Posted on 04/11/2024 10:26:46 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
Republican candidates in North Carolina are seeing a squeeze this month, as the party’s leads are narrowing ...
(Excerpt) Read more at carolinajournal.com ...
Also recently released, Quinnipiac Poll, March 4-8, N=1401 RV. Two-way Trump 48, Biden 46; Five-way Trump 41, Biden 38, RFK Jr 12.
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/nc/nc04102024_ncaa99.pdf
Of these two polls, Cygnal is much better. Cygnal was spot on, in 2020; while Quinnipiac was biased several points in favor the the Democrats.
Polls don’t count Rat systemic cheating.
Hi Dr. Franklin, if polls don’t count rat cheating, how did Trump outperform the polls in 2016 and even more so in 2020?
(I’ve asked this question of more than a dozen Putinbots, Soros trolls and genuinely-defeatist conservatives, and not one has yet to answer the question correctly. Yet the answer, when stated, is obvious.)
OOoooo, ooooo, ooooo, can I answer? The cheating had less to do with stealing Trump votes and more to do with manufacturing Biden votes, and even then it was a relatively small number of votes in a handful of swing states that were necessary to steal the election. We saw an unnaturaly large popular vote win from resulting from deep blue states like Ca, NY, MA, IL, running up the score.
Not buying it.
Once again a poll that says something we do don’t like so it has to be bogus. But the polls that say Trump or any other Republican is in the lead, then they have to be true
We have a winner!
And close to 100 percent correct. To be exactly correct, the number of Trump supports missed by the polls > the number of dead and other fictional voters of the other side.
So, if the polls show Trump ahead, Trump is probably well ahead.
Lousy methodology.
Cooked poll.
Check out the methodology.
It’s a cooked poll.
My point is none of the polls are reliable.
Show me one. :-)
I’m sorry, I misread what your wrote.
I agree. I haven’t seen what I’d regard as a reliable poll in a very long time.
But I’ll bet Trump’s internals are.
We just don’t get to see those.
Sir Humphrey, what you say is too stupid for a merely defeatist conservative. You’re sounding like a Soros shill or a Putinbot.
Here’s the Realclear average of the two-way in NC:
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/north-carolina/trump-vs-biden
And, here’s the Realclear average of the five-way in NC:
So, what you say is factually incorrect. You should do some checking of basic facts before commenting, so you don’t sound so ignorant. If you are a Putinbot or a Soror shill saying things that are obvious false defeats your purpose of trying to spread misinformation. You handlers should give you more time to concoct lies. If, on the other hand, you’re merely a defeatist conservative, I suggest you do something to renew your spirits such as going to a high school baseball game.
Among ALL recent polls in ALL battleground states tracked by Realclear, Trump is ahead in all but one of the polls. That one poll exception in the two-way Franklin & Marshall poll for Pennsylvania (as opposed to their five-way poll).
I checked with the director of the F&M poll, and they split their sample into two halves. And, I’m sorry, they got inconsistent results from the two half samples.
For some reason, Realclear doesn’t include the Cygnal poll I describe in this post (which is part of the reason I posted this poll). Nor does Realclear include Big Data polls (which have been in line with other polls). So the evidence that Trump is doing well in the battleground states is much greater than indicated by Realclear.
Hi mbrill. See Franklin’s answer at post 5 for why, in spite of cheating, Trump outperforms the polls.
Stupid? Soros shill? Putin bot?
Sorry, I stopped reading after that. Maybe you said something, maybe you didn’t.
And as gas prices climb to $4+ per gallon what will happen to these figures?
I’ll vote for Mark.
Until we get large (n > 1000) Likely Voter polls in NC, I just glance at the Real Clear Politics averages every once and a while.
I think all of these polls, especially the ones from tiny liberal arts schools with small samples, are meant to stimulate fund raising on both sides.
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