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Biden edges ahead of Trump as nearly 20% of voters say their choice might change: poll
The New York Post ^ | 05/23/2024 | Chris Nesi

Posted on 05/23/2024 10:42:20 AM PDT by thegagline

President Biden and former President Donald Trump are locked in a statistical tie as they gear up for the first of two scheduled debates next month, but nearly one-fifth of voters say they could still change their mind about for whom they ultimately pull the lever.

In a one-on-one matchup, Biden garnered 48% support to Trump’s 47%, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll of registered voters released Wednesday.

Last month, the survey found Trump and Biden in a flat-footed tie, with each receiving 46% support.

Despite the incumbent’s lead, history suggests the margin would be tight enough for Trump to secure victory in the Electoral College. In 2016, the Republican lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by 2.1%, but racked up 304 electoral votes to become the 45th president.

The poll also indicates that third-party candidates might take a bigger bite out of Trump than Biden.

With independent and Green Party candidates in the polling mix, Biden slips to 41% — a decrease of seven points — while Trump’s support falls to just 38%, a nine-point decline.

In a five-way matchup, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. scoops up 14% support***

Among polled voters in the five-person race, 19% said it was either very likely (3%) or somewhat likely (16%) that they might change their mind about who to support before the election.

However, Trump held a distinct advantage among that cohort.

Just 8% of supporters of the 45th president said they were somewhat likely to change their minds with none saying they were “very likely” to switch, while 15% of Biden backers said a switch was either very likely (3%) or somewhat likely (12%).

***

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Political Humor/Cartoons; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: chrisnesi; election; fakenews; fakepolls; frresidentrino; gaggingonbiden; murdochpost; nevertrumpers; nevertrumpingtroll; newyorkcompost; pushpoll; quinnipiac; quinnipiaclol; quinnipiacuniversity; rinosaretraitors; rinosedition; tds; thefaglineline; therinoline; tie; trump; votedforbiden; whyishestillhere; zotthisrino; zotthistroll
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To: thegagline

“In a one-on-one matchup, Biden garnered 48% support to Trump’s 47%, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll of registered voters released Wednesday.”

They had it Biden 50-44 three months ago.

Also this is registered voters, not likely voters.


21 posted on 05/23/2024 10:55:33 AM PDT by TexasGator
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To: thegagline

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/trump-vs-biden


22 posted on 05/23/2024 10:55:35 AM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room)
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To: thegagline

Take your perception of what the average American voter knows. Divide by four. Subtract 31%.

Add alcohol and drugs.


23 posted on 05/23/2024 10:55:54 AM PDT by lurk (u)
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To: thegagline
The fact that Trump and Biden are in a dead heat, speaks volumes about the public’s perception of the respective candidates.

No. It speaks volumes about the number of people the rats have got to suck on the government teat.

24 posted on 05/23/2024 11:01:45 AM PDT by HIDEK6 (God bless Donald Trump)
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To: lurk
Take your perception of what the average American voter knows. Divide by four. Subtract 31%. Add alcohol and drugs.

Good one!

25 posted on 05/23/2024 11:02:22 AM PDT by thegagline (Sic semper tyrannis! Goldwater & Thomas Sowell in 2024)
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To: All

Biden ahead?

Musta polled the Biden Crime Family exclusively.


26 posted on 05/23/2024 11:03:19 AM PDT by Liz (This then is how we should pray: Our Father who art in heaven, Hallowed be thy name. )
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To: thegagline

Am I reading this right. The 18-34 age group has Trump a point up. If Trump can swing some of the black male vote. Biden is fake toast.


27 posted on 05/23/2024 11:08:51 AM PDT by MagillaX
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To: dfwgator
I agree w/ that assessment.

Among polled voters in the five-person race, 19% said it was either very likely (3%) or somewhat likely (16%) that they might change their mind about who to support before the election.

Those people are beeping out a flatline, loud and clear and annoying. Quick! The paddles! Code blue!

