Posted on 05/23/2024 10:42:20 AM PDT by thegagline
President Biden and former President Donald Trump are locked in a statistical tie as they gear up for the first of two scheduled debates next month, but nearly one-fifth of voters say they could still change their mind about for whom they ultimately pull the lever.
In a one-on-one matchup, Biden garnered 48% support to Trump’s 47%, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll of registered voters released Wednesday.
Last month, the survey found Trump and Biden in a flat-footed tie, with each receiving 46% support.
Despite the incumbent’s lead, history suggests the margin would be tight enough for Trump to secure victory in the Electoral College. In 2016, the Republican lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by 2.1%, but racked up 304 electoral votes to become the 45th president.
The poll also indicates that third-party candidates might take a bigger bite out of Trump than Biden.
With independent and Green Party candidates in the polling mix, Biden slips to 41% — a decrease of seven points — while Trump’s support falls to just 38%, a nine-point decline.
In a five-way matchup, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. scoops up 14% support***
Among polled voters in the five-person race, 19% said it was either very likely (3%) or somewhat likely (16%) that they might change their mind about who to support before the election.
However, Trump held a distinct advantage among that cohort.
Just 8% of supporters of the 45th president said they were somewhat likely to change their minds with none saying they were “very likely” to switch, while 15% of Biden backers said a switch was either very likely (3%) or somewhat likely (12%).
***
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
Wise assessment.
Unfortunately.
It’s possible this is the most accurate poll since the 2016 election poll that got Hillary scrolling through online catalogs for redecorating the White House .
There is NO way that Biden is in a tie with President Trump.
Look for Biden to mysteriously win.
He’s loaded up the agencies for 40 yrs.
Deep State
Quinipiac is always skewed towards Democrat.
Trump cannot pull away from Biden because for many voters, he is tainted by January 6th. If he continues to assert that January 6th was a “beautiful day”, he will hand the election to Biden.
Quinnipiac.
That’s all you need to say. Quinnipiac has been a laughably BS Democrat Propaganda Push Poll for years and years. Its not remotely credible.
Their heads will explode when they see the Bronx later today.
AOC already claiming they’re “busing people in”...yeah, cuz that’s what they would do.
If anybody believes this I have swamp land in Fla for sale. 😆
It speaks volumes as to the stupidity of the American Public.
No, it’s a direct piece of evidence that we’re constantly being barraged with BS info about polls to drive the narrative to make a steal.
There’s no way there is a 5-point spread. If the polls were conducted and reported honestly & accurately, President Trump would be ahead by more than 30.
That poll is bs,leftist university
Amen
I don’t believe this at all, That decrepit old pervert is floundering badly.
They will have to pump the polls in order to manufacture a big cheat.
If the voters check their wallet voters will change their choice.
I’m not sure why President Trump agreed to a debate in June. Should’ve agreed to post-Labor Day debates only. The Democrats are trying to gauge if Biden will be a complete disaster and, if so, will switch him out at the Democratic Convention in August. Why give them this opportunity? There was no need to make it easier for them to replace Biden.
The nationwide vote means nothing.Of course The Big Guy will carry CA...NY...and IL by 70-25.
Polling only likely voters would boost Biden. Biden's voters are higher income and more educated than Trump's.
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