Every freaking time.
Posted on 10/26/2024 6:52:10 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
Less than a fortnight before polling day, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are locked in a nail-bitingly close US presidential election race, triggering pessimism among Democrats and confidence among Republicans – even though polls suggest both candidates have a near equal chance of entering the White House.
The Guardian’s 10-day polling tracking average shows Harris, the Democratic nominee and US vice-president, maintaining the single-point advantage over her Republican rival she had a week earlier, 47% to 46%.
Surveys for the seven battleground states are equally cliffhanging and provide little obvious clue as to who will reach the threshold of 270 electoral votes essential for victory.
According to poll averages, Harris leads by a single point in Michigan and by less than 1% in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Wisconsin and Nevada. Trump has a two-point lead in North Carolina and a one-point lead in Arizona.
Taken at face value, the figures are no disaster for Harris and hardly represent a triumph for Trump. If they match the outcome on 5 November, Harris will win a majority of votes in the electoral college.
But you would never know this from the jarringly different moods in the two camps.
Amid increasingly apocalyptic warnings from Harris that Trump represents fascism and dictatorship-in-waiting, her Democratic supporters have emitted an air of panic in recent days.
“A growing number of top Democrats tell us privately they feel Vice-President Kamala Harris will lose – even though polls show a coin-toss finish 11 days from now,” Mike Allen and Jim VandeHei wrote in Axios on Friday.
(Excerpt) Read more at theguardian.com ...
Because they know the polls are just making it seem close.
Dems are very good at a few things, digging up dirt, cheating, and internal polling..the fact that you see michelle obama today screaming about how everyone who does not vote for harris is a sexist racist tells you everything you need to know about the state of the race
Poll manipulation.
Every freaking time.
The Guardian is the UK version of our AP.
They talk about the polls, but I have seen very few polls out from the MSM lately. Just these pundits talking.
The Guardian can’t figure out early voting and mail in voting numbers.
If they could they would understand how the pollsters have understated Trump support and overstated Harris support:
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4273604/posts
The Dims are trying to buck the troops up so they won’t throw up their hands and refuse to vote amid the bad news coming in on the state of the race.
The trend is your friend
Booed by your voters is always a bad sign.
The possible outcomes:
1. The polls are underestimating Trump again like they did in 2016 and 2020. Which would mean he's headed for a near landslide on election day. There is precedent for this happening in two prior elections so it's not out of the realm of possibility by a longshot. In fact, it may be the most likely outcome.
2. Every pollster figured out how to fix their errors after 2016 and 2020 and the polls are dead on perfect this year. Which would still mean Trump is winning, but by a very narrow margin.
3. Going against all logic and historical precedent, the pollsters are somehow underestimating Kamala. And she goes one to win easily.
I think we feel confident because we win in two of three scenarios and those two are certainly the more likely of the three.
Uh
1. Universal EVs putting trump ahead in NC AZ NC with less likely voters
2. Lower than usual black vote
3. Higher than usual voting from rural
4. Popular vote tied though it usually swings +5 Dems
I don’t know what the situation is, but it looks FAR more comfortable than 2016
ROFL! Great graphic.
Is ANYONE worldwide more in the tank for Kamaltoe than the Globalist Guardian? So of course they’d suggest “nothing to see here, move along”...
See post 8.
There is no need to speculate anymore.
We have hard data (mail in voting by party, early voting by party) to work with....
The Dems use “panic” as a useful GOTV tool. It does not mean real panic. How often do we hear Vote for US or “they” will take away your SoshaKurity benefits?
/eyeroll.
Um, no, it’s not close if one considers actually voting. Now, if you’re talking about break-neck preparations for doctored ballots, vote-switching machines, outright takeover, yeah, it is close.
The best they can do is to encourage their faithful to vote. And the result will be similar to 2016.
If their voters are demoralized and refuse to show up to vote, we could potentially see a repeat of 1988 election result.
We shouldn’t get overconfident. We need to make the win “Too big to rig”.
Guardian. The savants of poll analysis /sarc
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