Posted on 08/07/2024 12:56:02 AM PDT by MagillaX
Luntz is a Dunce
With most of the media and deep state firmly in their camp, yes they are the front runners
We will see if they can keep the lid on them you know “… unburdened by the past “
However, Not having X in their pocket to push this like the last elections could be significant in getting the truth out there.
I knew Mitt was going to loose big as soon as I saw him in person.
First thing I said was: “He talks like a used car salesman”
Agreed on both points -- Lunz is not to be trusted and Pres. Trump should run his campaign as if he is behind and must catch up.
Other pollsters still show Trump ahead, though not by the margins he had against Biden.
After Biden's disastrous debate performance, I saw polls showing Trump winning up to 400 electoral votes -- 270 needed to win.
Today it looks more like 300 electoral votes for Trump -- still enough to win, but not the landslide against Biden.
As for the frequent advice we see to Trump, saying to stay focused on issues and not get distracted with personal attacks -- can you name me a winning Democrat who ever followed such advice?
“Kamabla IS the guaranteed winner ONLY if the election is utterly rigged in her favor.”
That’s like saying that shoplifters who never get caught stealing $900 worth of stuff are winners.
Looking at where we are today, and what has changed in 25 years.. 50 years..
Churches and evangelist are rated like all else in the public. How successful do they appear.. Are they acceptable of different lifestyles..
For some, going to church on Sunday, is enough to then have a slip and slide week.
The public, schools, Government, has removed God from the schedule. In so doing, you all know something will take its place.
There is a wave I had not seen in my lifetime, that is heavy now. For instance, I don’t see how anyone could vote for the 2 radicals in Nov, and pass on the good man who is trying to give us a life free of gov control. The other side aims to control everything.
The “free generation” contend Christians would stifle their style.. Control lives. And the non Christians would live and let live.. Wild.
Wrong.. The dems are control freaks, and control
over every iota of your life, is who they are.
They have voided every thing that matters and gives life.. You can’t serve God and gov.. So they took that “entity who helps, leads, and cares”.. Dismantled the very thing that made America the best country in the world.
Here we are, second rate.. Economy hit, crime, invaded border, our young people being led to a valley of despair, via lost and misdirected adults.
The Foundation I grew up in.. Discipline, accountability, respect, honor, truth and God,, that foundation has been replaced with a cell phone, a pc, a car, and parents and society who have let it get to where we are.
Still on the “honeymoon” phase with some, apparently. This is probably the high-water mark for “Que mala” Harris and “Gov’ner” Walz in this cycle, but we have yet to see either of them get nominated by the Democrat (Socialist) National Convention in Chicago. No matter what else ensues there, the demonstrations outside the doors of the convention center are going to be besieged by a storm of protestors, because some very large group (or perhaps several groups) representing one constituency or another is going to be expressing deep dissatisfaction.
Luntz is as silly as the rug he wears on his head.
Kamala has gotten a 24/7 media fake hype. Trump is making sure they stick with this terrible candidate. Then the attack ads will start.
Here’s the ad: Cackling Kamala. He laughing and then show statistic and images of what a disaster the country is. Back to her laughing.
More you see of Kamala the less you like her. She’s an annoying moron.
An Idiot and Drunk Driver are now Magically the Front Runners ,LOL
.
Scamala - You can come into the country, but you can’t leave the Plantation.
Tony Soprano
That may be where the country is now.
“The team of Harris/Walz is so far to the Left that it makes Karl Marx and Antonio Gramsci look like centrists.”
Sadly, half of the country is quite okay with this.
We can only hope that the Trump team makes the case to the middle 25-35% (i.e., the independent voters) that these Woke Marxists are going to destroy not just our country, but our very civilization.
Isn’t it 37% ? LOL
But still very tough.
To assess how close this can get, you have to scrutinize the winning vote margin in those close states that tip the balance to the winner, ie the Tipping Point states.
Since 2004 every election except for 2008 it came down to the handful of states that tip the Electoral College scale to the winner:
- In Trump’s win in 2016, his cumulative winning margin in the tipping point states of Wi, Mi, and PA was 77,444 votes.
-In Biden’s case, his tipping point margin was about 40k votes.
-Obama in 2012, it was about 500k votes.
-Bush in 2004, about 16k votes.
All this campaigning and rallies and debates blah blah blah…it all comes down in general to beating the other guy (or gal) by less than 100,000 votes.
….and it’s actually thinner than that, because all the losing candidate needed was to flip at least half of those votes.
Going back to 2016, for this period in early August. The majority of the major polls had Hillary +4 to +7.
The worst period was mid to late October 2016, there were multiple major polls showing Hillary +10 and even +13 or +15. These were obviously polls trying to pump up Dems and discourage Repubs.
By election day the spread had calmed down, it was Hillary +3 to +6.
These were all polls of the national popular vote, since Hillary came in at +2.1% in the popular vote, I guess the polls around +3% for her were pretty accuarate. And yeah, I know about the margin of cheat, anyone is free to post whatever numbers you think are accurate.
I'm just using the numbers offered by Mattias Desmet in his book, The Psychology of Totalitarianism. This is what Desmet believes is the true percentage range of people who can be brainwashed in a general population.
Here's an old note I took from Desmet's book:
Desmet argues that the percentage of people who can be part of a mass formation (i.e., hypnotized mob) is between 25-35%. He believes this percentage cannot be higher for several reasons:Individual Differences in Susceptibility: Desmet posits that not everyone is equally susceptible to mass formation due to individual psychological differences. Some people have a higher level of critical thinking, independence, and emotional stability, making them less likely to succumb to the collective mindset.
Levels of Anxiety and Isolation: For mass formation to occur, there needs to be a significant level of free-floating anxiety and social isolation. While these conditions can be prevalent in society, they do not affect everyone to the same extent. Therefore, only a portion of the population is vulnerable enough to be absorbed into the mass formation.
Resistance from Opposing Views: Desmet also suggests that there is always a segment of the population that holds strong opposing views and resists conforming to the dominant narrative. This group acts as a counterbalance, preventing the mass formation from encompassing a larger percentage of the population.
Structural Constraints: The structure of society and the diversity of viewpoints inherently limit the spread of mass formation. In a pluralistic society, the variety of perspectives and the presence of democratic institutions can impede the full consolidation of a single collective mindset.
These factors contribute to Desmet's conclusion that the extent of mass formation is naturally capped at around 25-35% of the population.
Loontz is anti Trump. Didn’t he share a bedroom with Speaker McCarthy??
Which shows you how many “WEIRD” pieces of sh*t illegal aliens the Kamalala and Pedo Joe “Ain’t That Weird” Show has imported into our country. Hell, the border patrol even allowed into our country a “Weird” Pakistani bish who was sent here to assassinate Trump.
Even Harris said they are the underdog. Trump still leads in the Electoral College, and the Harris bump has faded.
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