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There’s a reason Trump is campaigning in NYC: He might win there
American Thinker ^ | 10/22/2024 | Andrea Widburg

Posted on 10/22/2024 7:49:23 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Yesterday, Donald Trump joined Fox News host Lawrence Jones at a Bronx barbershop. Trump, a Queens native who spent a lot of time on construction sites, was clearly at home among these guys in a way that Kamala and Walz never could be. (JD Vance would be at home there, too.) There was no fakery. Trump may be a billionaire, but these are his people—and because Trump is real, he understood the pain the barber’s hyper-inflated energy bills are causing him. That pain and Trump’s recognition explains why he’s campaigning in New York, a place that ought to be a no-win for a Republican.

The last time a Republican won New York state was during the Reagan revolution. Trump, though, may be trying to break that dismal Republican record. That’s because Trump recognizes that four years of Biden’s policies—the money printing that’s destroyed the economy, the attack on fossil fuels, the broken border, the out-of-control violent crime, and the obsession with perverting childhood innocence—aren’t working for ordinary Americans, no matter their race or sex.

Image: X screen grab.

That’s why Trump is holding a rally in Madison Square Garden. And because Democrats recognize their weakening hold on ordinary Democrat voters (as opposed to the fanatic leftists that make up their base), that’s why Democrats are insisting that Trump is seeking to recreate the infamous pro-Hitler German Bund rally held there in February 1939. The fact that the Democrats have held two conventions at Madison Square Garden in recent history is irrelevant. If it’s Trump, it must be Hitler.

This fear also explains the Democrats’ hysteria that Trump did what once was a typical campaign stunt—he worked for 30 minutes at a McDonald’s. Somehow this, too, is the second coming of Hitler, only it’s a sign of dementia Hitler.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 0bloggers; 2024; andreawidburg; bloggers; bronx; campaign; defundthepolice; ericadams; nevertrumpers; newyork; newyorkcity; trump
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This fear also explains the Democrats’ hysteria that Trump did what once was a typical campaign stunt—he worked for 30 minutes at a McDonald’s. Somehow this, too, is the second coming of Hitler, only it’s a sign of dementia Hitler.
1 posted on 10/22/2024 7:49:23 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

I’ve always wondered why Trump bothered going to the Bronx.

Except for the years from 1914-1938 and 1962-1966, the Bronx has been under Democrat control at the local level. It last voted for a Republican president in 1924. In 2020, it gave 83% of its votes to Joe Biden.

Does Trump’s team know something we don’t?


2 posted on 10/22/2024 7:51:00 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

I thought we’d win the NY. mayor race and NY governor. Both didn’t go our way at all


3 posted on 10/22/2024 7:52:14 AM PDT by napscoordinator (DeSantis is a beast! Florida is the freest state in the country! )
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To: SeekAndFind

Trump is very popular in NY

He will likely win NY State if (as could be the case?) the D party has simply not thought or bothered to make its DemoNaziCommie ETM (Election Theft Machine) as strong as it once was, believing it unnecessary

if there’s actually a reasonably honest election (and VOTE COUNT) in NYS, it is Trump’s turf to win


4 posted on 10/22/2024 7:54:12 AM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians aren't born, they're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: SeekAndFind

He’s not going to win NY, but campaigning there will help keep the close House races and possibly make some gains.

It will also help him possibly win the popular vote.
Which might cause him to win the states that stupidly passed laws that gave their electors to the popular vote winner.


5 posted on 10/22/2024 7:54:54 AM PDT by Truthsearcher
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To: napscoordinator

RE: I thought we’d win the NY. mayor race and NY governor.

It did happen in the late 1990’s when Giuliani became Mayor and Pataki became governor. The City was perhaps, one of the safest big cities in the country. New York State experienced an economic renaissance of sorts.

But that was a generation ago.


6 posted on 10/22/2024 7:56:14 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

I remember those days. Weirdly the residents didn’t like a clean safe city. Dummies.


7 posted on 10/22/2024 7:58:47 AM PDT by napscoordinator (DeSantis is a beast! Florida is the freest state in the country! )
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To: Truthsearcher

Which might cause him to win the states that stupidly passed laws that gave their electors to the popular vote winner.


No state is committed to doing that in this election. The pact only becomes effective when states representing an Electoral College majority sign on to it.

And, of course, should a dem win the EC and lose the national popular vote several state legislatures would change their laws to award their E.C. votes to the dem. It’s a heads I win, tails you lose sort of pact.


8 posted on 10/22/2024 8:04:36 AM PDT by hanamizu ( )
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To: SeekAndFind

There is a 0.0000% chance that Trump wins the Bronx or NYC as a whole.

But if he can improve his percentage there he may *think* he can take NY state (not bloody likely).

Trump did improve from 18% in NYC in 2016 to almost 23% in 2020 and cut his deficit in NYC by 40,000 votes. He needs several orders of magnitude more than that in order to even be competitive statewide, nevermind actually winning.

Trump still lost the city by over 1.5 million in 2020 and even lost the NON-NYC portion of the state by another half-million.

Will it be closer this time? Most likely it will, even if Trump doesn’t spend 10 seconds campaigning there.

Does he have any real chance of winning NY state? Absurd.

Yeah, we know all about Lee Zeldin in 2022 and how heartbreakingly close he came — losing by “only” about 400,000 statewide and making the best showing since Pataki in 2002. That’s almost certainly not a trend, that’s a fluke; just like all those freshmen Republicans who surprisingly eked out close wins in U.S. House seats in 2022.

