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Joe Biden Gets Bad News From America's Most Accurate Pollster
Newsweek via MSN ^ | 7/1/2024 | Evan Palmer

Posted on 07/01/2024 12:20:25 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat

President Joe Biden is trailing behind Donald Trump in the 2024 race, including by nearly 15 points among younger voters, according to a leading pollster.

A survey from AtlasIntel, which was named the most accurate polling group of the 2020 presidential election by 538, found that Trump has a five-point lead over Biden (45.5 percent to 40.3) with just over four months to go until November's rematch between the pair.

When broken down further, the poll of 1,634 likely voters shows that Trump is the clear favorite among voters aged 18-29 (41.6 percent to 27). Historically, younger voters have tended to favor Democratic presidential candidates in elections.

In comparison, Biden leads Trump in the other potential key age demographics of those between 45 and 64 (47.7 percent to 45.1) and those 65 and above (52.1 percent to 41.6).

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: biden; fakenews; poll; polls
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To: lee martell

Thanks.


21 posted on 07/01/2024 12:53:06 PM PDT by philippa
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To: PIF

Correct.

But they aren’t seeing this in ads while sitting at home watching Wheel of Fortune and Andy Griffith, Perry Mason, Carol Burnett, etc.

Biden’s campaign, and Democrats in general, have aired ads heavily on the digital subchannels, both locally and nationally, and there has been virtually zero Trump or Republican presence - for years on end now. Millions of people collectively watch these stations, and the Democrats have a virtual monopoly on the messaging. Most of the audience is older for these stations as well. Examples are Buzzr, MeTV, CoziTV, AntennaTV, GetTV, GRIT, StartTV, H&I, and others.


22 posted on 07/01/2024 1:13:15 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: Republican Wildcat

OK so what the hell is wrong with seniors, OMG can they NOT SEE the destruction of this nation!! I am 72 and ASHAMED that people in my age group would CONTINUE to vote for THIS!!!!


23 posted on 07/01/2024 1:17:09 PM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: Trump Girl Kit Cat

Many of today’s “seniors” are un-reconstructed and unrepentant hippies from the 60s.


24 posted on 07/01/2024 1:26:08 PM PDT by donozark (Presbyterians wear elbow patches and drive on recapped tires.)
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To: Republican Wildcat

OK so what the hell is wrong with seniors, OMG can they NOT SEE the destruction of this nation!! I am 72 and ASHAMED that people in my age group would CONTINUE to vote for THIS!!!!


25 posted on 07/01/2024 1:35:25 PM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: Republican Wildcat

“among voters aged 18-29”

Most of which who have 80 to 85 year old Grandparents, many going through memory loss issues. This strikes home, and a big no thank you vote for Joetato.


26 posted on 07/01/2024 2:28:51 PM PDT by DAC21
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To: philippa

We don’t want the polls to look too bad for Biden right now or the Dems will definitely find a way to get a new candidate.


27 posted on 07/01/2024 2:37:00 PM PDT by phil00071
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To: Republican Wildcat

The CEO of this Brazilian polling firm is Harvard/McKinsey, which basically means CIA. And “accurate” pollsters are measured by the very last poll they report before an election—and how well it aligns with the margin the election was stolen to.


28 posted on 07/01/2024 2:41:59 PM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: Republican Wildcat

I don’t trust national polls. You need fifty individual state polls.


29 posted on 07/01/2024 3:01:00 PM PDT by political1 (Love your neighbors)
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To: phil00071

Agree. But it may be too late.


30 posted on 07/01/2024 3:17:00 PM PDT by philippa
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To: Trump Girl Kit Cat

Possibly the Dems have convinced some of them that Trump will cut Social Security/Medicare. I haven’t seen where there’s Biden ads saying that, but Biden said that in the 2022 midterms.

Clearly the Trump team needs to figure this out. They may have to use the dreaded focus groups.


31 posted on 07/01/2024 4:08:08 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: lasereye

“Trump will cut Social Security/Medicare.”

In the debate Biden was incoherent most of the time but he did mumble something to the effect that “Trump will end Social Security”.

Amazingly it was picked up by leftist fact-checkers and specifically identified as a false claim by Biden.

There was lots of those false claims by Biden noted by the leftist mass media.

That was part of Biden’s horrid debate performance—blatant lies.


32 posted on 07/01/2024 4:11:28 PM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: Brown Deer

It says they were rated the top pollster in 2020. Those ratings are not from 2020.


33 posted on 07/01/2024 4:25:05 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: lasereye

That’s not what the headline says and indeed, although Brazil is in South America, that’s not what was implied.

They are nowhere to be found in this list from 2020!
https://web.archive.org/web/20200106123841/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

Maybe they claim to be, but I doubt it!
https://www.atlasintel.org/media/atlasintel-is-confirmed-as-the-most-accurate-pollster-of-the-2020-presidential-election

Oh, here they are later on in 2020 (nowhere near the top):
https://web.archive.org/web/20201001080820/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/


34 posted on 07/01/2024 5:00:45 PM PDT by Brown Deer
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To: Republican Wildcat

bookmark


35 posted on 07/01/2024 5:10:03 PM PDT by simpson96
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To: lasereye

After proving to be America’s most accurate national poll in the 2004, 2008, 2012 and 2016 presidential elections, results for 2020 show the IBD/TIPP poll has done it again. IBD/TIPP has now been the most accurate in each of the last five election cycles.

https://www.investors.com/news/ibdtipp-americas-most-accurate-pollster/


36 posted on 07/01/2024 5:12:16 PM PDT by Brown Deer
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To: lasereye

They have been running ads for months already with these kinds of claims without any response from Trump or allied orgs. Having extra cash makes a difference. The base didn’t start providing our own side money until Trump was convicted...months too late...we have a lot of catch up to play.

People passively absorb messages they hear and it will influence the subconsciously...that is why we must have our own message competing with the other side’s messaging...not allowing it to go months on end without any response. Trump and Biden are more even in money...but a big part of that is because Biden/DNC has already spent many millions of dollars in campaign advertising and campaign GOTV infrastructure - Trump/RNC are way behind.


37 posted on 07/01/2024 8:29:38 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: Brown Deer

That makes sense because I had never heard of this poll before.


38 posted on 07/01/2024 8:56:47 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: Republican Wildcat

It amazes me how Republicans never have a strong response to this particular lie. They seem to just count on people not believing it. They even had people believing it back in the 1984 Reagan landslide, but Mondale was such a bad candidate that it didn’t matter. I would think Trump is more on top of this than the typical incompetent Republican.


39 posted on 07/01/2024 9:05:15 PM PDT by lasereye
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