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Polling Gets the Jewish Vote Completely Wrong
FrontPage Magazine ^ | Nov 5 2025 | Daniel Greenfield

Posted on 11/05/2025 6:05:16 AM PST by texas booster

The New York City mayoral race and the New Jersey’s governor’s race is one of those times when the Jewish vote actually matters and the skew of the Jewish vote looks nothing like the stereotypes.

President Trump personally reached out to the Orthodox Jewish community in New Jersey, urging, “I need all of my supporters in the orthodox community in Lakewood and its surrounding towns to vote in huge numbers for Jack Ciattarelli. Jack needs every single Vote in the community, including all the Yeshiva students who turned out to vote for me last year.” Conservative activists and personalities posed with some of those students from the area with the largest number of high schools and rabbinical schools in the country while they waited on line to cast their ballots for the Republican candidate.

Meanwhile in the New York City’s mayoral race, despite false claims and fake polls by Mamdani supporters, the Quinnipiac poll showed Cuomo taking 60% of the Jewish vote, Sliwa taking 12% and Mamdani having to make do with 16%. Some might argue that 16% is still too many and they have a point, but there is something obviously wrong with the way that Quinnipiac, an otherwise reliable pollster, measures and then reports the Jewish vote. It’s the same problem as the previous Siena poll which showed that 75% of Jews had an unfavorable view of Mamdani and only 20% backed him.

There are very few mainstream polls that actually separate out Jews as a group. That means that on a national level the gap is filled by fake polls from left-wing groups that produce the worthless numbers of 70% of Jews voting for Kamala, Biden or Hillary that are bandied about as if they were facts.

(Excerpt) Read more at frontpagemag.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2025election; danielgreenfield; greenfield; jewishvote; jews; sultanknish

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The only legitimate polls of Jews are local polls in which Jews are sampled as part of a larger population.

But even these have a basic problem that pops up when you compare the only 28% of Catholics voting for Mamdani and the 36% of Protestants voting for Mamdani with the 43% of Hispanics and 48% of black voters backing the radical candidate. Even though Hispanics are a significant percentage of New York City’s Catholic population, there’s obviously a sizable gap between the religious Hispanic vote and the secular Hispanic vote. Likewise the city’s sizable number of black protestants and black voters.

We take it for granted that it makes sense to separate the religious and the race/ethnic components in those cases, but in the cases of Jewish voters, polls, like those above, group Jews together with other religious groups, Catholics and Protestants, but poll Jews as if they were an ethnic group or race, rather than asking them about their religious beliefs, they include anyone under the loosest possible definition.

The Quinnipiac and Siena polls, in typical fashion, allow people to ‘self-identify’ as Jews. ...

1 posted on 11/05/2025 6:05:17 AM PST by texas booster
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To: 100American; 21twelve; 2nd amendment mama; A Conservative Thinker; Absolutely Nobama; ...
Daniel Greenfield, a Shillman Journalism Fellow at the David Horowitz Freedom Center, is a New York writer focusing on radical Islam and leftism.

The question of ‘Who is a Jew’ can be answered in different ways by different people, but the answer has to be based on some kind of standard while in political polls there are no standards at all.

Maybe, for once, we don't blame the Jews? Excellent article by Mr Greenfield.

Ping out to the Daniel Greenfield Ping! list.

As always, please FReepmail me if you want on or off the esteemed Daniel Greenfield ping list.

Daniel Greenfield's website: The Sultan Knish blog

2 posted on 11/05/2025 6:06:50 AM PST by texas booster (Join FreeRepublic's Folding@Home team (Team # 36120) Cure Alzheimer's!)
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To: texas booster

“Quinnipiac, an otherwise reliable pollster”

Bwahaha!


3 posted on 11/05/2025 6:08:11 AM PST by 9YearLurker
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To: texas booster

Well the Jewish voters will have to move now anyway


4 posted on 11/05/2025 6:08:39 AM PST by butlerweave (Fateh)
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To: texas booster

PS More than 70% of the Jews I know are of the left-wing, Kamala variety.


5 posted on 11/05/2025 6:09:03 AM PST by 9YearLurker
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To: texas booster

I’m going to have a hard time caring about persecution of Jews. Why should I care if Jews themselves seem to want it.