If Trump loses NY by less than a million in 2024, he’s done pretty well and might even help save numerous vulnerable GOP House seats.


9 posted on 10/22/2024 8:05:14 AM PDT by PermaRag (Joo Biden is not my President)
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To: SeekAndFind

Well, the Bronx is majority hispanic, and working class. If Trump thinks those demographics are in play, then the Bronx is in play.


10 posted on 10/22/2024 8:08:36 AM PDT by Boogieman
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To: Truthsearcher

I do not see Trump winning New York, but his campaigning in NYC is worthwhile because it gets tremendous media attention and resonates across the country, especially in black and Hispanic communities. It also helps to build support if he has to face charges or lawsuits again in NYC.


11 posted on 10/22/2024 8:09:30 AM PDT by Rockingham
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To: SeekAndFind
I think given the MASSIVE increase in crime in New York City in recent years, no wonder the voters are starting to tire of the Democrats. Especially with "noisy" AOC.
12 posted on 10/22/2024 8:10:43 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (.FairTax: America's Economic Cure)
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To: napscoordinator

The Governor’s race was very close...Zeldin will take it in two years. Hochul is just Schumer’s trained puppy.


13 posted on 10/22/2024 8:11:05 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: faithhopecharity

The one thing going for NY and other solid blue states is that the Dems have never needed to cheat there. The cheating apparatus is concentrated in Dem stronghold cities in swing states; Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Atlanta, Detroit, Milwaukee etc.


14 posted on 10/22/2024 8:12:48 AM PDT by grumpygresh ( Civil disobedience by non-compliance; jury and state nullification.)
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To: grumpygresh

well, NY State has had its history of political corruption, some quite (in-) famously corrupt. There’s no real reason why it should be crystal-clean now and especially not with the D party in charge.

But yes, maybe they haven’t recently invested a great deal of money or effort building it up?


15 posted on 10/22/2024 8:19:31 AM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians aren't born, they're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: SeekAndFind

There is sometimes strategic value in threatening an enemy stronghold that you have no chance of actually taking:

The enemy must divert resources there and thus away from other strategic targets where you DO have a good chance of winning.

Force the enemy choose between sacrificing their weaker position vs. risking their stronger position.

By threatening NY, Trump may win VA.


16 posted on 10/22/2024 8:23:11 AM PDT by enumerated (81 million votes my ass)
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To: SeekAndFind

I have a friend who is a NYC liberal (otherwise a fairly intelligent person). She absolutely hates Trump on a purely emotional level. And hate is too soft a term for it. I know, she sends me texts all the time. But she cannot bring herself to vote for Harris. If Harris has lost someone like her, Trump may actually win NYC. /yes, know anecdotal


17 posted on 10/22/2024 8:32:19 AM PDT by piytar (Remember Ashli Babbitt, Rosanne Boyland, and Corey Comperatore!)
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To: grumpygresh
The one thing going for NY and other solid blue states is that the Dems have never needed to cheat there.

You are joking, right? Tammany Hall

18 posted on 10/22/2024 8:36:23 AM PDT by thegagline (Sic semper tyrannis! Trump & Vance, 2024! (Formerly) Goldwater & Thomas Sowell)
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To: SeekAndFind

The only reason for Trump to go to New York is to try to boost turnout for Congressional elections. With due respect, he isn’t going to win New York. But if he wants a friendly Congress, he has to keep Republican Congressional seats from NY in Republican hands and perhaps flip one or two Dem seats.


19 posted on 10/22/2024 8:41:26 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard (When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.)
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To: Truthsearcher; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; ...

I think that’s a lot of it — wherever Harris sees sudden slippage, or a slow fade (which is in most of the country), she’s suddenly getting flanked and doesn’t dare ignore it.

California, Texas, Florida, and New York used to be split between the parties — usually — with C&NY going Dim, and T&F going R. The Dummie nominee no matter who can’t win if they can’t at least hold on.

She and Tampon Tim have been “fatigued” and “exhausted” while pushing-80 former President Trump looks inexhaustable. He must have stuck to a strict workout schedule for decades, with workout breaks during his days, or he wouldn’t be in the shape he’s in.

That makes it non-optional to abandon at least one of the large close states.

K & T probably spend some of their time and energy complaining about how tired they are of campaigning — it was supposed to be handed to them, after all — and trying to avoid any pesky questions they have to go on record by lying, telling different lies depending on the audience (although it’s probably the same audiences, bussed around to the rallies and getting paid to do it).

There are just a few motivating factors for Harris/Walz supporters — A) hatred of the DNC’s caricature of Trump, 2) abortion / Project 2025 / Social Security cuts / other talking points, and D) gender dysphoria / support for jihad in the Middle East and the US / open borders / phony-baloney anti-racism.

The great middle will be looking at their bills, gas prices, trannies beating up their daughters in sports, homeless camps that are also flashpoints for foreign latino gangs, and they already don’t like it.

Meanwhile, our darker brethren were slowly brought around to the realization that what was being done to Donald Trump was a railroading, and they know all about that, or at least they think they do.

And they’ve tried defunding (the money went to corrupt BLM leaders, the violence in their cities got worse) and following the Kenyan jihadist and other Demagogic Party demagogues


20 posted on 10/22/2024 8:42:05 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Putin should skip ahead to where he kills himself in the bunker.)
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