Posted on 08/29/2024 10:10:00 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
New surveys from Emerson College Polling/The Hill show a toss-up election between former President Donald Trump Vice President Kamala Harris in swing states.
The Republican presidential nominee is up in Wisconsin (49 percent to 48 percent), Arizona (50 percent to 47 percent), and North Carolina (49 percent to 48 percent). Harris, meanwhile, is ahead in Georgia (49 percent to 48 percent), Michigan (50 percent to 47 percent), and Nevada (49 percent to 48 percent). The race in Pennsylvania is tied at 48 percent.
SWING STATE POLLS with @thehill
2024 Presidential Election
AZ: Trump 50%, Harris 47%
GA: Harris 49%, Trump 48%
MI: Harris 50%, Trump 47%
NV: Harris 49%, Trump 48%
NC: Trump 49%, Harris 48%
PA: Trump 48%, Harris 48%
WI: Trump 49%, Harris 48%https://t.co/6kUM620BMz pic.twitter.com/ejf3DKXcYU— Emerson College Polling (@EmersonPolling) August 29, 2024
- Independent voters
- AZ: Harris 51%, Trump 45%
- GA: Harris 54%, Trump 38%
- MI: Harris 46%, Trump 43%
- NC: Harris 48%, Trump 46%
- NV: Trump 50%, Harris 44%
- PA: Harris 48%, Trump 40%
- WI: Harris 52%, Trump 43%
- Voters under 30
- AZ: Harris 65%, Trump 35%
- GA: Harris 60%, Trump 35%
- MI: Harris 62%, Trump 32%
- NC: Harris 55%, Trump 39%
- NV: Harris 70%, Trump 28%
- PA: Harris 65%, Trump 35%
- WI: Harris 54%, Trump 41%
- Women voters
- AZ: Trump 50%, Harris 48%
- GA: Harris 54%, Trump 44%
- MI: Harris 56%, Trump 41%
- NC: Harris 53%, Trump 46%
- NV: Harris 53%, Trump 44%
- PA: Harris 54%, Trump 42%
- WI: Harris 54%, Trump 43%
- Male voters
- AZ: Trump 52%, Harris 46%
- GA: Trump 53%, Harris 43%
- MI: Trump 54%, Harris 43%
- NC: Trump 53%, Harris 43%
- NV: Trump 52%, Harris 45%
- PA: Trump 55%, Harris 41%
- WI: Trump 55%, Harris 42%
“The race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump continues to be tight, within each state’s margin of error,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “Harris leads Trump among independents in each state, with the exception of Nevada, where Trump leads 50% to 44%. There is also a stark gender divide, similar to that of 2020. In six of the seven swing states, Harris leads Trump among women, however, in Arizona, Trump has a two-point edge on Harris among women voters, a group that broke for Biden by about three points in 2020 according to exit polling.”
The polls were conducted between August 25-28, 2024, after the Democratic National Convention.
GA and PA will give Trump a lock.
No Bump for Klammy.
Looks like Kambala’s Love and Joy Fest and Song and Dance got her Traveling Freak Show a bump. A SPEED BUMP!
We need the sampling ratios to get a better idea.
Gateway Pundit —know to lean hard right—discovered a poll which over sampled Ds by a huge margin....59% iirc., which was required to find an “even” race.
This particular poll aside, over sampling Ds is a common technique of the media which is comprised of 95% Ds, and 5% Rs.
If any of these Polls are to believed which they can’t be but should not even be even close. But I am hearing more and more the GOP are getting out spent 4-1 in many battle ground states... So either they are sitting on the cash or they are not backing down ballot races..Not looking promising...
My GOD is she stupid!
The concerning thing here is the Fox poll yesterday claimed independents were swinging towards Harris. This poll shows the same.
Brush it off all you want but this is a trend to watch.
i saw one 3 days ago that said the opposite with Independants. After Labor Day is when people start paying attention.
I would just like to know why the Democrats are outspending the GOP in all the battle ground states...I have read the GOP was flush with cash?
Agree- i also saw that poll and traditionally Republicans poll better after Labor Day...
More than 50% of respondents said Biden’s admin was great to average, so I don’t think it reflects most people.
These numbers make no sense. Course they could be entirely correctly.
How do the Real independent voters support someone they have no clue what she stands for.
Honestly she laughs and giggles like a teenage girl out on a date.
One last observation. Trump/Vance better spend a lot of time in Georgia seems we have lost our damn mind. I would go right into Atlanta, Savannah, Valdosta, and Macon Georgia.
Trump has to pin her to the wall that she is nothing more than a place holder and empty suit.
Not great news, would like to a see a change before the Great Fall Harvest of Ballots starts in Sept.
It’s pretty clear that they’re polling for the same result.
There’s no way WI has Trump a point ahead and MI has Trump 3 behind.
Not in PA.
As predicted honeymoon over, tampon Tim will need to do alot of mansplaining tonight lol
Not only that but Nate Silver just released new projections showing that Trump has retaken the lead by a good margin betting odds who will win the election..on August 14th he showed that Harris was going to win now its totally shifted back to Trump
Really? This is from Nate Silver’s site. Please reconcile your claim that Nate Silver has released new projections that Trump has retaken the lead by a wide margin and this chart from Nate Silver’s website.
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