Posted on 10/19/2023 10:20:03 AM PDT by MountainWalker
Fox news radio has been reporting all day that third party candidate RFK Jr is taking votes away from Trump and handing the election to biden.
If everyone got to hear everyone RFKjr would take from Biden but what will happen is he’ll end up only talking to right wing media, Rat networks will shut him up and he’ll take from Trump. Trump will contrast him well though. He won’t only be able to focus on Bide which might work out for him in the end
I kind of doubt a 3rd party guy would get 16%. Perot got 18% and he was a bigger name than RFK (or at least you saw him on tv a lot )
That was probably according to plan. The media thought Perot would hurt Bush more than Clinton, so he was all over TV (plus, he had his own money to buy TV time).
Total Horse droppings. I think Biden will be lucky to be two things, alive in January 2025, and get 60 million votes.
If we start seeing more RFK on major tv networks than that might be the case, if they continue to ignore him than he’s hurting Biden more.
>> Fox news radio has been reporting all day that third party candidate RFK Jr is taking votes away from Trump and handing the election to biden.
“The Narrative”
RFK Jr came out yesterday for reparations..yes reparations..so ANY conservative that votes for that dumb ass is themselves a dumb ass..his only claim to fame is that he hates the vaccine, WOW good for him he hates the vaccine congrats..he is also pro abortion, anti gun, pro green new deal..so tell me how ANY Conservative can vote for that
That is th Obama way.
Demographics (1,218 registered voters with 3.9% MOE):
Q: If the 2024 election for president were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
Response | All | Dem | Rep | Ind |
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 49% | 91% | 6% | 43% |
Donald Trump | 46% | 6% | 91% | 49% |
Analysis: Biden is only +3 in a poll that is D+7, meaning that President Trump is really up by +4. Independents are breaking for Trump in this poll.
Q: How about if the candidates are::
Response | All | Dem | Rep | Ind |
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 44% | 86% | 4% | 33% |
Donald Trump | 37% | 3% | 81% | 34% |
Robert F. Kenned, Jr. | 16% | 9% | 11% | 29% |
Analysis: There is no doubt that Kennedy is upsetting the balance on both sides. However, it is difficult to assess the impact given the D+7 skew of the poll.
The CNN poll from September used a 32/32/35 demographic split. If we adjust this poll based on the CNN demographics, the result becomes:
Response (adjusted) | All |
---|---|
Joe Biden | 38% |
Donald Trump | 39% |
Robert F. Kenned, Jr. | 19% |
Adjusting the results to match the CNN September poll demographics, Biden is hurt more by RFK Jr. than President Trump is. Adjusting the two-party race puts President Trump up by +6.
CONCLUSION
Based on this D+7 skewed poll, President Trump is actually beating Joe Biden right now when the results are adjusted to prior demographic polls. The presence of Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. is hurting Joe Biden more than Donald Trump.
-PJ
radically different from every other poll.
it won’t surprise me if Trump is supporting RFK Jr. like Clinton did for Perot ...
LOL, basically a leftwing propaganda polling group.
I don’t believe this.
RFK isn’t saying things to hurt Joe Biden.
Somebody remembered good ol’ boy Ross Perot. Sneaky devils they is. OTOH, Trump’s no Poppy Bush.
9 of 10 Democrat ballot harvesting mules surveyed said they prefer Biden
rfk wont even most likely be on the ballot in most states.
>>>NPR/PBS. ROTFLMAO
NPR/PBS/TheHill. ROTFLMAO. (corrected)
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