Posted on 06/25/2024 9:48:06 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Presuming that both Arizona and Georgia return to the GOP fold, and given Trump’s current Real Clear Politics aggregate leads in both those states — head-to-head +4.8, five-way +6.2 and +5.0/6.4, respectively — and the fact Trump has not been behind in a single poll in either state since April, it seems a fair presumption, what are Trump’s paths to an Electoral College or House of Representatives victory? Some are very possible, some convoluted but possible, and some unlikely but possible.
Firstly, and presuming he doesn’t lose any state he won in 2020, the simplest path is to win one of Pennsylvania, a 281 Electoral College total; Michigan 277; or Wisconsin 272.
Trump could also win outright if he took Minnesota (272), which he narrowly lost in 2016 and is making a play for now. Current polling shows the state tied. But the reality is that if he wins Minnesota, he almost certainly would have won one or more of the adjoining battleground states. An outright win is also the case for Virginia (275), currently tied in polling.
Trump could also win outright with the combination of Nevada and New Hampshire (272), which on the face of it seems unlikely. However, usually reliably Dem New Hampshire voters are quirky. This is the state that denied Gore the presidency by their votes for Nader, which were enough to give the state win to G.W. Bush. They also gave a presidential primary win to a candidate who was in France by write-in. If RFK Jr. plays the Nader role, anything can happen there.
Nevada and the popular vote in Maine giving Trump three of the Maine’s four electoral votes is 270. Under normal circumstances, such a Maine result would be unlikely, but if Kennedy gets on the ballot, then it is possible.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
“Trump could also win outright if he took Minnesota (272), which he narrowly lost in 2016 and is making a play for now.”
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“Michele Bachmann, please pick up the white courtesy phone. President Trump would like to discuss a certain position for which he is currently interviewing candidates.”
If people understand what’s good for them they will vote for Trump if they vote Biden they will continue to live on their knees and starve and except socialism.
Options only one is good
Was that Henry Cabot Lodge? That was an eternity ago. I think he was in Vietnam at the time. He was officially our ambassador then.
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It’s July 12th.
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