Rasmussen: Trump + 10-12

The upside to criminal elections is that we don’t have to pretend we care about what Frank Luntz thinks.

The only people I know who actually *like* Biden (as opposed to choosing him because they dislike Trump) have doctorates.

There are ideas that are so laughable that you'd have to be an academic to think they were serious ideas.

Deep State: “Trump is up 10 points! Prosecuting him is only helping his numbers! QUICK, TOSS HIM IN JAIL!”

Good point, and valid.

Yes, this is an outlier to be sure.

Don’t get me wrong Trump definitely has the momentum, and yes nearly 2/3 of PA voters rate the economy as BAD (or worse).. But Trump by 10 in PA? even in a 3 way I think that’s a bit of a stretch.

I do believe Trump, absolutely has momentum and should win solidly in a 3 way.. Believe last I checked RFK was polling around 7-8 in the state.

However, on election day, is Trump going to win PA by 10 points ahead of his next closes rival? Well, I could see that, but it would take RFK JR to be polling well above 7% for me to see that happening.

It certainly is possible, Ross Perot’s involvement in 92 and 96 gave Clinton a 10ish point victory in PA both elections , but Perot took 18% of the vote one time and 10% another. Biden is VERY unpopular, and the economy is craptastic... but even with RFK Jr in the race, I’m hard pressed to believe a 10 point win at this point in PA.

It certainly could get there by election day, and I hope it does, because after the 2020 hanky panky in this state, Trump has to win and win HUGE to overcome the malfeasance that will certainly go on again here... This state has done NOTHING to clean up the mess of 2020 and the GOP of PA were and still are active co conspirators to stop Trump.. so Trump needs to win PA and win huge in order to actually get the win, he has to overwhelm the system so badly that they just can’t create enough fraud to counter it. So Trump really needs to be up high single to double digits to be safe to win.

If momentum stays the way it has been going Trump should be able to safely win PA... the real question is what impact will the eventual conviction have, because you know they are going to get a conviction on something and all the polling shows that’s the only thing that might cause folks to reconsider voting for trump... so when they get their conviction, even if its overturned on appeal, will see what happens with the race... but short of that, things stay the way they have been, I’d expect the 2016 map (roughly) with a few additional stated on the low end... If momentum stays the way its going and the conviction backfires, which certainly smells like it is likely to on the Dems, we may be talking about Trump winning states no one is even mentioning.

BIDEN is a disaster, only up 10 or so in DEEP DEEP blue states... if this momentum generally continues, the discussion by election day by people who aren’t trying to pretend what they want is what is actually happening, is going to be, which classically Blue states is Biden even going to be able to hold.

We shall see.

WOW, THESE POLLS SOUND AS PROMISING AS THE ONES BEFORE THE LAST ELECTION!!!

Everybody lies and lies.

Trump really doesn’t care much Frank’s poll tested phrasology.

Uh oh.

This is turning out to be a bad day for you Surrender Monkeys out there.
First CNN shows Trump up big in a few very important issues, now THIS.
And BTW the four percent (4%) are undecided? They’re NOT undecided. They are Black and or Hispanic Americans that know Joey is a scumbag but are just not ready to say either Trump or Republican out loud - even to a telephone.

As good as that sounds, its possible that if RFK wins 2 tossup states, and the election is thrown to the House, the
House could then deadlock with Trump at 25 states.
Imagine RFK or Biden states being begged for 1 state
to flip to Trump to make him President? They wouldn’t.
Which means the election then gets thrown to the Senate,
where the VP of the electoral college candidates are
voted on. If the House remains deadlocked, VP choice
of Senate becomes Acting President. Which means that
if Trump wins 25 states, and RFK wins 2 states, and this
keeps Trump from getting to 270 in the electoral college,
we then get, drum roll please, ta-da: Kamala Harris
v. Nichole Shanahan in the steel cage blowout in
the democrap majority US Senate. Independents, who
are not demos, are: Angus King, Bernie Sanders, and
Tyrstin’ Cinema! So the communist the porn-star do
rocks-paper-scissors to see which of them become
the VP to ... President Harris, or maybe its Vice
President Shanahan...or Vice President Sanders....

So: bottom line: Trump gotta win them swang states
and do well enough, or make sure Biden does well enough,
to keep em outta hands of RFK. It doesn’t matter
which 2 states RFK wins, if electoral count for both
Trump & Biden are below 270: in the house its
1 state, 1 vote. 2 states missing and Trump is stuck
at 25 votes.

We could end up with the dumbest woman, the most left-wing-whack-san-fran-woman, and Bernie Sanders, all running the country, because Bobby Kennedy is running. Wooo-hoo!
And Republicans/conservatives are doing nothing about this.

MD could be an interesting one too. Yes the GOP candidate is a RINO... but that’s all that could ever win in MD and an R.. but he’s also been a relatively popular governor.

On the Dems it looks like the likely winner is going to be a political neophyte businessman named David Trone, or a County Commissioner named Alsobrooks who is a Black Female.

Will have to wait and see how the primary turns out on the 14th... That one could be interesting, not sure what the polling has been showing... MD electing a Republican to the Senate would be mind boggling. I’d say odds are low that will be the result, but the R is the incumbent relatively popular governor, and if it winds up being the Trone, this guys a complete neophyte so certainly could wind up in GOP’s favor.. if its Alsobrooke, then he’s running against a black woman, who while never held statewide office has at least some political experience. In a heavily democratic state, I don’t know if the Dems who crossed over to vote for him as governor will do so if he’s running against a black woman or will they just decide to be “enlightened” and check a box to feel important.

Will see what the head to head polling says once a candidate is picked...