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Commentary: China’s Economy Will Probably Get Worse Before it Gets Better
Channel News Asia ^ | 02 Mar 2024 | Gary Ng

Posted on 03/01/2024 6:49:23 PM PST by nickcarraway

A promising surge in consumer spending over the Chinese New Year holiday doesn’t give Beijing any guarantees about an economic rebound ahead of its annual Two Sessions meetings, says Natixis economist Gary Ng.

China was surely hoping to start the year off strong, looking to the massive Chinese New Year holiday for signs of economic recovery, especially ahead of its annual Two Sessions meeting starting on Mar 5 where the government will announce its growth target for 2024.

With annual exports falling for the first time in seven years and investment dragged by the property turmoil in 2023, consumption has become the key in stabilising China's economic growth.

Official data showed a promising surge over the eight-day holiday, when hundreds of millions of Chinese returned to their hometowns or indulged in domestic tourism. Domestic trips and tourism spending exceeded 2019 pre-pandemic levels by 19 per cent and 7.7 per cent respectively.

(Excerpt) Read more at channelnewsasia.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; China; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: donatefreerepublic; jimknows

1 posted on 03/01/2024 6:49:23 PM PST by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway
consumption has become the key in stabilising China's economic growth

Their demographics are rotten for this. Too many old people (not big consumers) very few young people (they would be consumers, but there aren't enough of them). I don't see a way out for China.

2 posted on 03/01/2024 6:58:34 PM PST by ClearCase_guy (It's not "Quiet Quitting" -- it's "Going Galt".)
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To: null and void; aragorn; EnigmaticAnomaly; kalee; Kale; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; bgill; bitt; ...

P


3 posted on 03/01/2024 7:13:37 PM PST by bitt (<img src=' 'width=30%>)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Covid 20...


4 posted on 03/01/2024 7:17:11 PM PST by Jonty30 (I may not know as much about American history and law as I like, but I know more than most liberals.)
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To: nickcarraway

This used to be filed under ‘not my problem’ until Biden opened the border.


5 posted on 03/01/2024 7:29:32 PM PST by posterchild
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To: ClearCase_guy

By 2030 the average age in China will be higher than the United States. It’s possible it already happened.


6 posted on 03/01/2024 7:59:41 PM PST by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

Bkmk


7 posted on 03/01/2024 8:10:03 PM PST by sauropod (Ne supra crepidam.)
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To: ClearCase_guy
China's in bad shape. It's military sucks, the kids have no desire to serve the interests of the CCP, to them Communism is something their parents and grandparents revere, not them and they sure aren't willing to get slaughtered invading Taiwan. In fact the kids have adopted a phrase that translates into “Let it rot’’.
8 posted on 03/01/2024 10:48:19 PM PST by jmacusa (Liberals. Too stupid to be idiots.)
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To: nickcarraway

‘Official data’ from China shows whatever the CCP wants it to show.


9 posted on 03/02/2024 4:15:07 AM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: nickcarraway

If you really want to know how bad it is in China, here is a site that reports it.
China Observer
https://www.youtube.com/@ChinaObserver0/videos

Some recent titles:
China’s Tofu-Dreg Bridge Collapses With One Empty Boat Hit, Revealing Shocking Shortcuts and Graft
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gR4GzfOD3Q

China Drains Hong Kong’s Wealth, Business at Only 10-20% of Past Years,a Plight Not Seen in 40 Years
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6XnAdOwxEbI

Engines Shake, Sound Like Tractors, Wheels Fall off Mid-Drive—How Poor Is BYD’s Quality?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZWzbq-Q_oTc

Company Gone on the 1st Day Back From New Year Holiday: New Round of Job Cuts and Pay Cuts Kicks Off
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2XKowHHgr1M

Shenzhen’s Become a Ghost Town: No Cars, No People, With the Unemployed Sleeping Rough
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6gfIupNb3Ik


10 posted on 03/02/2024 4:22:07 AM PST by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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