I beg to differ. Although the crowds are not predominantly black, saying there are "hardly any" is not accurate. This is from the Philly rally:
Posted on 06/25/2024 6:34:25 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
A CBS News/YouGov poll published this week shows former President Donald Trump is making gains with black voters, with support at 23 percent — nearly double from 2020.
🇺🇲 2024 GE: CBS News/YouGov
Trump: 50% [=] Biden: 49% [=]
[+/- change vs June 5-7] — Crosstabs • Age 18-29: Biden 61-38% • Age 30-44: Trump 50-49% • Age 45-64: Trump 53-47% • Age 65+: Trump 55-45% • Independents: Biden 50-49% • White: Trump 57-43% • Black: Biden… pic.twitter.com/UXdryH1LCq
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 23, 2024
Exit polling in 2020 showed only 12 percent black voter support for Trump (which was still higher than in 2016, at only eight percent).
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
I believe they generally like them with a lot more meat on their bones.
Black voters aren’t showing up in numbers seen before. Turnout for all groups will be down.
“Somehow the race is still within the MOE?”
Most likely that is the case on the polls published for dissemination to the public. Like the one Fox News showed last week.
The polls that are paid for by the candidates and parties show something different. Like these specific demographic and racial specifics. Those polls show that no way will Biden win.
Unless they Cheat. A LOT.
I VERY SERIOUSLY doubt that the photo you posted was from any of Trump’s visits to bodegas or any other large inner-city/urban establishment. Try again-and this time, at least fake being honest.
You seem rather disappointed by the fact that Donald Trump is leading in the polls. Care to explain why?
It’s obvious you’ve been in the tank for Trumps opponent, but it’s not all that obvious which opponent your still cheering, is it Trumps primary opponent or his general election opponent?
Oh h*ll yes, for sure. Polls are not to be trusted no matter what they say. They are manipulative, not informative. We conservatives really should get this through our heads and play the game (football analogy) as though we are 3 points behind with 2 minutes left on the clock.
I beg to differ. Although the crowds are not predominantly black, saying there are "hardly any" is not accurate. This is from the Philly rally:
And THIS is why they have to import new voters. The old ones are getting all uppity and voting against them.
Also, the urban blacks have ALWAYS viewed the justice system as being slanted against them. The more Trump gets railroaded, the more they identify with him and support him.
More interested in the % of votes counted that actually come from actual voters, including those still/not among the living.
Is Carson in running for VP?
Good.
I hope Trump picks him.
As much as I hate to say it...having two white dudes on the tickets gives the left ammo...and Carson should get him some more minority votes.
I think it is from bad sample data too
It was from a Trump rally in Philadelphia, like I clearly stated in my post. Next time, I will use smaller words for your benefit. As for the picture, it came from RSBN which is essentially a Trump hagiography .
That was a stupid tactic by the Biden Administration. Trump is a billionaire who was born with a silver spoon in his mouth. Trump's personality is toxic. They did one thing which helped him to relate to the American people, especially Black man, by railroading him via lawfare.
Blacks don’t go to the polls, doesn’t matter how much Black support is. He only needs to get back the few percent of White voters he lost in ‘20.
WaPo is going under, blacks are going to vote for Trump. Ok, We’ll see.
If you want a brother as VP I'd go with either Byron Donalds of Florida or Wesley Hunt of Texas. They are articulate and have passion, and their manner of speaking is far more relatable to black men or, frankly, anyone than Carson's.
Robinson from NC is solid too..but he’s running for NC Governor this year.
It’s hard to sample badly. The methodologies are pretty much defined.
Here are some facts. Biden’s alleged advantage in 2020 was 7M votes. You can check this and then discover 5M of these were Calif and 2M were NY. In no state did Trump lead by over 1M.
In 2016, much was said about how even with such a big popular vote win for Hillary, he managed an EV win and that was achieved via only about 40K votes spread among WI, MI and PA.
In 2020, the exact same thing was true for Biden. A few 10s of K votes in the relevant states.
That 7M vote lead was about 4.5%. His polling lead going in was about 6%.
This year the polling lead is not there. In 2020 FR managed to ignore pro Biden polls. But RCP averaged them and he had a 6% lead (via Calif and NY).
If Trump has added 11% of blacks, they are 12% of the electorate. It is thus about 1.3% difference in popular vote.
THE BIG DIFFERENCE IS POLLS ARE MUCH NARROWER NOW. There is zero reason to believe — with liberal influx to FL and TX, that this is going to concentrate votes as Biden’s has in CA and NY. The narrower polls bespeak significant leads in the important states, and 1.3% of the overall popular vote does concentrate in cities, and the vote counters there.
This is not a trivial change. Biden is in trouble, and that’s where the stories come from about replacing him.
THIS . . . THIS is why
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