Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Joe Biden Gets Bad News From America's Most Accurate Pollster
Newsweek via MSN ^ | 7/1/2024 | Evan Palmer

Posted on 07/01/2024 12:20:25 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat

President Joe Biden is trailing behind Donald Trump in the 2024 race, including by nearly 15 points among younger voters, according to a leading pollster.

A survey from AtlasIntel, which was named the most accurate polling group of the 2020 presidential election by 538, found that Trump has a five-point lead over Biden (45.5 percent to 40.3) with just over four months to go until November's rematch between the pair.

When broken down further, the poll of 1,634 likely voters shows that Trump is the clear favorite among voters aged 18-29 (41.6 percent to 27). Historically, younger voters have tended to favor Democratic presidential candidates in elections.

In comparison, Biden leads Trump in the other potential key age demographics of those between 45 and 64 (47.7 percent to 45.1) and those 65 and above (52.1 percent to 41.6).

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: biden; fakenews; poll; polls
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-39 next last
In comparison, Biden leads Trump in the other potential key age demographics of those between 45 and 64 (47.7 percent to 45.1) and those 65 and above (52.1 percent to 41.6).

So according to this poll...Trump's lead is among those least likely to vote and Biden's bulk of support comes from the age group most likely to vote, and among those who are least likely to agree with his radical social agenda. However, this is also the group, like in 2020, Biden's team has been running a sustained ad campaign with their larger campaign warchest already for several months targeting and at least based on these numbers, it is having an effect - portraying it as a race between "good ol' Joe and chaotic Trump." I simply don't elieve those over 65 especially support prosecuting people for opposing mutilating surgeries for minor children, taking toddlers to strip joints, putting pornography in public schools, etc. Yet, they are poised to vote for it in large numbers.

1 posted on 07/01/2024 12:20:25 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

*elieve = believe


2 posted on 07/01/2024 12:21:31 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat

Was this poll taken before or after the debate?


3 posted on 07/01/2024 12:21:36 PM PDT by philippa
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: philippa

Poll done between June 26 and June 28, meaning, some of the participants may have seen or heard about the Big Event last Thursday.


4 posted on 07/01/2024 12:23:50 PM PDT by lee martell
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat

Most Accurate Pollster.... NO! The Most Accurate Pollster needs to get his prediction in line with the voters! See he has been gaslighting for all he’s worth and now that we are getting down to the final stretch (a little bit early, but Joe’s to blame for that issue) he needs to be right! So, time to start telling the truth!


5 posted on 07/01/2024 12:24:34 PM PDT by Lockbox (politicians, they all seemed like game show hosts to me.... Sting…)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: lee martell

That’s one day of bad returns. This is horrifying for Biden. The next round of polls will be worse for him. The weekend numbers will fall like a rock.


6 posted on 07/01/2024 12:25:34 PM PDT by Vermont Lt (Don’t vote for anyone over 70 years old. Get rid of the geriatric politicians.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat

bye bye dementia joe!


7 posted on 07/01/2024 12:26:49 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat

I thought the “media’s” latest polls have Bidenskyyyyyyyyyyyyy “crushing” President Trump by two points. I haven’t seen FOX’s polls but they probably have Pedo Joe by 10 in an avalanche.


8 posted on 07/01/2024 12:27:46 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (President Trump is a businessman first and a politician second. That's why he's good for America.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: All

The key here is Biden allegedly got 7M more votes in 2020 than Trump. This was a 4.8% lead following a polling lead of 7.5%. 5M of the 7 were in Calif and 2M in NY. This is why the electoral votes spread among the relevant states was only a few 10s of thousands.

If that 7% polling advantage is reversed, this is landslide territory in the battlegrounds.


9 posted on 07/01/2024 12:27:53 PM PDT by Owen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Vermont Lt

Let’s hope so. 5% ain’t nearly enough. We need a 20-30% gap to overcome the cheating


10 posted on 07/01/2024 12:29:23 PM PDT by This_Dude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat
the most accurate polling group of the 2020 presidential election

LOL!

Did they get the inside scoop from the democRATs on where the cheating would occur?

11 posted on 07/01/2024 12:29:43 PM PDT by NorthMountain (... the right of the people to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Vermont Lt

RE: Biden gets bad news from pollster....

Biden: I’m losing in my quest to be a United States Senator?
My friend President Obama will put his weight behind me. I’m not quitting this thing.


12 posted on 07/01/2024 12:36:38 PM PDT by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat

In 2016 the “most accurate pollster” was the one that got it less wrong. But still they were all wrong.


13 posted on 07/01/2024 12:37:27 PM PDT by Fledermaus (We Are Now In A Civil War!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Owen

7M stuffed ballots


14 posted on 07/01/2024 12:38:30 PM PDT by Fledermaus (We Are Now In A Civil War!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat

Poll is bohunkus

After debate and ruling today poll matters

After sentencing of Trump NY case poll matters.

How many watched the debate? How many stayed tuned in for 90 minutes?

How many have seen a clip from the debate everyday since it aired live?

How many are bombarded all day with replays?

How many have nightmares now after seeing it?


15 posted on 07/01/2024 12:39:50 PM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat
America's Most Accurate Pollster?

They are located in Brazil.

Data was collected: 26 - 28 June 2024, before and after the debate?

Download here: https://cdn.atlasintel.org/2006306f-3517-49b3-9331-3cf1fb8fc46a.pdf
16 posted on 07/01/2024 12:43:21 PM PDT by Brown Deer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat

Older people voting for Biden to have their Medicare Advantage plans reduced or eliminated ... while jumping for joy to see their taxes raised.


17 posted on 07/01/2024 12:43:31 PM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat

Biden, now that the world knows he’s barely a vegetable, is going to lose in near historic proportions. He is going to bring down all the down ticket candidates as well.


18 posted on 07/01/2024 12:47:07 PM PDT by 1Old Pro
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

AtlasIntel is NOT in the top 20.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

Why is Newsweek showing a false headline?


19 posted on 07/01/2024 12:47:10 PM PDT by Brown Deer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat

Joe still has an Army of Federal workers who will follow orders on Election Day.


20 posted on 07/01/2024 12:50:43 PM PDT by EC Washington
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-39 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson