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Trump has 8 paths to victory in 2024. Biden has 2.
American Thinker ^ | 06/25/2024 | M. Joseph Sheppard

Posted on 06/25/2024 9:48:06 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Presuming that both Arizona and Georgia return to the GOP fold, and given Trump’s current Real Clear Politics aggregate leads in both those states — head-to-head +4.8, five-way +6.2 and +5.0/6.4, respectively — and the fact Trump has not been behind in a single poll in either state since April, it seems a fair presumption, what are Trump’s paths to an Electoral College or House of Representatives victory?  Some are very possible, some convoluted but possible, and some unlikely but possible.

Firstly, and presuming he doesn’t lose any state he won in 2020, the simplest path is to win one of Pennsylvania, a 281 Electoral College total; Michigan 277; or Wisconsin 272.

Trump could also win outright if he took Minnesota (272), which he narrowly lost in 2016 and is making a play for now.  Current polling shows the state tied.  But the reality is that if he wins Minnesota, he almost certainly would have won one or more of the adjoining battleground states.  An outright win is also the case for Virginia (275), currently tied in polling.

Trump could also win outright with the combination of Nevada and New Hampshire (272), which on the face of it seems unlikely.  However, usually reliably Dem New Hampshire voters are quirky.  This is the state that denied Gore the presidency by their votes for Nader, which were enough to give the state win to G.W. Bush.  They also gave a presidential primary win to a candidate who was in France by write-in.  If RFK Jr. plays the Nader role, anything can happen there.

Nevada and the popular vote in Maine giving Trump three of the Maine’s four electoral votes is 270.  Under normal circumstances, such a Maine result would be unlikely, but if Kennedy gets on the ballot, then it is possible.


(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2024; 2024election; elections; presidency
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And what are President Biden’s paths based on current polling, presuming the Arizona/Georgia scenario?

Presuming that Trump holds all the other states he won in 2020 and picks up Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada, Biden would have to hold all of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, where he is currently behind in polling, plus retain the Second Congressional District in Nebraska, for 270 Electoral votes. If he holds Nevada, that gets him to 276.

1 posted on 06/25/2024 9:48:06 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Bidenskyyyyyyyyyyyy should have only one path. The path down to Venezuela and run that crap hole for them.


2 posted on 06/25/2024 9:54:00 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (When did WE decide to make America a UN 5-Star Asylum Paradise for Socialist losers?)
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To: SeekAndFind

If we can actually pull this off int he fall, the single biggest priority we should have is crushing voter fraud with such a prejudice, that no one would consider doing it for a generation since the pusnishment would be so harsh.

We should follow what Desantis did in Florida but on a national level, which is put a group together whose sole purpose is to investigate then fully prosecute voter fraud in federal elections.


3 posted on 06/25/2024 9:54:44 AM PDT by suasponte137
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To: SeekAndFind
Presuming that Trump holds all the other states he won in 2020 and picks up Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada, Biden would have to hold all of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, where he is currently behind in polling, plus retain the Second Congressional District in Nebraska, for 270 Electoral votes. If he holds Nevada, that gets him to 276.

All of this assumes that the Rats won't just cheat more in the right places by using illegal ballots from illegal immigrants. Trump's chances increase if Trump supporters in the Deep Blue States vote en masse for RFK, Jr. Such a strategic vote would force the Rats to cheat in more states and stretch their resources to do that. The popular vote does not determine who becomes POTUS and we should stop pretending it does. When polls show RFK, Jr. doing better and getting close to winning a state, more Biden voters will vote for him. MAGA should support that, and also voting for RFK, Jr.'s ticket for Congress in such Deep Blue places to screw with the Rats in this election and the next election cycle. Denying the realty of Rat cheating is to keep doing what we did in 2020 and expecting a different result.
4 posted on 06/25/2024 9:59:14 AM PDT by Dr. Franklin ("A republic, if you can keep it." )
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To: SeekAndFind

all very regrettably irrelevant
so long as
the DNC ETM (election theft machine) is allowed to remain entrenched


5 posted on 06/25/2024 10:06:35 AM PDT by faithhopecharity (“Politicians are not born. They're excreted.” Marcus Tillius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: SeekAndFind
Biden would have to hold all of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, where he is currently behind in polling, plus retain the Second Congressional District in Nebraska, for 270 Electoral votes.

I predict that the Rats will cheat more than 2020 in PA, MI, and WI. Anyone who thinks they won't is delusional. Support for RFK, Jr. in the Deep Blue States is what is needed in 2024 for Trump to overcome the Rat fraud machine.
6 posted on 06/25/2024 10:07:23 AM PDT by Dr. Franklin ("A republic, if you can keep it." )
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To: SeekAndFind

Biden with really one path: CHEAT!


