Latest New Hampshire poll: Trump 37%; Haley 33%

The Hill ^ | January 4, 2024 | Tara Suter

[Allegra]

Exactly. The Dems/media are pushing NimRATa because she’s so obviously one of theirs.

[Tennessee Nana]

TN also

At the polls we are offered the D or the R primary ballot and pick one...

[zeestephen]

Apparently, it is an open primary, so Democrats can vote against Trump, too.

When will the GOP figure out that we need to manage and pay for our own primary elections, so we can write our own rules?

[WellyP]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/american-research-group/ NOT A RELIABLE POLL!

[JayGalt]

Push polls are a joke.

[wiseprince]

This poll, a few weeks ago had Trump @ 33. The headline now says Trump gained since the last poll. Take that for what you want. It’s worth noting that no other poll has shown him below 44 and no poll, including this one, has shown Birdbrain in the 40s. Ive said it before,if Trump wins NH and IA good luck beating him in hia much stronger states to follow.

[Sacajaweau]

I almost switched parties to vote against Hillary when she was running for the Senate here in NY..

[ZULU]

👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻 There are three “Repooblicans” who will
NEVER get my vote: Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis and Nikki Hailey!!!!!!

[frnewsjunkie]

For you who think this is just another election.. I am a senior. Have seen many elections.. THIS IS NOT JUST ANOTHER ELECTION!

They are after it all.. Changes beyond.. We can’t let it happen. The one who stands in their way, is the one they are after. The one they have attacked like no other.. The one still standing for this nation.

DJTRUMP

[Texas Fossil]

Nikki going No Where.

[who knows what evil?]

‘33%’ for Haley...Democrats and double-digit IQ female GOPe voters...perhaps a few ‘men’ with man-buns.

[Texas Fossil]

Nicki will not change anything.

There is NO way she will get the nomination.

[drwoof]

Same here. Amen.

[Jim Noble]

I voted for Obama in 2008 in the NH primary, changed my registration to D on Primary Day and back to R on the way out the door - because I thought Obama was the only one running who the R candidate would beat easily.

So, all the D to R trans voters who are rushing to Nimrata may cause some trouble on 1/23.

I have never thought Trump’s attachment to the GOP was a good idea. Trumpism - MAGA - is opposed to the core beliefs of the GOP, they were always going to stab him in the back.

On Inauguration Day 2017, with a real insurrection in the streets of DC, I posted right here that he had 6 months to renounce the GOP, to find and then fund 435 patriots to run for the House in 2018 on a pro-American ticket, and that once D+R in the House was <218 we could maybe get somewhere.

I also predicted that in a straight-up D vs R election in 2018 the GOP would lose 40 seats.

MAGA and the Republican Party cannot coexist. I wish President Trump had crushed the GOP as he should have and we had actual Americans in power today.

It may be too late. But I will vote for him anyway in two weeks and we’ll see what can be done.

[rockabyebaby]

Who in their right mind thinks Haley is qualified to be President? WHO???????

[StAnDeliver]

You dropped and ran the last time you posted this in December.

Why? Because you lack the courage of your convictions.

I took this apart in 2 minutes last time and nothing has changed.

ARG is one of the most homely polling orgs.

Let's just start with this. Mating GOP LV with Undeclared is puerile polling garbage. It's a stunt, not a clever one. To enlighten you guys -- Undeclared is a registration option in NH. You can, as Undeclared, choose either presidential primary ballot but not both.

That said, including Undeclared in GOP polling -- as though they are 1:1 with a GOP LV in likelihood of choosing an NH GOP presidential primary ballot or even voting at all OR by some magic 60:40 ratio as seen below -- are all untenable. Any possible conclusions are poisoned by these inclusions.

To demonstrate, ARG undercut their clickbait headlines not just with the magic sauce but even moreso once you dig into their internals, starting with "Preference By Party Registration":

After applying ARG's own +/-4 MoE, this could be as much as a 43-23 lead for President Trump, which then brings it inline with Anselm -- traditionally the soundest NH polling, large samples, Fox usually covers NH from their campus, etc. -- and other polls.

The additional irony³ is that this new poll is within the MoE of the last poll, meaning it is possible there is no change of any kind. LOFL.

[jimwatx]

They apparently have a lot of stupid people in New Hampshire. I thought that was supposed to be a libertarian state? And that many of them support the neocon authoritarian anti-freedom Haley? That’s pathetic.

[gibsonguy]

The NH primary is so open to mischief that it is not relevant except MSM will give it huge legs if Haley comes within 10 points of Trump. I think the GOPe play here is to pressure Trump into making her the VP pick.

[Kazan]

There is zero chance of Haley winning the nomination.

[FLT-bird]

LOL! BS push poll nobody is going to believe.