6 posted on 11/05/2025 6:14:20 AM PST by brownsfan (19th amendment, the beginning of America's fall.)
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To: texas booster

To watch the NJ political ads...you’d think Jack Ciattarelli is the second coming of Vlad The Impaler.


7 posted on 11/05/2025 6:15:27 AM PST by Bloody Sam Roberts (Perfection is impossible. But if you pursue perfection...you may achieve excellence.)
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To: texas booster

The person to look to in digesting what the current dynamic of Jewry and the Republican Party is Dan Greenfield.


8 posted on 11/05/2025 6:25:04 AM PST by iontheball
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To: All

Source: Brandeis University

Approximately 1.8 million Jewish adults, just under one-third
of the total Jewish electorate, live in 25 Democrat congressional districts.

National Profile of the Jewish Electorate, May 2020
Of the top 25 districts by Jewish population, nearly half are in NY —
NY10, NY-3, NY-12, NY-17, NY4, NY-9, NY-6, NY-8, and NY11.

The remaining districts with Jewish populations are found in seven states including Florida, California, Illinois, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Pennsylvania. FL-21 has the greatest number of Jewish adults at 152,000.

With the exception of NJ-4, these districts are represented by Democrats and all but two (NJ-4 and NJ-5) are Democratic-leaning districts.


US Jews contribute half of all donations to the Democratic Party
The Jerusalem Post ^ | JANUARY 14, 2018 | JEREMY SHARON
Posted on 7/6/2025, 8:31:40 AM by DallasBiff
A new study argues that the large majority of American Jews have a deep-seated notion that being Jewish is inextricably bound to being liberal.
That idea took hold after the large waves of Jewish immigration to the US in the late 19th century, according to the study’s author, American history professor Gil Troy.

American Jewish liberalism and association with the Democratic party is showing no signs of abatement, according to research published by the Ruderman Family Foundation’s “Program for American Jewish Studies” at the University of Haifa.

(Excerpt) Read more at jpost.com ..


9 posted on 11/05/2025 6:25:35 AM PST by Liz (To make a conservative mad, lie to him. To make a leftist mad, tell him the truth.)
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To: texas booster

Most NYC Jews would vote for Hitler if he had a D next to his name.


10 posted on 11/05/2025 6:30:07 AM PST by bray (It's not racist to be racist against races the DNC hates.)
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To: All

Read it and weep.

An “Israeli-American” living in NY tells why she’s voting for Mamdani
Unfortunately for Americans, they’re the very same ones controlling US policy

Forward.com ^ | November 02, 2025 | Libby Lenkinski
Posted on 11/3/2025, 10:09:45 PM by Red Badger

He’s shown up for my Jewish community in profoundly meaningful ways On Kol Nidrei, the evening service that begins Yom Kippur, I found myself at synagogue with Zohran Mamdani. Lab/Shul in Manhattan isn’t your typical synagogue; it’s a laboratory for belonging, where ancient liturgy meets radical inclusion. The service was led by my rabbi, Amichai Lau-Lavie — an Israeli who knows how to fill the room with both grief and hope.

Mamdani sat in the front row, with Rep. Jerry Nadler and Comptroller Brad Lander. As Lau-Lavie welcomed them to the space, Nadler and Lander were greeted with respectful applause. But when Mamdani’s name was spoken something electric ripped through the room. The applause didn’t just rise; it roared.

It was long, sustained, defiant, joyful. For me, that welcome of Mamdani — a Muslim and openly leftist candidate — on the holiest night of the Jewish year wasn’t symbolic. It was spiritual. It was the sound of a community saying: We are not afraid. And I wasn’t either. I felt safe. Seen. At home.

“My commitment is to make every New Yorker feel safe — Jews included — through policy grounded in equality, not fear,” Mamdani said earlier this year, as reported in The Guardian. That night, in the sanctuary, those words felt real. A few days later came another night I’ll never forget — the Israelis for Peace vigil marking two years since the Hamas attack of Oct. 7, 2023. Hundreds gathered — Israelis, Palestinians, Jews, Arabs, Americans — huddled together on folding chairs in Union Square in chilly weather, under an open sky. As part of a wide-ranging lineup, from the stage, I read a message from Liat Atzili, whose husband Aviv was killed that day; a short, piercing story by Etgar Keret; and a poem by Mahmoud Darwish that hung in the air like a spell.

