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Yields rise to decade highs, curve inverts on growth fears
Reuters via Yahoo ^ | June 13th, 2022 | Karen Brettell

Posted on 06/13/2022 2:05:21 PM PDT by Mariner

(Reuters) - Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields hit their highest level since 2011 on Monday, and a key part of the yield curve inverted for the first time since April as investors braced for the prospect that the Federal Reserve’s attempts to stem soaring inflation will dent the economy.

Yields jumped after data on Friday showed that U.S. consumer prices accelerated in May as gasoline prices hit a record high and the cost of food soared, leading to the largest annual increase in nearly 40-1/2 years.

The Fed is expected to hike rates by 50 basis points when it concludes its two-day meeting on Wednesday, with traders now seeing a 75 basis point increase as having a 21% probability.

UBS strategist Rohan Khanna said hawkish European Central Bank communication alongside the inflation print "have completely shattered this idea that the Fed may not deliver 75 bps or that other central banks will move in a gradual pace."

(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bonds; yieldcurve
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Even if the Fed implements 75bps, they are bluffing.

The US Treasury cannot afford to refi 1 - 3 trillion dollars per year at the rates it will take to end this inflation. That would be 10% to start...and the resulting economic cataclysm.

Bet on inflation continuing and maybe accelerating.

1 posted on 06/13/2022 2:05:21 PM PDT by Mariner
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To: Mariner

The idea batted around in the media, that inflation may be a quickly passing thing, is contrary to all history and reason.


2 posted on 06/13/2022 2:08:21 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard ( Resist the narrative)
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To: Mariner

Who is to says the printing press aren’t running at “damn the torpedoes” speed. Purposely done ……


3 posted on 06/13/2022 2:26:27 PM PDT by no-to-illegals ( The enemy has US surrounded. May God have mercy on them)
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To: Mariner

agreed. this inflation spiral will run until they get another Volcker. The interest on the debt will exceed the defense budget & may compete with SS.


4 posted on 06/13/2022 2:28:00 PM PDT by tomd2
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To: Mariner
Bet on inflation continuing and maybe accelerating.

Well that's a rosy picture. I gotta believe inflation comes down below 3% by this time next year. The alternative would be very bad news.
5 posted on 06/13/2022 2:31:24 PM PDT by JoSixChip (2020: The year of unreported truths; 2021: My main take away from this year? Trust no one.)
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To: hinckley buzzard

The media is spreading disinformation.


6 posted on 06/13/2022 2:32:47 PM PDT by alternatives? (The only reason to have an army is to defend your borders.)
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To: JoSixChip

Why do you believe that?


7 posted on 06/13/2022 2:33:49 PM PDT by alternatives? (The only reason to have an army is to defend your borders.)
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To: Mariner
Interactive M-1 Chart
8 posted on 06/13/2022 2:37:59 PM PDT by DocRock
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To: Mariner

I sold my WEBS position to soon ... It balances my loses ...


9 posted on 06/13/2022 2:49:52 PM PDT by 11th_VA (I can still remember an America where dissent was the highest form of patriotism.)
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To: JoSixChip

“I gotta believe inflation comes down below 3% by this time next year.”

Only extraordinary interest rates and total demand destruction will do that.

Collapse is what it would take.


10 posted on 06/13/2022 2:52:16 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Mariner; JoSixChip
I think a rapid decline in demand for all kinds of products and services is a very realistic possibility.

The bigger threat to the U.S. economy right now is a long-term deflationary trend.

11 posted on 06/13/2022 2:54:01 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("It's midnight in Manhattan. This is no time to get cute; it's a mad dog's promenade.")
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To: DocRock

Is there a comparable resource available to document not just the money SUPPLY, but the VELOCITY of money in the U.S. economy?


12 posted on 06/13/2022 2:55:06 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("It's midnight in Manhattan. This is no time to get cute; it's a mad dog's promenade.")
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To: DocRock

All that money will be chasing fewer goods.

Wildfire.


13 posted on 06/13/2022 2:57:01 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: JoSixChip

Reducing inflation takes years because the current inflation has to flow through the full supply chain—and inflationary expectations by vendors is baked in for at least a few years until consumers go on strike.


14 posted on 06/13/2022 2:57:30 PM PDT by cgbg (A kleptocracy--if they can keep it. Think of it as the Cantillon Effect in action.)
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To: Alberta's Child

The printing presses rolled in 2010 to combat deflation ... and here we are ...


15 posted on 06/13/2022 2:58:36 PM PDT by bankwalker (Repeal the 19th ...)
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To: Alberta's Child; JoSixChip

“I think a rapid decline in demand for all kinds of products and services is a very realistic possibility.”

Sure, once the inflation burns through the world’s economy making nearly every currency worthless.


16 posted on 06/13/2022 3:01:54 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: bankwalker

They’ve been rolling at full capacity for a dozen years.


17 posted on 06/13/2022 3:02:57 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: JoSixChip

You do understand the liberals are in charge.....right???


18 posted on 06/13/2022 3:11:06 PM PDT by eyedigress (Trump is my President! )
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To: Mariner

If anyone can screw up a perfectly good economy it’s President Retard and his buddies 🤪

Yay - keep voting libtard for complete collapse


19 posted on 06/13/2022 3:35:10 PM PDT by NWFree (Somebody has to say it)
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To: Mariner

the current inflation is NOT primarily a function of monetary policy but a secular function of biden implementing the New Green Deal with across-the-board polices designed to destroy domestic fossil-fuel production ...

the resulting run-away energy prices are causing prices increases because energy is THE primary input into everything that makes up modern living, including resource extraction, resource refining, manufacturing, transportation, farming, fertilizer and agricultural chemicals, food preservation, medical care, communications and telecommunications, computing, internet, online commerce, construction and construction materials, clothing, and heating and cooling ...

as a consequence, trying to “fix” the above inflation by raising interest rates will not only NOT fix the current inflation, but will crash the economy ...


20 posted on 06/13/2022 3:44:45 PM PDT by catnipman (In a post-covid world, ALL "science" is now political science: stolen elections have consequences)
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