Posted on 05/23/2024 10:42:20 AM PDT by thegagline
President Biden and former President Donald Trump are locked in a statistical tie as they gear up for the first of two scheduled debates next month, but nearly one-fifth of voters say they could still change their mind about for whom they ultimately pull the lever.
In a one-on-one matchup, Biden garnered 48% support to Trump’s 47%, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll of registered voters released Wednesday.
Last month, the survey found Trump and Biden in a flat-footed tie, with each receiving 46% support.
Despite the incumbent’s lead, history suggests the margin would be tight enough for Trump to secure victory in the Electoral College. In 2016, the Republican lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by 2.1%, but racked up 304 electoral votes to become the 45th president.
The poll also indicates that third-party candidates might take a bigger bite out of Trump than Biden.
With independent and Green Party candidates in the polling mix, Biden slips to 41% — a decrease of seven points — while Trump’s support falls to just 38%, a nine-point decline.
In a five-way matchup, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. scoops up 14% support***
Among polled voters in the five-person race, 19% said it was either very likely (3%) or somewhat likely (16%) that they might change their mind about who to support before the election.
However, Trump held a distinct advantage among that cohort.
Just 8% of supporters of the 45th president said they were somewhat likely to change their minds with none saying they were “very likely” to switch, while 15% of Biden backers said a switch was either very likely (3%) or somewhat likely (12%).
***
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
I’m guessing that Biden will pardon his son etc and bow out of the race. He will be replaced by someone who can string an intelligible sentence or two together and therefore be a more palatable presidential candidate. A lot can happen between now and November.
It speaks volumes as to the stupidity of the American Public.
Knowing how dirty the Dems are, that's an understatement.
The ‘fix’ must be accompanied by copious amounts of gaslighting to be effective.
Actually it speaks volumes about Quinnipiac Polling.
These guys are terrible.. not sure why they get considered top tier polling they are never close always overstate dem by 5 points or more in national polling.
To believe this poll?
It speaks to the ability to make a poll say anything.
Speaks to quality of Quinnipiac. They are among the worst of what the msm considered top tier polling.
Always have democrats over performing by 5 points or more in their national polling almost every single time
Since we don’t have a pure “majority wins” ( i.e., who wins the popular vote wins the Presidency ), election system...
National Polls are less important than SWING STATE POLLS.
THAT is what I want to see.
Hahaha
This poll is bogus.
“The fact that Trump and Biden are in a dead heat, speaks volumes about the public’s perception of the respective candidates.”
Please understand that most people do not see Biden’s nature.
Most people don’t watch any news. The little news that is watched is left-leaning.
LOL I stopped reading at quinnipiac they are a leftist rag and also last week they had Biden up 4 so honestly this is great news it means Trump is ahead
The polls are a massive (and bad) joke. Every one claims to have it right - and yet contradict.
But consider for a moment, regardless of who’s poll or their polling base -
Even if Biden and Trump are in a “dead heat”, as some claim - what does that say about this nation and how totally screwed we are? I’ve never been a “team Trump” guy, nor a “never-Trump” guy. But dear LORD - how can anyone with half a brain, even if they totally HATE Donald J. Trump, even intellectually ascent to casting a vote for Joe Biden? There isn’t a single statistic or dynamic that says the USA is better off for having Biden in office. Not a one. On the flip-side, literally all are suffering from insane inflation, growing violence, loss of rights, and so much more.
3.5 years of Biden have brought us high prices (far exceeding wages, despite artificial wage inflation through forced minimum wage hikes), wars in the Middle East and Ukraine, China re-emboldened regarding Taiwan, North Korea rattling their nukes again, vastly-increased violence against Christians on the African Continent (with China functionally taking over vast swaths of that continent), record US Debt... and a health care system that is collapsing (all with dramatically higher costs in contrast to Biden’s boss who claimed we would save a fortune...). We see riots cranking up again - and an education system being systematically destroyed by Federal policies. And Women’s sports are no longer...women...
The article says “voters”, not “likely voters”
Trump is in the Bronx today. The New Yorkers who love Trump really love him. The Post has to detract a little at least.
Exactly! In a country half full of idiots...... That it’s even a contest tells you all you need to know.
Lol. This tells me we are going to see increasingly cooked economic stats coming from this administration as the election draws nearer.
Spring/Summer of 1980.
They said the same thing about Jimmy Carter versus Ronald Reagan. Reagan was behind in all the polls until the Fall.
Quinnipiac’s final 2020 poll showed Biden winning by 11. He won by 4.5. That’s a 6.5 point Biden bias.
Remember AZ 2020!
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