_dude
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To: RandFan

Will El-Sayed thank the stupid women for his win ? LOL


13 posted on 07/06/2026 7:07:12 AM PDT by butlerweave (Fateh)
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To: All

Abdul El-Sayed’s historic Senate run builds on Palestine’s rich legacy in Michigan politics

Abdul El-Sayed is a frontrunner in Michigan’s Senate primary and part of the pro-Palestine wave reshaping Democratic Party politics. But the success of his campaign is rooted in the long history of Palestinian solidarity in Detroit politics.

By Walter Lucken IV, May 13, 2026, mondoweiss.net

Following Zohran Mamdani’s stunning victory in 2025’s New York City mayoral election, a wave of progressive pro-Palestine candidates has entered Democratic primary races, alongside a rising tide of Palestine solidarity in organized labor and an increasing acceptance of longstanding left-wing views within the party. Israel’s genocidal actions in Gaza has created an opportunity for a new crop of leaders, and Michigan’s Abdul El-Sayed is just one of the latest names to rise to national prominence as he runs for the party’s nomination in the race to fill Gary Peters’ seat on the United States Senate.

A poll released May 11 puts El-Sayed at the front of the race, leading U.S. rep Haley Stevens by 10 points, and he is currently leading in RealClearPolitics average of polls. If he is elected he would be the first Muslim Senator in the nation’s history and one of only seven Arab Americans. This would be a political victory for the pro-Palestine Left, to say the least, and would rival Mamdani’s election in its significance.

El-Sayed would be arguably the most progressive Senator ever elected, as he supports single payer health care, comprehensive criminal justice reform, and a full arms embargo against Israel. He would also, if elected, be the most powerful representative of the Palestinian cause in the United States.

Prior to Mamdani’s victory this past fall, such a situation would be unthinkable in American politics, but in fact when one considers El-Sayed’s Michigan roots and his background in local politics it makes perfect sense. Indeed, El-Sayed comes from a long tradition of Palestine solidarity, progressive labor organizing, and joint struggle between oppressed communities in and around Detroit for decades. If he enters the Senate next year, he’ll do so as a proud representative of a well established tradition in Michigan politics.

snip


14 posted on 07/06/2026 7:15:10 AM PDT by Liz (“The heavens declare the glory of God; the skies the work of His hands." (Psalm 19:1))
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To: oil_dude

I have always wondered why the Founders included the natural born requirement for POTUS, but not every elected office. Maybe they thought the voters would not be foolish enough to vote for a foreigner. It would require a Constitutional amendment to fix it. Good luck with that.


15 posted on 07/06/2026 7:46:46 AM PDT by shooter223 (the government should fear the citizens......not the other way around)
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To: EC Washington

The Democrats will run another 3rd Party stooge to steal the race from the GOP.

July 16 is the deadline for a non party candidate. You need 12,000 sigs with at least 100 from each congressional district. If they do not have someone lined up by now, it is not happening.

There is a write in option, but that will get you no where.


16 posted on 07/06/2026 8:06:37 AM PDT by Steven Scharf
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To: RandFan

sounds like Michigan is a lost cause?


17 posted on 07/06/2026 8:20:07 AM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians aren't born, they're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: Steven Scharf

Rogers would have beat Slotkin if not for the 100,000+ votes that went to 3rd Party hacks


18 posted on 07/06/2026 3:29:03 PM PDT by EC Washington
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