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Can a poll be accurate if it disagrees with your personal opinion?
1 posted on 08/08/2024 5:50:07 AM PDT by TexasGunLover
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To: TexasGunLover

Is the electorate really this fickle?


2 posted on 08/08/2024 5:51:39 AM PDT by Pearls Before Swine
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To: TexasGunLover

I am actively challenging every practicing Christian I know with this: are you prolife? How prolife are you? Did you know there are zero prolife presidential candidates.
The republicans party does not own Christian votes anymore than the democrat party owns black votes.
Chemical abortion that Trump and Vance support are the planned parenthood money makers.
They are now the Grand Ole Planned Parenthood party.


4 posted on 08/08/2024 5:56:04 AM PDT by momincombatboots (BQEphesians 6... who you are really at war with.)
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To: TexasGunLover

Per the actual survey.

The survey was conducted July 24-Aug. 1, 2024, interviewing 879 registered voters nationwide, with a margin of error of +/-4.1 percentage points. For likely voters, the sample size is 683 with a margin of error of +/-4.7 percentage points.


5 posted on 08/08/2024 5:57:06 AM PDT by tired&retired (Blessings )
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To: TexasGunLover

The electoral vote is what matters,

BUT LET ME TELL YOU, FOLKS. AFTER WHAT HAPPENED YESTERDAY REGARDING THE EXPOSURE OF THESE TWO FINALLY TO THE MEDIA, THEIR NUMBERS OR GOING TO COLLAPSE LIKE A HOUSE OF CARDS.

They have no place to hide. There is so much out there now about Walz and her that the media will eventually have a field day with them.

Her ads are terrible. She claims that she a tough prosecutor who will go after Trump. Her three rallies so far were completely the same. She never goes off script.

What she says is pure fantasy, and she talks in platitudes..

There’s no meat.

Lastly, the black community is 100% coming down on her and him big time.


6 posted on 08/08/2024 5:57:26 AM PDT by nikos1121
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To: TexasGunLover

We’re headed headlong into Atlas Shrugged territory.


7 posted on 08/08/2024 5:57:41 AM PDT by Road Warrior ‘04 (BOYCOTT Anheuser Busch, the NFL, MLB, NBA, NASCAR & Faux Snooze! Molon Labe! Oathkeeper! )
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To: TexasGunLover

Damn, the lying ass, turd rolling “media” has suckered so many people. What a bunch of jackasses. They complained about Joe Pedo and did want him back and they decided they wanted an even bigger meathead running the country. This is a country of morons. LOL.


8 posted on 08/08/2024 5:57:44 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (If you liked the Joe Pedo show, you're going to love the Jamaican Queen's "White Dude" Job Corp.show)
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To: TexasGunLover

I saw a poll that said that 92% of Americans think that Harris is a turnip.


9 posted on 08/08/2024 5:58:26 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer” )
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To: TexasGunLover

Just 3 weeks ago everyone thought the election was over after Trump survived.


10 posted on 08/08/2024 5:58:32 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: TexasGunLover

Rasmussen just came out Aug1, Aug 4-7 poll. Nothing has moved Trump 49 Hamas 44, Kennedy 3.

Note don’t be gaslighted. Gallup shows as of July 31st 30% GOP, 28% DEM & 41% Independent. Of the Independent 47% lean GOP and 41% lean DEM. The bad polls are weighting DEM by 3%-11% to get their numbers. Rasmussen weighing DEM 35% GOP 33%.


11 posted on 08/08/2024 5:58:45 AM PDT by hollywood12345
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To: TexasGunLover

It can be accurate, but marquette isn’t exactly known for being accurate.

this would represent an 8-10 point swing, which is difficult to believe for anyone with a frontal lobe that is working.


12 posted on 08/08/2024 5:58:55 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: TexasGunLover

I think the polling was limited to “The View” and their camera crew.


13 posted on 08/08/2024 5:59:29 AM PDT by Thorium90
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To: TexasGunLover

The same current poll says that among registered voters Harris has a 50% UNFAVORABE rating.


15 posted on 08/08/2024 5:59:43 AM PDT by tired&retired (Blessings )
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To: TexasGunLover

Why would it be shocking?


17 posted on 08/08/2024 6:02:51 AM PDT by Leep (She cackles in you general direction.)
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To: TexasGunLover

What is “shocking” is that it is only 5 points

Within the media it is 100 points


18 posted on 08/08/2024 6:03:28 AM PDT by blitz128
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To: TexasGunLover
I always look at poll internals, and of the recent polls putting Harris ahead, Democrats have been over-sampled by at least 5 points.

That information is not available for this survey, but some of the questions indicate that is also the case. The poll asks if Trump's convictions are lawful, and 61% of respondents said 'yes.' That tells me this poll has heavily over-sampled Democrats.

19 posted on 08/08/2024 6:03:59 AM PDT by HandBasketHell
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To: TexasGunLover

The “polls” are conducted by the media. Stop believing this propaganda. This is what they do, they want you demoralized. Look at every “news” story. “Polls” are no different.


22 posted on 08/08/2024 6:06:42 AM PDT by Indy Pendance (Jesus can't get here soon enough!)
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To: TexasGunLover

The polls will be even worse after a week of worship by the MSM during their convention.


23 posted on 08/08/2024 6:06:56 AM PDT by volare737 (Diversity is something to be overcome, not celebrated.)
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To: TexasGunLover
Can a national poll be a useful indicator of who will win in the end?

The methodology hasn't been published yet, but looking at the actual number makes this another pointless poll that means little.

From Marquette:

“The survey was conducted July 24-Aug. 1, 2024, interviewing 879 registered voters nationwide, with a margin of error of +/-4.1 percentage points. For likely voters, the sample size is 683 with a margin of error of +/-4.7 percentage points. “

I'm sorry, but this “poll” indicates nothing more than a result that was preordained prior to its commission, IMO.

25 posted on 08/08/2024 6:08:21 AM PDT by Pox (Eff You China. Buy American!)
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To: TexasGunLover

Per the data in the actual survey

The poll sample population is 339 Republican to 370 Democrat with 53 independent.

That’s 49% Democrat, 44% Republican and 7% Independent.


27 posted on 08/08/2024 6:09:15 AM PDT by tired&retired (Blessings )
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To: TexasGunLover

It’s also 52% female to 45% male respondents


29 posted on 08/08/2024 6:10:23 AM PDT by tired&retired (Blessings )
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