7 posted on 06/25/2024 10:09:13 AM PDT by larryleo
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To: SeekAndFind

Notice that it says he lost Minnesota narrowly in 2016—Biden’s margin in 2020 was much larger. He got more than 100,000 more votes in Hennepin County than Hillary had. But of course he inspired so much enthusiasm. Count on the Democrats cheating even more in 2024 than in 2020.


8 posted on 06/25/2024 10:18:21 AM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: larryleo

What no one is talking about is trump going to jail July 12th. The judge is going to send him to Rikers for years and he will sit there until his appeal is completed next year.


9 posted on 06/25/2024 10:22:59 AM PDT by DownInFlames (P)
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To: SeekAndFind

As Joe Stalin said, he who counts the votes wins the election.


10 posted on 06/25/2024 10:31:26 AM PDT by Eli Kopter
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To: SeekAndFind

I bet Biden wins due to the 2020 fix still in place


11 posted on 06/25/2024 10:37:08 AM PDT by Lee25 ( )
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To: Dr. Franklin
All of this assumes that the Rats won't just cheat more in the right places by using illegal ballots from illegal immigrants.

This, on steroids.

If there is one essential lesson the GOP should learn from 2020, it is that once illegal ballots are included in the count, no corrupt lower court will allow them to be challenged/examined/audited. Trump's legal challenges to the cheat-by-mail-in ballots are still unresolved.

In 2020 it was the cheat-by-mail-in ballots. In 2024 it will be millions of illegal aliens being allowed to vote without any verification of citizenship.

This is why the GOP cannot wait until tens of millions of illegal ballots are included in the count to challenge them. They need a team of election lawyers on the ground at the polls, and the RNC should be working with state legislatures to ensure citizenship verification is mandated.

Now that Ronna McRomRom is gone, maybe that will happen...

12 posted on 06/25/2024 10:37:17 AM PDT by HandBasketHell
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To: DownInFlames

Donald J Trump is not going to jail on July 12th or ever. To go to jail you must have been convicted of some crime, and it has never been established that any crime ever could be correctly identified.


13 posted on 06/25/2024 10:40:06 AM PDT by alloysteel (Most people slog through life without ever knowing the wonders of true insanity.)
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To: GOPJ; poconopundit; Jane Long; Diana in Wisconsin; Grampa Dave; Godzilla; Vaduz; null and void; ...

p


14 posted on 06/25/2024 10:44:23 AM PDT by Liz (This then is how we should pray: Our Father who art in heaven, Hallowed be thy name . )
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To: SeekAndFind

Biden has ONE path... CHEATING!

And it’s all he needs.

over the last 4 years, republicans across the board have REFUSED to do anything about what happened in 2020, let alone recognize that it even happened on their watch.

Anyone who thinks the outcome is going to be different this time around has NOT BEEN PAYING ATTENTION!


15 posted on 06/25/2024 10:46:58 AM PDT by Safrguns
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To: SeekAndFind

100 million fake votes or ww3


16 posted on 06/25/2024 10:53:49 AM PDT by struggle
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To: HandBasketHell

“They need a team of election lawyers on the ground at the polls, and the RNC should be working with state legislatures to ensure citizenship verification is mandated.

“Now that Ronna McRomRom is gone, maybe that will happen...”

Apparently not. There is major fraud happening in AZ now. As of this morning, in spite of requests that the RNC send attorneys(s) for emergency help, there has been no help. Looks like Lara Trump is no better than McRomRom. Maybe that has changed since 11 this morning. I don’t know.


17 posted on 06/25/2024 10:54:15 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam (Navarro didn't kill himself.)
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To: Safrguns

Trump isn’t worried about do nothing Republicans because he has vans full of Trump ballots ready to go this November.

The Big Cheat of 2020 won’t be repeated.


18 posted on 06/25/2024 10:59:26 AM PDT by unclebankster (Globalism is the last refuge of a scoundrel.)
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To: SeekAndFind

After the steal in 2020 —

The GOPe did nothing.
The states did nothing.
The courts did nothing.

Why would the Democrats not do the same steal again?


19 posted on 06/25/2024 11:19:45 AM PDT by george76 (Ward Churchill : Fake Indian, Fake Scholarship, and Fake Art)
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To: DownInFlames

Seems as if the judge will not pass up the chance to do what you suggest.

Guaranteed invites to all the best garden parties and cocktail “suarres” for the rest of his sold-out life.


20 posted on 06/25/2024 11:21:59 AM PDT by one guy in new jersey
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