Posted on 08/02/2024 2:11:33 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm watches and warnings have been issued from the Florida Keys up the Florida Gulf Coast to Suwanee. The system is crossing Central Cuba, moving at 16mph. The disturbance is expected to develop into a tropical depression on Saturday as it moves across the Straits of Florida, followed by intensification into a tropical storm by Saturday night. Governor DeSantis declared a state of emergency for 54 counties, most along the Gulf Coast and in northern Florida, to move assets in preparation for the storm.
August 13 marks 20 years since Hurricane Charley made landfall near Punta Gorda FL.
The rapid strengthening of Charley in the eastern Gulf of Mexico caught many by surprise. Around five hours before its Florida landfall, Charley was a strong Category 2 hurricane predicted to strengthen its strongest winds to 115 mph upon its landfall in the Tampa–Saint Petersburg area. About two hours before landfall, the National Hurricane Center issued a special advisory, notifying the public that Charley had become a 145 mph Category 4 hurricane, with a predicted landfall location in the Port Charlotte area. As a result of this change in forecast, numerous people in the Charlotte County area were unprepared for the hurricane, although the new track prediction was well within the previous forecast's margin of error. National Hurricane Center forecasting intern Robbie Berg publicly blamed the media for misleading residents into believing that a Tampa landfall was inevitable.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
Tropical Tidbits by Levi Cowan
Local News:
FOX4 News Southwest Florida
WWSB Sarasota/Bradenton
WFLA Tampa Bay
WESH2 Orlando
This thing is cranking up fast!! I noted 88 degree water off Destin last night,likely similar numbers in the North Fla. area. lots of “hurricane food”.
The waters around the panhandle are very warm so this storm has lots of fuel to work with.
I’m sure this has been posted on these threads before, but I’d missed it. Wife just showed it to me. It’s 13 years old!
Running from Jim Cantore (Jim goes on vacation)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48r4IQTB3NE
1m vid, funny!
I never miss a NN thread. We’re practically neighbors.
Very funny! Thanks for posting.
Not a lot of rain yet, but the wind is picking up. 25kt out of the ESE shifting southerly. Surf was flat about an hour ago. East wind is knocking it down, but the water is churny.
Center of circulation appears to be at latitude of Punta Gorda/North Port.
WWSB reporter on Manasota Key (Englewood) showing impressive storm surge and beach road washover. I see beach replenishment in their future.
Yikes, no good for Ga/SC.
We just had a five minute monsoon with strong gusts. Now it’s barely drizzling.
this is the place to be no doubt.word is out.
https://baynews9.com/fl/tampa/weather/radar
Here’s bay 9 radar out of Tampa,
this system is over 300 miles long!!
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/gm/GEOCOLOR/1000x1000.jpg
actually its over 500 miles long from Cuba to north florida.
Just got back from Vaca.Prayers for everyone ((((Hugs))))
Hiya, fatima! {{{{hugs!}}}}
That’s really weird. We live 10 miles NE of downtown Louisville. Most of the really severe weather comes through here from the SW. It’s amazing to see how often the heat island of the city and the elevation drop of the river causes storms to break apart or dissipate (my favorite word!). People 10 miles north and south of us get it much worse… especially when tornadoes come.
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Debby Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 04 2024
...DEBBY EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY INTO A HURRICANE
BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN THE BIG BEND AREA OF FLORIDA...
...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
That water’s hot
I heard in some areas the SST is four degrees higher than average.
Here’s some livestreams.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QTLyUFv2ywY
Storm Chaser Vince Waelti
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1NieL1TOI1c
Storm Chaser Corey Gerken
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yTxlnR5cn9A
Evan Fryberger
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HmXfXeHaI7g
PA Storm Trackerz
From Joe Bastardi: "from 2 days ago. So no surprise. But the sweet spot for upper support is from where it is now NE into the Carolinas which means the our Carolina cat 2-3 impact scale hit is still very much on the table IMO"
Translation: watch out once Debby hits the Gulf Stream... a while the Hurricane Center is suggesting a track that moves inland to S. Carolina quickly, Joe's thinking is that it goes further out, and that puts the NC Outer Banks in possible peril. If that scenario plays out, Debby could blow up into something big... and there would be little time to prepare.
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