Posted on 06/27/2026 6:27:19 PM PDT by Red Badger
Welcome to Louisiana Saturday Night, when we are hosting a runoff in the party primaries for U.S. Senate. Expect a low-turnout affair tonight, with early voting suggesting 14-17% turnout when it's all said and done.
Why the low turnout? Most of the excitement was about getting U.S. Senator Bill Cassidy out of office. Since he didn't qualify for the runoff... Mission accomplished, as far as most voters are concerned. Their job is done. But the race for the party nomination for the GOP has been ugly, with State Treasurer and original member of the Congressional Freedom Caucus John Fleming taking the brunt of a lot of attack ads in this race. Congresswoman Julia Letlow has kept it clean, but a lot of PAC money has gone in on attacking Fleming.
Letlow carries the endorsement of President Donald Trump, but that endorsement has been fairly muted in the runoff. Aside from a video statement early in the runoff campaign and a tele-rally featuring a pre-recorded message from the president, Trump's attention has been focused elsewhere. Fleming, meanwhile, may not have that endorsement, but he did previously work for the Trump administration and has a voting record from his years in Congress that can't be ignored.
The biggest story? Letlow came out of the primary with a 17-point lead, but all recent polling shows this one neck-and-neck. If Fleming wins, don't believe any media spin that Trump is losing his grip on the party. This election has been filled with a lot of drama in the state that has little to do with the Trump agenda. Issues like cabon capture sequestration, dark money, and more have dominated the state's political scene for the past month, and voters have been wrestling with a tough decision.
On the Democrat side, the heavy favorite is a black farmer, business owner, and gun owner in Jamie Davis. He came out of the primary with almost enough votes to make it without a runoff. He has the state party's endorsement and a ton of momentum.
Here are the GOP runoff results:
We WIN with EITHER of the remaining two Republican candidates, IMHO.
Thank goodness Cassidy was eliminated earlier.
I guess I always assume the dems are trying to scam the vote.
The repub runoff could take a while to decide. I see New Orleans and Baton Rouge haven't reported yet...
Letlow is the MAHA pick as well. Good.
Fleming is the conservative, an old one. If he wins Letlow will have to find something else to do. Kennedy is also old and will be 77 in ‘28. If she loses she could run as a loser. Not a good idea.
Letlow is projected to win according to Decision Desk..........
Looks good, so far.
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Go with the hottie-those things count.
Can we count on her towing the line for the next 6 years?
She won’t even toe the line.
She’s gorgeous! (so of course CNN put the one not-as-good photo they can find on their headline page. 🙄)
She’s a RINO. I don’t trust her.
Her victory speech:
https://youtu.be/rBA-Fr9s43A?si=vgO0D-aTOA0xSH14
This means a lot. I’m not from Louisiana, nor have I called a Senator’s office before, but I called Bill Cassidy’s — twice. Both his state office & D.C. office.
RFK’s appointment of Dr. Dave Weldon as head of the CDC was withdrawn the same day Weldon was supposed to speak at his first hearing. Largely due to Cassidy. I called to express my ire. He calls anyone who wants to hold Big Pharma accountable “anti-vax” even when they’re not anti-vax. (Weldon regularly vaccinates his patients, but he represented a lot of concerned parents in the 90s.)
I believe America and Americans win with a Letlow win...
I see a bit of split between the British descended Protestants in the western parishes and the Cajun and Creole Catholics in the southern and eastern ones. I don’t see a path for a Democrat victory in a state Trump won in 2024 by over 20 percentage points, unless the Iran War restarts. The suburban counties around New Orleans and Baton Rouge have not seen the leftward drift we have seen in other Southern metros like Atlanta, Austin, and Charlotte.
There’s no scenario in which a racist stooge like Jamie Davis wins in Louisiana this year, but he will almost certainly make it closer than “expected”.
Not because of anything positive about him, but we are in (and will remain in) a D+ environment nationally, Letlow is a RINO and her voting record in Congress is no different than Cassidy’s aside from the fact that she never voted to impeach Trump. So we’re replacing a RINO who hates Trump with another empty-suit RINO who supports him.
Baby steps.
Trump endorsing the RINO over the conservative will not (and already does not) sit well with many Louisiana voters. Some allegedly “conservative” shills on Twitter are already threatening to support Davis over Letlow. But that’s so much hot air, and even if a few conservatives defect it will never be enough to stop another milquetoast Republican from becoming a Senator.
Davis would be 100% worse, but Letlow’s drooling supporters are either RINOs themselves or are utterly clueless about who she really is.
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