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Election ‘Nostradamus’ stands by Harris win prediction: ‘Flock of crows in my stomach’
NY Post ^ | 10/30/2024 | Ryan King

Posted on 10/30/2024 10:52:42 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

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To: Sarah Barracuda

“but lets say he does, he wins PA, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada, can he win the election?”

Yes, that would be a Trump win. Just to mention, though, Trump did better both previous times in PA than he did in MI. It is certainly possible that he could win PA and still lose MI by a very small margin. WI was his strongest state, and the one he was most underpolled in, of the Blue Wall in both previous elections, so that would be a little surprising if he lost it but still won PA, but it isn’t impossible considering how much more money the Trump campaign has dumped into PA than WI.


41 posted on 10/30/2024 11:40:03 AM PDT by FenwickBabbitt (Volunteer at https://trumpforce47.com/ )
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Has the chickens and cows “commented” yet on the winner of the election?

You know, the chicken or cow ‘bingo’, where they feed the animal, and where it poops is who is going to win the election?

About as credible to me, unless he has some inside information about how much cheating the Harris/NoBalz campaign is going to do to win.


42 posted on 10/30/2024 11:45:27 AM PDT by ro_dreaming (Who knew "Idiocracy", "1984", "Enemy of the State", and "Person of Interest" would be non-fiction?)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

ONLY IF THEY STEAL IT. THEY ALWAYS STEAL. HEY DON’T CARE WHO KNOWS IT.
MOST FAMOUS CRIMINALS MUST BE PUT AWAY.


43 posted on 10/30/2024 11:46:47 AM PDT by TribalPrincess2U
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To: stevio

Yup. I think I am going to go about my day without checking the news, go to sleep, and see what happened the day after. The stupid party still thinks it can win the House and Senate with all the cheating. They need their heads examined.


44 posted on 10/30/2024 12:04:02 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee
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To: PUGACHEV

Yes, there is some truth in that. You see a lot of that mystical thinking with stock trends. “sell in May” is one of those. Or the market always does this or that. Which is ridiculous. If we knew exactly no one would ever lose money.


45 posted on 10/30/2024 12:05:36 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee
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To: ChicagoConservative27
Is that record really that impressive? The last ten elections:

Competitive: 2020, 2016, 2004, 2000

Not Really Competitive: 2012, 2008, 1996, 1992, 1988, 1984

So he correctly predicted 3 out of 4 coin flips. The only prediction that really impresses me is the 2016 election.

46 posted on 10/30/2024 12:05:49 PM PDT by CommerceComet (Re-elect Donald Trump - AGAIN)
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To: dragnet2

CNN knows EXACTLY what they were doing with that ludicrous poll. They are gaming the betting markers and the rcp avarage.


47 posted on 10/30/2024 12:06:32 PM PDT by cowboyusa (YESHUA IS KING OF AMERICA, AND HE WILL HAVE NO OTHER GODS BEFORE HIM!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

it isn’t a flock of crows

it is a Murder of crows

(look it up)


48 posted on 10/30/2024 12:07:40 PM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians aren't born, they're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: FenwickBabbitt

Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
·
11m
Hearing that internal polling in Michigan has Trump up 3, Mike Rogers up by 2...

Im telling ya I cant take it anymore LOL My stomach hurts


49 posted on 10/30/2024 12:10:27 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: ChicagoConservative27

He’s an effin retard


50 posted on 10/30/2024 12:13:02 PM PDT by pissant ((Deport 'em all))
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I’m guessing he will be right considering the massive amount of cheating that is already going on; corrupt judges ruling people overseas can vote in any state they want without ever having been in the state and saying non-citizens must stay on voting rolls; cops and democrat poll workers inl PA hindering citizens trying to vote early and, democrats not allowing additional poll stations in NC after Helene destroyed others. Yup, and we probably haven’t seen anything yet and our court system is too corrupt and afraid to even take it on.


51 posted on 10/30/2024 12:20:59 PM PDT by falcon99 ( )
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To: TokarevM57
"A people gets the government gets that it deserves"

Say what?
52 posted on 10/30/2024 12:27:26 PM PDT by Mama Shawna
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To: ChicagoConservative27

If he has the same track record of the original Nostradamus, he’s way wrong. The original Nostradamus didn’t predict a single thing although there are millions of people parsing the translations of his words to match events in retrospect with some success. However nothing Nostradamus said has successfully predicted any future event, only past events.


53 posted on 10/30/2024 12:31:29 PM PDT by webheart
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To: FenwickBabbitt
The big problem with Lichtman is that he didn’t answer his own “keys” correctly. He thinks Biden had no foreign affairs crises (like Afghanistan) and no scandals (!), that Trump has no charisma, that Harris gets a boost from being the “incumbent,” etc., etc. He gives nonsense answers to his own questions and comes out with the answer that he wants.

Exactly, incumbency is a wash or a Trump advantage, we have two incumbents with track records running. I don’t have time on my lunch hour to got through each, but his analysis is lacking.

54 posted on 10/30/2024 12:36:00 PM PDT by drop 50 and fire for effect ("Work relentlessly, accomplish much, remain in the background, and be more than you seem.")
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To: married21

He was wrong about two of the elections. In 2000 he predicted that Gore would win against Bush. He claimed that Gore actually did win the election but that the Supreme Court reversed the win without justification. However, an audit of ballots by the WaPo and NYT confirmed that Bush actually did win Florida. In 2016, he predicted that Trump would win the popular vote as well as the electoral college, so his “model” clearly has issues. He has been inconsistent over the years on the issue of whether his model is geared to predicting the popular vote or the electoral college. There is a good critique of his model in Wikipedia “The Keys to the White House.” A major criticism is the subjective nature of the “keys.” Specifically, it is argued that different analysts could apply the model and come up with different predictions.


55 posted on 10/30/2024 12:37:14 PM PDT by phil00071
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Trump can win with only Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina, which gets him to 270-


56 posted on 10/30/2024 12:44:43 PM PDT by phil00071
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To: ducttape45

Its’s run by Democrats


57 posted on 10/30/2024 12:45:19 PM PDT by falcon99 ( )
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To: phil00071

My brain freeze I forgot about NC..so if Trump wins NC, Georegia and PA he wins..and I know he is going to win Arizona because the majority of polls show Trump up 6 heck even Fox News pretty much put Arizona in Trumps camp


58 posted on 10/30/2024 12:47:51 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: lucky american

The Sopranos - “Quasimodo predicted it.”


59 posted on 10/30/2024 12:50:03 PM PDT by phil00071
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To: ChicagoConservative27

This guy wrote a book on Impeaching Trump. Hardly a non biased source.


60 posted on 10/30/2024 12:56:29 PM PDT by BradtotheBone (When I die I want the GOP to be my Pallbearers, so they can let me down one last time.)
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