Posted on 04/28/2024 7:53:15 AM PDT by CaptainK
CNN — Donald Trump continues to hold an advantage over President Joe Biden as the campaign – and the former president’s criminal trial – move forward, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. And in the coming rematch, opinions about the first term of each man vying for a second four years in the White House now appear to work in Trump’s favor, with most Americans saying that, looking back, Trump’s term as president was a success, while a broad majority says Biden’s has so far been a failure.
Trump’s support in the poll among registered voters holds steady at 49% in a head-to-head matchup against Biden, the same as in CNN’s last national poll on the race in January, while Biden’s stands at 43%, not significantly different from January’s 45%.
Looking back, 55% of all Americans now say they see Trump’s presidency as a success, while 44% see it as a failure. In a January 2021 poll taken just before Trump left office and days after the January 6 attack on the US Capitol, 55% considered his time as president a failure.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
I don’t usually watch CNN but I might so I can watch the commentators choke on the story.
I guess the 44% who see President Trump as a failure is because the swamp was undrainable at the time, and because CNN is oversampling liberal judges and prosecutors.
Peoples memories are short but 4 years worth plays off in the ‘are you better off’ category.
Still they may be dumb.
This is a poll of registered voters, which tends to slightly favor Dems. A 6% lead in registered voters is probably 7%-8% lead of likely voters.
This is a very positive poll of Trump.
I have a prediction. I predict at least 2% of the posts to this thread will be Freepers stomping their feet that there will be cheating and fraud in the election and so no one should analyze any polls.
later
I don’t put much stock into polling but maybe CNN is trying to convince Biden to step down
Does anyone realistically see Trump winning the popular vote and losing the electoral college? If polls are showing Trump up with blacks, hispanics and women and somehow the state polls stil have the race where it was in 2020? The polls are a sham and they are going to cheat again.
Right up until 10:00 PM on election night.
Isn't some skepticism of polls warranted, especially these early ones?
+6 isn’t enough to overcome the margin of fraud
Nope. The correct analysis is change from a given pollster. If they hold methodology constant, it measures all that matters — change in attitude.
Unlike previous years concern about oversampling was at the forefront, but GOP and Dems are now fringe parties. Independents 46%. So if the methodology and sample parameters (like age, gender, etc) are held constant, you get a legitimate measure of attitude change.
Because it is independents, there is not going to be much of that.
It’s a start.
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