Posted on 07/25/2024 8:28:39 AM PDT by Mariner
With Vice President Kamala Harris replacing President Joe Biden as the Democratic Party candidate, former President Donald Trump now leads by seven points in his bid to return to the White House.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, in a two-way matchup, 50% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for Trump, while 43% would vote for Harris. Four percent (4%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
“Most Rats I know would vote for Herman Munster if he were the nominee.”
and most of those would vote for Satan himself if he was the nominee ...
In a two man race, the Dem will reliably get 47% of the vote. The race will be decided in the "swing" states where they have more government welfare recipients who all cast votes for Dems.
Well, Ross Perot did a lot to screw up the election in ‘92. We don’t have that problem now. Kennedy Jr has miniscule support.
Impossible!
Left wing Reuters had a poll showing Kamala up by 2.
yes ... I believe he worked with Clinton ... butt buddies ...
I think they do a three-day running average. Was this Day 2 or 3?
and that supposed 43% will go down as soon as the electorate learns more about “go down” Harris
Day 3
National polls mean nothing. State polls in the battleground states are what matters.
Our conservative ideology is competing with the left in a handful of states for the soul of our nation.
GA, PA, MI, NH, VA (might be long gone due to DC metro), and WI are the states that matter. Every other state is pretty much locked in.
So who is lying? Won’t have a clue for awhile.
Throwing numbers out is as goor as any other poll i suppose.
Biggest problem in the country is that on a Presidential election each party starts with floor of aboit 42%. It would be great if politicians could acty get 12%. The idea of voting blue no matter who or red or dead will be the downfall.
“Most Rats I know would vote for Herman Munster if he were the nominee.”
Herman was actually a nice guy. The babykilling fanatics who run the Democrat party truly are monsters. Their true central organizing principle is legal abortion.
“This poll is an outlier.”^
I’ll wait for the Harris poll.
(and see myself out).
Just my wild guess based on all other polls. And Rasmussen’s track record for accuracy ain’t stellar. And unless something has changed, they don’t poll cellphones, which means they probably miss almost everyone under 40.
RCP is probably better.
Again, sadly, Rasmussen is not what it once was... It is now a full on activist organization for the right, it does not even try to be a genuine polling organization any longer.
Anyone citing their polling as relevant is being conned.
For the record, yes Trump is outperforming Kamala, that’s a given, but be very very wary, the current Rasmussen hold no resemblance to the Rasmussen that once was.
“Most Rats I know would vote for Herman Munster if he were the nominee.”
No. Herman Munster was a good honest guy who loved his unusual family.
Most polls are showing it around Trump +1 which is still decent enough considering any popular vote win is almost a certain EV win, but with that being said Trump and the Republicans in general need to start going on the attack a bit. Just assuming the Harris hype will fizzle out on its own could be a mistake. If the media is allowed to build up Harris with minimal pushback for too long it could start taking hold.
If Trump wins all his 2020 States which looks highly likely with only NC being even remotely in danger and even there Trump appears to have it locked down for the most part AND if he wins the 3 most flippable states AZ,NV and GA which also seems likely that puts him at 267.
Taking one of the “blue wall states” of MI, PA, WI, MN seems likes the most likely path to putting him over the top.
If he fails to take any blue wall states then VA would be his most likely chance to flip a state for the win. ( A Youngkin VP would really of helped here )
If he fails in VA then the only remotely realistic shot at a flip for the win would be NH but Biden won by 7 there in 2020 and polling released today has Harris up by +6 and +8 so they seem to be stuck in the status quo there making it a real longshot. ( A Tulsi VP would have really helped here since she’s wildly popular in NH for whatever reason )
I have heard CO, NM and NJ mentioned as possible longshot flips but personally I think those states are just fools gold and would be shocked if Trump spent any serious time or money in those states.
The one caveat is that even though Trump based his VP selection solely on governance, legacy and being prepared to take over if needed with no regard to who would help him win dont expect the Dems to return the courtesy. They will pick their VP based solely on who increases their electoral chances of winning and they will worry about the other stuff after they are safely in the White House for another 4 years, so expect them to be looking to take a state off the board and go with either Shapiro from PA, Whitmer from MI, Kelly from AZ or Cooper from NC.
On the surface 269 should be good enough for the win considering that would kick it to the house which Republicans at least in theory control, but with the razor thin margins there I thinks it’s very possible for a never Trump Rino to vote with Dems and give the election to Harris. I would feel much better with 270.
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