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Analyst: Election Polls Underestimating Republican Margins By 5%
The Daily Wire ^ | October 27, 2022 | Joseph Curl

Posted on 10/27/2022 3:14:08 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA

The polls they are a changin’. In a generic ballot released this week by USA Today, Republicans are up four points over Democrats, 49-45. That’s a huge change from USA Today’s previous poll in July when Democrats led Republicans 44-40. So voters are clearly moving hard — and picking Republican candidates. But the polls are still underestimating the GOP strength, one pollster says. “I think the ‘polling averages’ are going to end up (on average) underestimating the Republican margins by a net of 5%,” Mason-Dixon Polling Managing Director Brad Coker told The Daily Wire in an email. “I think the GOP will end up with 54 Senate seats. I don’t track House races district-by-district, but I generally think the Republican Party will net a gain of somewhere between 25 and 35 seats.”

(Excerpt) Read more at dailywire.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; poll; polls
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1 posted on 10/27/2022 3:14:08 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA
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To: ConservativeInPA

Shhhh!

They don’t need to know this!


2 posted on 10/27/2022 3:14:46 PM PDT by Dr. Franklin ("A republic, if you can keep it." )
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To: Dr. Franklin

Probably right. After seeing this I wasn’t going to bother to vote. /s


3 posted on 10/27/2022 3:15:52 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA ( Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
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To: ConservativeInPA

This means Oz is up 8 points.


4 posted on 10/27/2022 3:16:03 PM PDT by FreedBird
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To: ConservativeInPA

SHUT UP ABOUT THAT!

Just kidding, they’re too far along and they don’t believe it anyway.

“No one that I know votes Republican” and all that


5 posted on 10/27/2022 3:16:36 PM PDT by struggle
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To: ConservativeInPA

Sort of weird metric that Americans are more concerned about energy prices than their grocery bill. People will drive 5 miles out of their way to get 5 cents off the gas price, but then load up on name brand everything at the grocery store. Don’t get that mentality.

I know my grocery bill is at least TWO times more than my family fueling.


6 posted on 10/27/2022 3:17:45 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee
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To: ConservativeInPA

“I think the GOP will end up with 54 Senate seats. I don’t track House races district-by-district, but I generally think the Republican Party will net a gain of somewhere between 25 and 35 seats.”

I’ll take it.


7 posted on 10/27/2022 3:17:52 PM PDT by rdl6989 ( )
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To: ConservativeInPA

Still not enough!


8 posted on 10/27/2022 3:18:10 PM PDT by Chgogal (Welcome to Fuhrer Biden's Weaponized Fascist Banana Republic! It's the road to hell.)
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To: ConservativeInPA

America has been served a rotten dish they didn’t order. It will be decades before the Democrats have control again.


9 posted on 10/27/2022 3:18:19 PM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: ConservativeInPA

I can’t see Republicans taking 60% of the vote, no matter how bad it gets. Democrats have a set amount of votes, even with the death camps they want.


10 posted on 10/27/2022 3:19:04 PM PDT by Jonty30 (Some men want to see the world burn. It is they that want you to buy an electric car.)
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To: Dr. Franklin

The country is a dumpster fire and the rats are only by 5-8 points. That is the power of MSM


11 posted on 10/27/2022 3:20:19 PM PDT by es345st
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To: rdl6989

Anything more than 53 senate seats and I will be overjoyed. Getting the house back is a given.


12 posted on 10/27/2022 3:21:46 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA ( Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
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To: ConservativeInPA

The Trafalgar CEO says there a lot of what he calls submerged Republicans. Don’t answer the phone. Don’t care about polls. Makes polling a real challenge.


13 posted on 10/27/2022 3:24:11 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (Eccl 10:2 - The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left.)
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To: rdl6989
If the GOP gets 54 Senate seats, I don't see how they get only 25 to 35 House seats. Newt Gingrich is saying the R's may pick up 70 House seats.

I'd settle for 50 to 60.
14 posted on 10/27/2022 3:24:52 PM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: ConservativeInPA

LOL. Me, either. With a lead like that, who needs to vote?


15 posted on 10/27/2022 3:24:58 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (The “I” in Democrat stands for “Integrity.”)
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To: Dan in Wichita

I’d like to see 170.


16 posted on 10/27/2022 3:25:35 PM PDT by Publius
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To: ConservativeInPA

We have a massive problem in America if these races are even that close.

Democrats cannot govern. Everything they touch turns to sh**

Winning elections will not save this Titanic from sinking with so many Hard-Core Leftists infesting the bureaucracy, education, entertainment and the media.

We would need to literally drive most of these people out of the country to have any hope of saving this constitutional republic founded more than 200 years ago. They are incapable of accepting rational arguments or hard evidence proving their own beliefs are dangerous, unworkable nonsense.

They also believe the ends justify the means. Conservatives can be denied all rights and impartial justice to implement the communist tyranny the Left blindly worships.


17 posted on 10/27/2022 3:27:59 PM PDT by Gnome1949
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To: gov_bean_ counter

Rich Baris says the same. I’ve been polled twice in the last month. I punked both polls. Others must be doing the same.


18 posted on 10/27/2022 3:28:59 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA ( Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
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To: ConservativeInPA

2022 is a bad Senate election cycle for Republicans. There are 20 Republican Senate seats at stake versus only 14 Dem Senate seats (plus special elections in CA & OK).

But, miracles do happen and 54 sounds great.


19 posted on 10/27/2022 3:34:25 PM PDT by Roadrunner383 (;)
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To: Roadrunner383

Correct. 2024 looks much better.


20 posted on 10/27/2022 3:36:27 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA ( Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
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