28 posted on 05/23/2024 11:12:03 AM PDT by Migraine ( )
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To: thegagline

Only 8% of Trump voters were somewhat likely. Biden voters 15% somewhat or very likely. So on this question, Trump does better than Biden. Don’t get that impression from the headline though do you.


29 posted on 05/23/2024 11:21:20 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard ( Resist the narrative. )
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To: thegagline

Only 8% of Trump voters were somewhat likely. Biden voters 15% somewhat or very likely. So on this question, Trump does better than Biden. Don’t get that impression from the headline though do you.


30 posted on 05/23/2024 11:22:02 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard ( Resist the narrative. )
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To: FreeReign
Regarding Quinnipiac polling: Since Feb 2023 Biden has the lead in 14 of 16 polls. One poll was a tie. That leaves Trump leading in ONE poll. That poll was November 2023.
31 posted on 05/23/2024 11:22:46 AM PDT by CaptainK ("If life's really hard, at least its short"p)
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To: thegagline
"Biden edges ahead of Trump as nearly 20% of voters say their choice might change: poll"

Theft requires close polls...as close as money can buy.


32 posted on 05/23/2024 11:23:49 AM PDT by clearcarbon (Fraudulent elections have consequences.)
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To: thegagline

Hillary and Newsom are waiting in the wings to take the starring role in this tragicomedy.


33 posted on 05/23/2024 11:25:00 AM PDT by cpdiii (cane cutter, deckhand, oilfield roughneck, drilling fluid tech, geologist, pilot, pharmacist ,MAGA)
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To: thegagline

The debate should make it clear that Biden has advanced dementia and isn’t fit to hold the office of POTUS. No amount of gas lighting, lies and obfuscation by the media will cover Biden’s deteriorating mental state. I expect for the debate Biden will be juiced up and turned into the glassy eyed belligerent zombie Biden who rants, pounds the podium and performs like Hitler did in his speeches.


34 posted on 05/23/2024 11:26:26 AM PDT by The Great RJ ( )
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To: thegagline
A national poll of registered voters. Useless dreck.

Quinnipiac polls. Less than useless.

Really, this is a joke of both a “poll” and an “article”.

35 posted on 05/23/2024 11:27:59 AM PDT by Pox (Eff You China. Buy American!)
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To: cpdiii
Hillary and Newsom are waiting in the wings to take the starring role in this tragicomedy.

Or perhaps Michelle Obama. No matter who is selected, they will be championed as the “Savior of Democracy!” [Constitutional Republic]

36 posted on 05/23/2024 11:28:28 AM PDT by thegagline (Sic semper tyrannis! Goldwater & Thomas Sowell in 2024)
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To: TheBattman

“But dear LORD - how can anyone with half a brain, even if they totally HATE Donald J. Trump, even intellectually ascent to casting a vote for Joe Biden?”

Most people don’t see the Biden we do. What very little nees they do watch is left-leaning. Garbage in, garbage out.


37 posted on 05/23/2024 11:29:21 AM PDT by TexasGator
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To: thegagline

The same people running these polls are the same ones running around with Hamas and shouting death to Israel and America.

And yet people are gullible enough to believe them. Even when they see the turnout for Trump vs Biden events people still believe these polls. Even when they see black voters turning to Trump in large numbers then they still believe these polls.

Stupid.


38 posted on 05/23/2024 11:30:16 AM PDT by Revel
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To: cpdiii
Hillary and Newsom are waiting in the wings to take the starring role in this tragicomedy.

Thankfully Biden is too stubborn to step aside as Newsome would regain the stupid kid vote and pick up 5-7% in the polls.

39 posted on 05/23/2024 11:30:54 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: Dr. Sivana

Votes and voters are irrelevant - like last time, its who counts the ballots and how many times they count the same ballots. Every ballot must be counted, regardless of who casts them, at least once.


40 posted on 05/23/2024 11:32:30 AM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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