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Post-Debate Swing State Polling Update
real clear polling ^ | 07/08/2024 | Jonathan Draeger

Posted on 07/08/2024 1:19:50 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009

In the latest poll, Trump led by four points, 46% to 42%, in Arizona; one point, 45% to 44%, in Michigan; and three points, 47% to 44%, in Wisconsin, matching his leads in the pre-debate Emerson poll. His lead in Nevada increased from three points to six points, 47% to 41%, in the post-debate poll. In Pennsylvania, his lead grew from two points to five points, 48% to 43%, and in Georgia, his lead expanded from four points to five points, 47% to 42%

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolling.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: debate; emerson; poll
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To: 1Old Pro

DemoNazis wold vote for a ham sandwich over a Republican.


21 posted on 07/08/2024 1:33:13 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: ActresponsiblyinVA

Speaking for myself only ...

I’m permanently “tired of polls”.

Now if these folks would instead attempt to divine the future by reading the entrails of kangaroo-rats sacrificed to C’thulhu ...

I might be interested, if only for the sheer absurdity of it all.

Iä! Iä! C’thulhu fhtagn! Ph’nglui mglw’nafh Cthulhu R’lyeh wgah’nagl fhtagn!

;’}


22 posted on 07/08/2024 1:33:38 PM PDT by NorthMountain (... the right of the people to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
Geat new poll?

The Geats are mentioned in Beowulf. I didn't know they were still around.

Actually not encouraging if accurate...Trump should have gained a lot more given Biden's performance in the debate and since then. Are most Americans just locked in to their previous point of view?

23 posted on 07/08/2024 1:33:58 PM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Yep, all about the power. I find it so funny that the rank and file idiot that votes for Democrats think they are going to get to party with the elites someday when us radical conservatives are gone. The elites don’t give a damn about the rank and file, they just want the vote.


24 posted on 07/08/2024 1:36:27 PM PDT by BigFreakinToad (Remember the Biden Kitchen Fire of 2004)
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To: central_va

He might be room temp by voting time (natural causes, or hillary) they will still vote for him.


25 posted on 07/08/2024 1:38:22 PM PDT by cableguymn
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To: TexasFreeper2009

This is a poll of “registered voters”, likely voters are more likely to trend Trump.


26 posted on 07/08/2024 1:38:33 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("Whatsoever he shall say to you, do ye." (John 2:5))
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To: lula

Because 48% are so deranged they want to see Trump in prison for a stupid bookkeeping error.


27 posted on 07/08/2024 1:39:50 PM PDT by nbenyo
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To: poinq

in 2020 Real Clear Politics average of all polls had the following at their final predictions

Nevada - Biden +2.4 Result Biden +2.4
Wisconsin - Biden 6.6 Result Biden .7 (this was a big miss)
Pennsylvania - Biden 1.2 Result Biden 1.2
Michigan - Biden 4.2 Result Biden 2.8
Arizona - Biden .9 Result Biden .3
Florida - Biden .9 Result Trump 3.3 (this was a big miss)

So yeah, there were “some” big misses, but many others were right on the money. And where there were misses they were misses that underestimated Trumps support.


28 posted on 07/08/2024 1:40:01 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: 1Old Pro

in our hyperpartisan age, Biden could literally be DEAD and probably get 40-42% of the vote.

So Trump leading by five in both Georgia and Pennsylvania (the only 2 he needs to win) is HUGE


29 posted on 07/08/2024 1:41:39 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: TexasFreeper2009

The real question: How reliable is Emerson?


30 posted on 07/08/2024 1:49:04 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: TexasFreeper2009

They’re going to need a lot of fake ballots and a lot of flipped votes from Dominion. You can’t count Joe out. He has the scum of the earth working for him that will do anything to win.


31 posted on 07/08/2024 1:51:06 PM PDT by larryleo
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To: BigFreakinToad

Because if Biden “wins” they know the second he wins he will be thrown out of office and replaced with the one who has really been running the country all this time..that and you get the 20 million + illegals voting rights in this country and the Dems will control America forever


32 posted on 07/08/2024 1:59:11 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: TexasFreeper2009

That close? Biden was Ko’ed and the polls think it was close?


33 posted on 07/08/2024 2:00:56 PM PDT by Karliner (Heb 4:12 Rom 8:28 Rev 3, "...This is the end of the beginning." Churchill)
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To: lula

Polls are designed to sell more advertising and polls, period. If it’s not a horse race the money dries up.


34 posted on 07/08/2024 2:03:35 PM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (The kernel of our firm's job is to go with lots. - tnlibertarian job offer letter)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Do these polls factor in ballot stuffing operations, voting machines connected to the interwebs and other generally nefarious tactics the left like to use to win?


35 posted on 07/08/2024 2:05:06 PM PDT by dware (Americans prefer peaceful slavery over dangerous freedom)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

And if the article is correct, registered voters vs. likely voters. The margin likely is a few points larger.


36 posted on 07/08/2024 2:06:47 PM PDT by HombreSecreto (The life of a repo man is always intense)
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To: lula

ikr!???
If polls are within 4% points, the dems can easily ‘fortify’ the vote. Prepare accordingly.


37 posted on 07/08/2024 2:09:04 PM PDT by griswold3 (Truth, Beauty and Goodness. )
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To: TexasFreeper2009

I still find it horrific that that many evil morons choose Biden and the Party of Wickedness.


38 posted on 07/08/2024 2:10:06 PM PDT by fwdude ( )
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To: TexasFreeper2009
That's about right, moving the mushy middle and maybe previously unmotivated 'some-college' men. The Nevada poll though, you don't move 6+ in a week without women. Wow.
39 posted on 07/08/2024 2:12:41 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (TrumpII)
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To: dware

They don’t have to, they’re not going out of business if they’re wrong.

It’s the same with AI, it can be right or wrong and will still be here tomorrow.

The bookies taking bets on it though, will eventually go out of business if they do not produce accurate betting lines. Esp on the single most bet on thing in world history.


40 posted on 07/08/2024 2:15:48 PM PDT by Freest Republican (There is no tyranny that cannot be justified by imbeciles)
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