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If Everyone Voted, Would Biden Benefit? Not Anymore. {15 June 2024}
New York times ^ | 15th June 2024 | Nate Cohn

Posted on 06/15/2024 9:47:50 PM PDT by Cronos

In a reversal of one of the most familiar patterns in American politics, it appears that Donald J. Trump, not President Biden, would stand to gain if everyone in the country turned out and voted.

In New York Times/Siena College polls over the last year, Mr. Biden holds a wide lead over Mr. Trump among regular primary and midterm voters, yet he trails among the rest of the electorate, giving Mr. Trump a lead among registered voters overall.

...early polls suggest, many less engaged and infrequent voters have grown deeply dissatisfied with Mr. Biden.

...Trump has gained among young and nonwhite voters, who are less likely to vote than older white voters. It creates a challenge for the campaigns, who are finding that time-tested strategies for mobilizing irregular voters may not work quite the same way as they did in the past.

...Even if Mr. Trump holds his edge among the disengaged, it’s not clear many of these low-turnout voters will ultimately show up to vote.

But if they do vote, Mr. Trump would stand to gain — something unimaginable for a Republican as recently as a few years ago.

In the Obama era, Democrats’ electoral fortunes seemed to depend on drawing young and nonwhite voters to the polls. The party excelled when Barack Obama helped mobilize that turnout in the presidential years of 2008 and 2012, but was pummeled in the low-turnout 2010 and 2014 midterm elections.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
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To: nwrep
How did we end up with such crap candidates?

Once you realize that the GOP exists merely for maintaining the illusion of opposing socialism, it all makes sense.

And the DNC exists for the illusion of implementing socialism.

What both parties are striving for is fascism. And they've won far too much already. It is the American People and our Freedom that is nearly gone. Replaced. Expunged.

21 posted on 06/16/2024 5:15:23 AM PDT by Sirius Lee (They intend to kill us. Plan to avoid this.)
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To: PIF

Why didn’t this work in 2000 or 2004?


22 posted on 06/16/2024 5:42:36 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: Mr. N. Wolfe

Something so many republicans do not want to understand. For a republican to win they must either overperform compared to generic Republican or be facing a Democrat who underperforms the geric Democrat.

GHW BUSH, Generic Republican coming after a highly successful Republican presidency.

Bob Dole, Generic Republican

GW Bush, Generic Republican, by this time the Generic Democrat was a little less shiny and Dems shot themselves in the foot, with incompetence in vote design in FL

John McCain, severely unperformed Generic Republican

Mitt Romney, Generic Republican.

Remember the Education and Entertainment establishment has been labeling Republicans as Racist, Warmongering and greedy for over 60 years.


23 posted on 06/16/2024 5:52:30 AM PDT by Fraxinus (My opinion, worth what you paid.)
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To: Cronos

If everyone voted I doubt NYC democrats would like it. Only 20 percent of REGISTERED VOTERS voted.In a place like NYC that 20 percent is probably ninety percent communist. The pendulum of youre is in the other eighty percent.


24 posted on 06/16/2024 6:03:38 AM PDT by TalBlack (I We have a Christian duty and a patriotic duty. God help us.)
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To: Cronos

past.

“...Even if Mr. Trump holds his edge among the disengaged, it’s not clear many of these low-turnout voters will ultimately show up to vote.“

This is the real point of the article, leftists whistling past the graveyard. There’s a storm coming and they know it.


25 posted on 06/16/2024 6:08:27 AM PDT by TalBlack (I We have a Christian duty and a patriotic duty. God help us.)
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To: nwrep

They concentrated on state elections, mainly in CA. How do you imagine CA went from solid GOP to Solid DEM?

They had not perfected the necessary techniques in those elections to take them - close but no cigar, until 2020.


26 posted on 06/16/2024 7:12:19 AM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: Cronos

bump


27 posted on 06/17/2024 6:22:52 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money)
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