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Why the race isn't as close as you think: With one week to go, analyst CRAIG KESHISHIAN predicts the polls are missing a hidden voter surge
UK Daily Mail ^ | October 29 2024 | Craig Keshishian

Posted on 10/29/2024 11:53:05 AM PDT by knighthawk

In the final week of this 'dead heat' presidential election, I am reminded of Ronald Reagan's landslide 1980 victory.

Then as now, President Jimmy Carter was polling neck-and-neck with his Republican challenger.

A Gallup poll showed Carter up one percentage point nationally in late October. Only four days before the vote, a CBS News/New York Times survey showed the race to be just as close.

(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2024; craigkeshishian; trump
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1 posted on 10/29/2024 11:53:05 AM PDT by knighthawk
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To: knighthawk

There’s a lot of discussion about the invisible surge of women voting for their abortion rights.


2 posted on 10/29/2024 11:57:35 AM PDT by Bob Wills is still the king (Just a Texas Playboy at heart!)
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To: knighthawk

DUH! The Democrats and Media are trying to win by lying about Trump’s popularity. They also are working to make it harder for Trump to govern once in office, you know “illegal”, “insurrection”, Russia, Russia, Russia, convicted crook, tax cheat, loan Welch, womanizing (hey is it too late for me to falsely accuse Trump of spitting on the sidewalk?)….


3 posted on 10/29/2024 12:00:55 PM PDT by Lockbox (politicians, they all seemed like game show host to me.... Sting)
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To: Bob Wills is still the king
There’s a lot of discussion about the invisible surge of women voting for their abortion rights.

Men need to get out and vote, Get off the couch Harry!

4 posted on 10/29/2024 12:01:01 PM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: Bob Wills is still the king

Early voting does not lie—you can look at the numbers using this analysis:

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4273604/posts

https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/

There is no need to worry about polls or wild speculation any more.

You can figure out the numbers for yourself.


5 posted on 10/29/2024 12:01:47 PM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: cgbg

I’m worried that so many more women than men are voting.


6 posted on 10/29/2024 12:04:19 PM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: 1Old Pro

Do the work on post 5 and you will stop worrying and start getting ready to celebrate.


7 posted on 10/29/2024 12:05:47 PM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: knighthawk

On the one hand, it is possible that the dims are saying to close to call so that the dim-useful-idiots will get out and vote.....in trying to ensure that the ho wins.

On the other hand, my pessimistic brain reminds me of Obemba winning when everyone predicted the Mormon from Utah would win.

Sad, isn’t it?


8 posted on 10/29/2024 12:05:57 PM PDT by spel_grammer_an_punct_polise (Learn three chords and you, too, can be a Rock Star! ;-))
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To: Bob Wills is still the king

Women are (largely) one-issue voters for abortion—and they’re keeping the Democrats afloat

By Olivia Murray

The abortion rate is climbing—and while you might think that doesn’t affect you, it equates to more (emotional) women with the power of a ballot, voting in disastrous policies, which are an existential threat to us all.

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2024/10/women_are_largely_one_issue_voters_for_abortion_and_they_re_keeping_the_democrats_afloat.html


9 posted on 10/29/2024 12:06:25 PM PDT by packagingguy
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To: knighthawk
I remember it well... Too close to call on the morning of the election, and the network morning news shows displayed electoral maps with Jimmy Carter winning lots and lots of states...

Regan won 489 electoral votes to Jimmah Carter's 49.

FYI - Dave Leip's Atlas of Presidential Election results only displays the 'traditional' party colors for Democrats and Republicans... So blue means red to you political newbies, and vise versa.

M

10 posted on 10/29/2024 12:07:12 PM PDT by jerod (Nazis were essentially Socialist in Hugo Boss uniforms... Get over it!)
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To: cgbg

Female 6,527,706 54.1 %
Male 5,291,492 43.9 %


11 posted on 10/29/2024 12:08:16 PM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: 1Old Pro

When you ask the wrong question you get the wrong answer.

Start crunching the numbers in the key states and you will figure it out....


12 posted on 10/29/2024 12:10:09 PM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: knighthawk

It’s simply because the voting machines are programmed to flip the votes at midnight. Mark my words.


13 posted on 10/29/2024 12:10:49 PM PDT by freebird5850 (The only way I can treat this fever....More cowbell!)
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To: knighthawk
I pray, I vote, and I trust God.

I have zero anxiety about next Tuesday - God is in control.

He is either going to have mercy on this nation or will judge us. I know where I'm heading either way.

14 posted on 10/29/2024 12:12:29 PM PDT by Psalm 73 ("You'll never hear surf music again" - J. Hendrix)
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To: cgbg

PA
Democrat 837,916 57.8 %
Republican 458,055 31.6 %

How is this encouraging?


15 posted on 10/29/2024 12:13:52 PM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: Psalm 73

Amen.


16 posted on 10/29/2024 12:15:16 PM PDT by Flaming Conservative ((Pray without ceasing))
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To: 1Old Pro

I am not going to hold your hand.

Read the Pew research on early voting in the link I gave you—because it is a lot better if you figure it out for yourself than if I explain it to you.


17 posted on 10/29/2024 12:17:39 PM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: knighthawk

Harris will win (cheat) PA. White liberal women voters are the downfall of America. The amount of people on our side who don’t vote is destroying our hopes of turning this around.


18 posted on 10/29/2024 12:19:41 PM PDT by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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To: 1Old Pro

Because if you look at 2020 numbers:

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/PA.html

It was 64.7% Dem to 23.7% Rep.

So that’s a shift from +41 Dem to so far +26 Dem, a net +15 for the Republican side.


19 posted on 10/29/2024 12:19:45 PM PDT by Truthsearcher
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To: Truthsearcher

not to mention the dems lost 400k in registered votes since 2020 in PA.


20 posted on 10/29/2024 12:24:31 PM PDT by suasponte137
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