And there was Mamdani again, sitting quietly in the front row next to Lander. He didn’t take the microphone. He didn’t try to center the event on himself. He was just listening. Bearing witness. His presence wasn’t performative. It was pastoral. In a city that so often divides its grief by identity, he crossed the invisible line and simply showed up. That’s when it hit me: This is what safety looks like. Not fences or slogans, not solidarity-as-branding — but the radical act of standing with people in pain, without needing to own or edit it.

A recent poll showed that 43% of Jewish New Yorkers plan to support Mamdani — and among those under 44, that number climbs to 67%. That data tells me what I felt that night wasn’t isolated. It’s a generational shift: Younger Jews — and Israelis like me — no longer see solidarity with Palestinians as a threat, but as a responsibility.

Because despite what the right-wing Israeli government and media want us to believe, we — Jews, Israelis, people who still believe in equality — are not in danger from Zohran Mamdani because he is critical of Israel. We’re endangered, instead, by the machinery of fear that tries to convince us that justice is a threat, that empathy is betrayal, that solidarity is naïve.

So let’s ask honestly: What is so terrifying about Zohran Mamdani? That he condemns Israel’s treatment of the Palestinian people? That he grieved — publicly and unapologetically — over the catastrophe in Gaza? That he refuses to conflate the safety of American Jews with unquestioned support for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu?

For me, as an Israeli-American who is committed enough to Israel to fight endlessly for it to be just and equal, that’s not frightening — it’s hopeful. Having mayors and public leaders who refuse to give Kahanists or corrupt war criminals a free pass is good for us. That’s our struggle too.

snip


11 posted on 11/05/2025 6:34:10 AM PST by Liz (To make a conservative mad, lie to him. To make a leftist mad, tell him the truth.)
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To: texas booster

The problem with the left is the left is anti-people. The Jews vote against the left when an avowed Jew hater runs. The problem is the leftist state will slowly turn on it’s supporters one by one, be it Jews, gays, environmentalists, some segment of Muslims, women, etc. The left’s supporters never figure it out.


12 posted on 11/05/2025 6:38:30 AM PST by alternatives?
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To: texas booster

I think what Dan is saying in this article is that the Jews and Gentiles who possess a strong religious belief in Biblical teachings defines who are the true conservatives. I agree with Dan that the fact this Country has drifted so far away from its Biblical roots explains why it now seems so bent on destroying itself. It’s been this way forever for those who strayed from God’s teachings.


13 posted on 11/05/2025 6:49:07 AM PST by iontheball
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To: texas booster

Anyone calling themselves a Jew but who not vociferously condemn anyone who will not condemn hamas — is not a Jew. Just more cosplay, like with trans.


14 posted on 11/05/2025 7:01:10 AM PST by bobbo666
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To: Liz

this person is too stupid for words and deserves everything she gets. Not you, Liz.


15 posted on 11/05/2025 7:39:50 AM PST by Jeff Vader
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To: 9YearLurker

PS More than 70% of the Jews I know are of the left-wing, Kamala variety.


And they hate Israel and Zionists.


16 posted on 11/05/2025 7:41:24 AM PST by dfwgator ("I am Charlie Kirk!")
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To: bobbo666

Question: Isn’t it a bit too early to analyze the votes?


17 posted on 11/05/2025 7:41:37 AM PST by DIRTYSECRET
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To: dfwgator

No, they are mostly Israel-loving Zionists. They might not all like Bibi.


18 posted on 11/05/2025 7:46:44 AM PST by 9YearLurker
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To: Liz
An “Israeli-American” living in NY tells why she’s voting for Mamdani
Unfortunately for Americans, they’re the very same ones controlling US policy

So let me get this straight--the Jews who supported the fanatically anti-Israel Mamdani are the same ones who "control" the pro-Israel US foreign policy?

Wow. Some people's minds are like a labyrinth.

19 posted on 11/05/2025 7:48:14 AM PST by Zionist Conspirator (בראשית ברא אלקים את השמים ואת הארץ)
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To: 9YearLurker

Oh, You Stupid Zionists (Yiddish Anti-Zionist Song)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4C0E4qxm-7I

Most of the Jews who came here from Russia, were hardcore socialists, who despised Zionism.


20 posted on 11/05/2025 7:48:45 AM PST by dfwgator ("I am Charlie Kirk!")
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