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Trump and Harris dead even in battleground states as base rallies for Dems: poll
The New York Post ^ | 08/04/2024 | Ryan King

Posted on 08/04/2024 11:33:47 AM PDT by thegagline

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To: thegagline

“Powering Harris’ ascent in the CBS poll appears to be female, younger, and black voters flocking back to the Democrats.”

No one is flocking to Harris, especially not the groups cited above.


21 posted on 08/04/2024 11:46:17 AM PDT by Round Earther
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To: thegagline

Oh noes a cbs poll, the same one who had biden up by 17 in wisconsin lol


22 posted on 08/04/2024 11:46:23 AM PDT by italianquaker
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To: Openurmind

Rich Baris calls it “the election mafia.” Guess who it always favors.


23 posted on 08/04/2024 11:46:26 AM PDT by Luke21
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To: Indy Pendance

I don’t know why anyone is even contemplating that these might actually be accurate. They are not real and should be completely disregarded... Full stop.


24 posted on 08/04/2024 11:46:46 AM PDT by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: HandBasketHell

No facts please


25 posted on 08/04/2024 11:48:17 AM PDT by italianquaker
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To: thegagline

Again... Don’t believe it. Pretty graphics does not make it fact.


26 posted on 08/04/2024 11:48:36 AM PDT by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: thegagline

The steal is on. Dems are afraid they’re gonna have to work overtime this election - poor babies - to just squeak out a win for whoever ends up being the Dem candidate...


27 posted on 08/04/2024 11:49:21 AM PDT by jeffc (Resident of the free State of Florida)
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To: thegagline

No, they are not “dead even.” Trump remains ahead in all genuine polling. They are juicing these numbers with D+ samples of 5-9 and heavily oversampling women.

Here is my twit thread about the shocking disconnect between actual voter registrations WHEREVER we track them and these moronic polls.

https://x.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1820159736513515990


28 posted on 08/04/2024 11:50:11 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." Jimi Hendrix)
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To: OttawaFreeper

The F’n women are killing us.


29 posted on 08/04/2024 11:50:54 AM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: thegagline

The media in this country can absolutely go F themselves in the worst way. They are by far the worst enemies of this country, all these pigs on CNN, MSNBC, ABC, NBC, CBS. They have done more damage to this country than any terror group could ever hope for.

If we had for once an honest media instead of this North Korean type propagandists, democrats wouldn’t even exist as a party never mind this absolute psychotic Kamala running even with one of the greatest Presidents in US history.

Where is the focus on her abusing her staff? Demanding they stand when she enters a room and calling her “General”? Completely ignored.


30 posted on 08/04/2024 11:51:30 AM PDT by GrandJediMasterYoda (As long as Hillary Clinton remains free, the USA will never have equal justice under the law)
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To: Round Earther

Agreed. Younger people have not been faring well under the current administration and it’s economics. It is interesting to see that in Oregon, she has a five point lead and I bet once you get out of Portland and Eugene, that state is getting even more redder.


31 posted on 08/04/2024 11:52:08 AM PDT by OttawaFreeper ("The Gardens was founded by men-sportsmen-who fought for their country" Conn Smythe, 1966 )
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To: Openurmind

All that bounce in a black heavy Poll, and it,’s STILL tied. I have President Trump at over 300 Ezv right now. Popular vote is close, and will be because Harris will win California by 50 points.


32 posted on 08/04/2024 11:52:08 AM PDT by cowboyusa (YESHUA IS KING AMERICA, AND HE WILL HAVE NO OTHER GODS BEFORE HIM!)
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To: Political Junkie Too

Trump’s support of the dangerous covid vaccine is probably a deal breaker for the loony RFK Jr.


33 posted on 08/04/2024 11:52:16 AM PDT by PghBaldy (12/14/12 - 930am -rampage begins... 12/15/12 - 1030am - Obama team scouts photo-op locations.)
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To: thegagline

Even if Harris is ahead nationally by 0.2%, Trump wins the Electoral College handily.


34 posted on 08/04/2024 11:53:21 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: HandBasketHell

“The survey included an oversample of Black respondents.”

Yep... They are not honest polls.


35 posted on 08/04/2024 11:53:35 AM PDT by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: cowboyusa

“All that bounce in a black heavy Poll, and it,’s STILL tied. I have President Trump at over 300 Ezv right now. Popular vote is close, and will be because Harris will win California by 50 points.”

I agree, sounds about right. People need to quit believing these rigged polls.


36 posted on 08/04/2024 11:55:39 AM PDT by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: packagingguy
If that happens, if I lose my job and end up destitute, I will spend all my time demanding Kamala supporters pay me. I will be DEMANDING, not asking. Go ahead, throw me in jail, I don't give a damn. I'm not going to sit back and have these aholes destroy my life without any retribution. They want people to live like that? Fine. Pay. Me.


37 posted on 08/04/2024 11:55:50 AM PDT by GrandJediMasterYoda (As long as Hillary Clinton remains free, the USA will never have equal justice under the law)
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To: Round Earther
“Powering Harris’ ascent in the CBS poll appears to be female, younger, and black voters flocking back to the Democrats.”
No one is flocking to Harris, especially not the groups cited above.

I disagree. The issue of abortion is driving women into the arms of Harris.

Blacks embrace identity politics. Even though Harris is half Indian and partly white, blacks will vote for her because of the perception that she is black and, in addition, blacks have ironically adopted the one drop rule.

38 posted on 08/04/2024 11:55:52 AM PDT by thegagline (Sic semper tyrannis! Trump & Vance, 2024! (Formerly) Goldwater & Thomas Sowell in 20)
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To: LS

Absolutely.


39 posted on 08/04/2024 11:56:38 AM PDT by Openurmind (The ultimate test of a moral society is the kind of world it leaves to its children. ~ D. Bonhoeffer)
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To: All

HEADS UP.

RCP lists the most recent survey **by a given pollster** when a brand new one is released. This CBS news poll is out today. They list a result for July 16-18 ALSO.

They VERY EXPLICITLY SAY IN THEIR INTERNALS at the end of the survey that “blacks were oversampled”. This phrase does not appear in the July 16-18 survey.

This Harris +1 result vs T+2 in mid July is NOT THE SAME TURNOUT MODEL. They oversampled blacks, which most measurements now say would be something like 75% Harris.

It’s not hard to move the needle is you change the sampling profile. Overall, bogus.


40 posted on 08/04/2024 11:57:05 AM PDT by Owen
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