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Auto giant's collapse sparks recession fears in haunting parallel to 2008 crash: 'Canary in the coal mine'
The Daily Mail ^ | October 1st, 2025 | By BEN SHIMKUS, US CONSUMER REPORTER

Posted on 10/01/2025 7:07:29 AM PDT by Mariner

Another auto company bankruptcy has set alarm bells ringing that the US economy could be heading toward a repeat of the 2008 financial meltdown.

This time, the trouble isn't mortgages — it's car loans, which have never been bigger at $1.7 trillion. That's not as high as home loans were in 2008, but experts warn it could be enough to trigger a domino effect reaching mortgages.

More Americans are stretched thin, earning less in real terms and struggling to make ends meet, forcing lenders to hand out riskier loans just to keep car sales alive.

Millions are already behind on subprime car loans, which experts say could be the first warning sign of broader debt problems and eventual mortgage defaults.

The warning signs are stacking up. First Brands, a manufacturer of filters, brakes, wipers, and lighting systems, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on Sunday night.

(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: automotive
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The lots will be filled with late model vehicles.

I just don't understand people who borrow more than they can pay.

I'm baffled by it.

1 posted on 10/01/2025 7:07:29 AM PDT by Mariner
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To: Mariner

When cars and trucks cost more than $50,000, why is anybody surprised that the Auto sector is going bankrupt?...........


2 posted on 10/01/2025 7:10:46 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Mariner

Perhaps they could pay when they bought it, and circumstances for them have changed since then.


3 posted on 10/01/2025 7:14:41 AM PDT by Robert DeLong
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To: Mariner

It would be interesting to know the demographic statistics regarding who takes out “subprime” auto loans.

I suspect “immigrants” are statistically overrepresented.


4 posted on 10/01/2025 7:16:21 AM PDT by Nervous Tick (Hope, as a righteous product of properly aligned Faith, IS in fact a strategy.)
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To: Mariner

I’m sure a lot of people would love to buy a simple stripped-down, non-computerized vehicle like an old Volkswagen. A car shouldn’t cost more than my first house ($42,500 back in the day). It’s ridiculous. Auto manufacturers should be re-thinking what they’re doing.


5 posted on 10/01/2025 7:16:27 AM PDT by Twotone ( What's the difference between a politician & a flying pig? The letter "F.")
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To: Red Badger

A middleman for Chinese made parts goes under. Boohoo. Those Chinese parts will still be available from dozens of other retailers.

Cause: The Chinese are getting better at direct marketing and direct shipping into the US market.

$50K for a new US vehicle just shows how abhorrently corrupt and inefficient the US industry is.

A new 1.5L Toyota-knockoff in Malaysia costs $9,000 out the door.


6 posted on 10/01/2025 7:19:38 AM PDT by Justa (Our constitution was made only for a moral and religious people....)
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To: Twotone

I’ve been seeing an increase in backing back the old [70s] Volkswagen buses...


7 posted on 10/01/2025 7:19:52 AM PDT by Does so ("Things will now change in Minneapolis AND AT HOME"....Dem☭¢rat... ∅ ™ ¿ ¡ ☞ ½¼)
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To: Twotone

Agreed. Also related is the immigrant labor (both legal and illegal) suppressing wages of American workers. It’s not just that a new “basic” car can cost $50K. It’s that wage increases haven’t kept up with inflation.


8 posted on 10/01/2025 7:20:20 AM PDT by Tell It Right (1 Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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To: Justa

Look for the Union Label.................


9 posted on 10/01/2025 7:21:00 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Twotone

Well you would think but stripped down Nissan Versa S Manual sells for 20k new and they’re ending production this year. So I guess people don’t.


10 posted on 10/01/2025 7:21:56 AM PDT by Rural_Michigan
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To: Red Badger
It’s no surprise the costs are going up as technology is installed. Electronics Account for 40 Percent of the Cost of a New Car. Add in a minimum of 6 airbags and another 5 grand, new cars aren’t a reasonably priced purchase.
11 posted on 10/01/2025 7:22:48 AM PDT by Sgt_Schultze (When your business model depends on slave labor, you're always going to need more slaves.)
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To: Rural_Michigan

I haven’t been shopping for a car in a while, so I’ve never even heard of a Nissan Versa S. :-)


12 posted on 10/01/2025 7:23:25 AM PDT by Twotone ( What's the difference between a politician & a flying pig? The letter "F.")
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To: Twotone

>> A car shouldn’t cost more than my first house ($42,500 back in the day)

A 3 bedroom 2 bath starter home shouldn’t cost several hundred thousand dollars, either. And an entry level elementary school teacher shouldn’t make $40,000.

If we just went to an all crypto gold standard economy we could fix this overnight Gold and silver and blockchains are money.

(—That last asinine flip comment was just to get ahead of the goldbugs. :-) Rest of my comment is honest. Stuff costs more, salaries are higher. —)


13 posted on 10/01/2025 7:23:57 AM PDT by Nervous Tick (Hope, as a righteous product of properly aligned Faith, IS in fact a strategy.)
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To: Red Badger

Look for the union label.

Bingo!


14 posted on 10/01/2025 7:24:44 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Red Badger
When cars and trucks cost more than $50,000, why is anybody surprised that the Auto sector is going bankrupt?.......

$50k if you're lucky, many are $60+ It's ridiculous. PLUS, you drop by the stealer to get something fixed, it's another 2-3,000 a stop.

15 posted on 10/01/2025 7:27:14 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: Twotone

I agree. A car with simple controls and no touch screens would probably sell.


16 posted on 10/01/2025 7:27:30 AM PDT by BradyLS (DO NOT FEED THE BEARS!)
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To: Robert DeLong

Which two?


17 posted on 10/01/2025 7:27:52 AM PDT by Sequoyah101
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To: Nervous Tick

Almost anyone who cannot manage their money can get a subprime loan. I knew of a fellow that was outraged at having to accept a 25% APR on his auto loan. When I asked about his credit score, he told me that it was 550 and improving. This young fellow had no dad at home when he was growing up. Never learned to plan for the future, just for today. And what happened yesterday should not matter because, well, that was then, and this is now.


18 posted on 10/01/2025 7:28:14 AM PDT by 17th Miss Regt (Fascist, deplorable, and proud of it!)
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To: Justa; All

As I understand it one of the problems with US UAW labor costs is the huge “tail” of retiree benefits that must be paid for. I may not remember these numbers exactly right but there’s something like 3-5 retirees per auto worker. These retirees “wag the dog” on all contract negotiations. Their interests don’t always coincide with the interests the current auto worker. The UMW has a similar problem.


19 posted on 10/01/2025 7:28:46 AM PDT by Reily
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To: Mariner

In 1927 a Model T cost $380. The average annual salary was about $1500. So a car cost about 25% of an annual salary.

In 2024 the average annual salary is about $64,000. 25% of that is $16,000. The average new car price is about $49,000.

Something ain’t right.


20 posted on 10/01/2025 7:29:22 AM PDT by Crusher138 ("Then conquer we must, for our cause it is just")
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