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Posted on 05/16/2026 2:03:48 PM PDT by dennisw
The Supreme Court’s decision in Louisiana v. Callais saw the justices narrow Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act and disallow race-based congressional districts.
With the dust on redistricting mostly settled, Republicans appear poised for a double-digit swing of House seats in their favor in the 2026 midterms, at least if all goes according to plan.
The Supreme Court’s decision in Louisiana v. Callais saw the justices narrow Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act and disallow race-based congressional districts. The move triggered map redraws across the South and is expected to result in more than a dozen seats moving toward the GOP, at least in time for 2028.
Democratic countermeasures, meanwhile, have hit a judicial brick wall, with the Virginia Supreme Court striking down that state’s ambitious redraw, saving four Republican seats. The U.S. Supreme Court refused Friday to intervene, leaving Democrats out of legal options.
The collective shifts are poised to move the needle rightward and put the House in play for November, potentially handing the White House an opportunity to defy historical trends and retain control of Congress.
Here’s a look at where the midterm situation stands:
Louisiana
The state’s maps have been the subject of legal scrutiny for years, leading to a challenge that culminated in the recent Supreme Court decision.
Gov. Jeff Landry, R-La., has suspended elections in the meantime to allow the legislature to implement a new slate. The state Senate passed a redraw earlier this week with five Republican-leaning districts and one Democratic-leaning seat, though the House has yet to approve it.
South Carolina
Several Republican state senators joined with Democrats to vote down a redistricting plan that would have eliminated the state’s sole Democratic-leaning congressional district, which longtime Rep. Jim Clyburn represents. The measure needed a two-thirds majority to pass.
(Excerpt) Read more at justthenews.com ...
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Looks like Republicans chances of keeping The House are improving. Despite the war and high gasoline prices. Grocery stores inflation, that is due to higher diesel and gasoline prices.
On his way out.....Black Democrat Rep Bennie Thompson (D-MS) has had significant, adversarial interactions with Donald Trump, primarily through his role “investigating” the former president’s actions regarding the January 6, 2021, Capitol riot.
Thompson served as the Chairman of the House Select Committee that investigated the January 6th attack, which concluded that Trump was responsible for the insurrection and recommended federal charges against him.
In February 2021, Thompson filed a federal lawsuit accusing Trump, his lawyer, and extremist groups of conspiring to incite the Capitol riot to prevent the certification of the 2020 election.
In April 2024, Thompson introduced the “Disgraced Former Protectees Act” (H.R. 8081), aimed at stripping Secret Service protection from individuals convicted of a felony and sentenced to prison, which was widely seen as targeting Trump.
Retaliation Concerns: Following threats of “retribution” from Trump, Thompson has engaged with discussions regarding potential Biden-era pre-emptive pardons to protect himself and others from future prosecution by a Trump administration, despite stating he did nothing wrong.
Throughout these events, Thompson has maintained a strong stance that Trump is responsible for the violence on January 6 and has continued to criticize his policies.
If the left can’t stop this, there are going to be more assaults and murders.
Republicans are playing their game.
And no matter what anyone says....the total voting stats for 2020 for President....just don't jive with 2016 and 2024.
Hey democRATs, stew in your misery as your racial gerrymandering is dismantled.
Geez. So short sighted.
It took sixty years for our vaunted Scotus to kick guaranteed rat congressional districts to the curb.
We cannot comprehend the damage to our republic.
Because all of the gerrymandered districts were to favor democRATs. When they are undone then the ‘RATs lose.
Here is my take on the mid-term chances for the democrats:
Pro
1. History is on their side ... the president usually loses in the mid-terms.
Con
1. Millions of voters are leaving blue for red. Last number was net 4.5 mm voters changed parties.
2. People are leaving NY, Chicago, LA for Tx, Tenn, Fla, etc.
3. Voting rights act decision by SC means minority districts are breaking up.
4. Redistricting looks like it will yield a net 10-12 new red districts.
5. Money. Democrats are in the hole. Big donors were mad at Kamala campaign for wasting a billion or more. They have said they are reluctant to give to a party that can’t control their finances and wastes all their donations.
6. Case in point - Virginia redistricting election just wasted 60-70 million.
7. Act Blue and other democrats money-laundering schemes, if not totally shut down, have had serious brakes applied. Thus, 5. above.
8. 3 to 5 million illegal aliens deported. Their votes erased.
These things may not be enough to yield a republican mid-term victory, but their chances are better than mainstream media would have you to believe.
If only those RINO bastards in Indiana hadn’t stabbed us in the back.
If we can just hold the House and Senate in 2026 we will even do better in 2028. If we lose the mid-terms all bets are off.
Well said, well argued. Thanks.
This is good, short point that’s easy to make to my liberal family members who can’t stand being beaten. I show mine the district map of New England states and finish with a terse “STFU, our turn now.” I was ex-communicated years ago.
The bottom line is republicans need to get the vote turnout. You KNOW the democrats will.
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